Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a> achieved 178% YoY and 21% QoQ revenue growth to KRW1,064B in 4Q24, driven by rapid growth of new products such as Remsima SC, Yuflyma, and Steqeyma.</li>
<li>Celltrion guided for 2025 revenue of KRW5.0T, up 43% YoY. Celltrion is targeting COGS ratio in 20%s by 4Q25. Operating profit margin is expected to recover to 30%s in 2025.  </li>
<li>New launches, COGS improvement, and cost efficiency will drive 2025 growth. This year, Celltrion received European approval for four biosimilars and three biosimilars are under regulatory review in the U.S.</li>
</ul>



Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) achieved 178% YoY and 21% QoQ revenue growth to KRW1,064B in 4Q24, driven by rapid growth of new products such as Remsima SC, Yuflyma, and Steqeyma.
Celltrion guided for 2025 revenue of KRW5.0T, up 43% YoY. Celltrion is targeting COGS ratio in 20%s by 4Q25. Operating profit margin is expected to recover to 30%s in 2025.  
New launches, COGS improvement, and cost efficiency will drive 2025 growth. This year, Celltrion received European approval for four biosimilars and three biosimilars are under regulatory review in the U.S.


Celltrion (068270 KS): Record High Sales in 4Q; Sequentially Weaker Profit; Solid Outlook for 2025

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) announced meaningful increase in dividends (including both cash and stock dividends).</li>
<li><em><strong> Celltrion will pay out stock dividend of 0.05 for shareholders as of record in 2024, this will be 150% higher than the average stock dividend in the past three years. </strong></em></li>
<li>Celltrion will also pay out cash DPS of 750 won for shareholders as of record in 2024, which is more than double the average DPS in the past three years. </li>
</ul>


Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) announced meaningful increase in dividends (including both cash and stock dividends).
 Celltrion will pay out stock dividend of 0.05 for shareholders as of record in 2024, this will be 150% higher than the average stock dividend in the past three years. 
Celltrion will also pay out cash DPS of 750 won for shareholders as of record in 2024, which is more than double the average DPS in the past three years. 


Celltrion: Meaningful Increase in Cash and Stock Dividends

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a> achieved 31% YoY revenue growth to KRW882B in 3Q24, driven by the rapid growth of new products such as Remsima SC, Yuflyma, and Vegzelma.</li>
<li>The company is maintaining 2024 sales guidance of KRW3.5T (up 60% YoY), which indicates sequentially improved quarterly sales in 4Q24. Margin improvement is expected to continue.</li>
<li>In August, Celltrion received EU approval for Steqeyma, biosimilar for autoimmune disease treatment Stelara. Celltrion aims to commercialize 22 biosimilars by 2030, thereby targeting a pipeline market size of $182B.</li>
</ul>



Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) achieved 31% YoY revenue growth to KRW882B in 3Q24, driven by the rapid growth of new products such as Remsima SC, Yuflyma, and Vegzelma.
The company is maintaining 2024 sales guidance of KRW3.5T (up 60% YoY), which indicates sequentially improved quarterly sales in 4Q24. Margin improvement is expected to continue.
In August, Celltrion received EU approval for Steqeyma, biosimilar for autoimmune disease treatment Stelara. Celltrion aims to commercialize 22 biosimilars by 2030, thereby targeting a pipeline market size of $182B.


Celltrion Inc (068270 KS): Record High Sales in 3Q; Pipeline Progress Entails Long-Term Growth

Healthcare Equity Analyst - Emerging & Dev Markets, daaimon

Avien Pillay

Healthcare Equity Analyst - Emerging & Dev Markets

daaimon

daaimon is an independent research company focusing on healthcare and consumer sectors across developed and emerging markets. We produce insightful research which challenges conventional thinking. In particular, we look for new ideas by testing consensus forecasts and markets expectations.

<ul>
<li>The biosimilar market is forecast to grow three to four times faster than the generic drug market over the next five years.</li>
<li>However, we believe that this high growth will not necessarily imply good profitability, given the early stage of the biosimilar market, complications and competition.</li>
<li>We also believe that the company’s guidance is too optimistic resulting in an expensive multiple. We prefer some room for error.  </li>
</ul>


The biosimilar market is forecast to grow three to four times faster than the generic drug market over the next five years.
However, we believe that this high growth will not necessarily imply good profitability, given the early stage of the biosimilar market, complications and competition.
We also believe that the company’s guidance is too optimistic resulting in an expensive multiple. We prefer some room for error.  


Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)– Is the Sell-Side’s Bullishness Justified?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Since short selling was banned in November 2023, short interest has plunged in Korea as shorts were covered. Markets have not done much over the last 16 months though. </li>
<li>Foreign investor holdings have dropped from 32.05% in July to 28.57%. The top 25 stocks bought by foreign investors outperformed the top 25 stocks sold by 128% in 16 months.</li>
<li>There will be trade opportunities across indices, pref/ords, index migrations and deletions, potential market upgrades and overvalued stocks being sold.</li>
</ul>


Since short selling was banned in November 2023, short interest has plunged in Korea as shorts were covered. Markets have not done much over the last 16 months though. 
Foreign investor holdings have dropped from 32.05% in July to 28.57%. The top 25 stocks bought by foreign investors outperformed the top 25 stocks sold by 128% in 16 months.
There will be trade opportunities across indices, pref/ords, index migrations and deletions, potential market upgrades and overvalued stocks being sold.


Korea: Short Selling Is Back in March; Trade Ideas

South Korea

Celltrion Inc. produces and sells biosimilar products and also provides consignm ent processing service for other companies.  The Company's main product is Abata cept which is for arthritis treatment

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Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)

Celltrion (068270 KS): Record High Sales in 4Q; Sequentially Weaker Profit; Solid Outlook for 2025

Celltrion reported 178% revenue growth in 4Q24. The company guided for 2025 revenue of KRW5.0T, up 43% YoY. Operating profit margin is expected to...

Tina Banerjee

Celltrion: Meaningful Increase in Cash and Stock Dividends

Celltrion Inc announced meaningful increase in dividends. Celltrion will pay out stock dividend of 0.05 for shareholders as of record in 2024 (up...

Douglas Kim