Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-reddy-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16406:1" rel="noopener">Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN)</a> reported Q1FY23 results, with revenue growing 6% and 108% y/y, mainly driven by a 26% y/y growth in India business.</li>
<li>Despite price erosion and increasing competition in some of the key products, North America revenue grew 2% y/y, driven by launch of new products and favorable forex rates.</li>
<li>Bottom line got benefitted from one-off items including settlement income and non-core brand divestment proceeds. Net profit surged 108% y/y.</li>
</ul>



Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN) reported Q1FY23 results, with revenue growing 6% and 108% y/y, mainly driven by a 26% y/y growth in India business.
Despite price erosion and increasing competition in some of the key products, North America revenue grew 2% y/y, driven by launch of new products and favorable forex rates.
Bottom line got benefitted from one-off items including settlement income and non-core brand divestment proceeds. Net profit surged 108% y/y.


Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): India Business Still the Brightest Spot; Slow Recovery in the US

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The DAX and Hang Seng are reversing their downtrends while MSCI China (MCHI-US) and China Internet (KWEB-US) are currently testing their respective multi-month downtrends.</li>
<li>Reversals of these downtrends would signal a bear market rally in progress.</li>
<li>We will need to see more basing, followed by base breakouts, in order to get bullish -- a process that would likely take weeks or months.</li>
</ul>


The DAX and Hang Seng are reversing their downtrends while MSCI China (MCHI-US) and China Internet (KWEB-US) are currently testing their respective multi-month downtrends.
Reversals of these downtrends would signal a bear market rally in progress.
We will need to see more basing, followed by base breakouts, in order to get bullish -- a process that would likely take weeks or months.


Still Bearish, But On Watch for Bear Market Rally; Buying Toshiba 6502-JP, Defensive Sectors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-reddy-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16406:1" rel="noopener">Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN)</a> reported 15% y/y growth in revenue in Q4, driven by strong performance across all the markets. Adjusted for one-offs, net profit grew 54% y/y.</li>
<li>Despite pricing pressure, the U.S. business should continue its growth momentum with better traction in key products launched in FY22 and upcoming new launches, including generic version of Revlimid.</li>
<li>Inflationary pressure (raw material, freight), lower offtake of COVID-related products in India, and currency headwinds in emerging markets are some downside risks for the company.</li>
</ul>



Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN) reported 15% y/y growth in revenue in Q4, driven by strong performance across all the markets. Adjusted for one-offs, net profit grew 54% y/y.
Despite pricing pressure, the U.S. business should continue its growth momentum with better traction in key products launched in FY22 and upcoming new launches, including generic version of Revlimid.
Inflationary pressure (raw material, freight), lower offtake of COVID-related products in India, and currency headwinds in emerging markets are some downside risks for the company.


Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN) 4QFY22: Double-Digit Sales Growth; One-Off Charge Impacted Profit

<ul>
<li>Since March we have consistently said we believe any bottoming process would likely take weeks or months and could come with more tests of the lows, or even an undercut.</li>
<li>We are testing the March lows now in several global indexes, including the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EM (EEM-US).</li>
<li>While this is a logical spot for a bounce, we see rallies as selling opportunities at the index level</li>
</ul>


Since March we have consistently said we believe any bottoming process would likely take weeks or months and could come with more tests of the lows, or even an undercut.
We are testing the March lows now in several global indexes, including the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EM (EEM-US).
While this is a logical spot for a bounce, we see rallies as selling opportunities at the index level


MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EM Testing Logical Support; Actionable Themes: Defensives & Reopening Stocks

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Indexes have plunged since violating our "lines-in-the-sand" of 3875 on EURO STOXX 50, 14,815 on the DAX, $54 on ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), $75.25 on EAFE (EFA-US), and $99 on ACWI(ACWI-US).</li>
<li>More recently, Japan’s TOPIX broke below the key 1840 level, as the number of countries breaking down increases.</li>
<li>We remain bearish at the index level as long as these indexes continue to make lower highs, and we expect that any bottoming process would take weeks/months to develop.</li>
</ul>


Indexes have plunged since violating our "lines-in-the-sand" of 3875 on EURO STOXX 50, 14,815 on the DAX, $54 on ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), $75.25 on EAFE (EFA-US), and $99 on ACWI(ACWI-US).
More recently, Japan’s TOPIX broke below the key 1840 level, as the number of countries breaking down increases.
We remain bearish at the index level as long as these indexes continue to make lower highs, and we expect that any bottoming process would take weeks/months to develop.


Monitoring For A Bottom; Focus On Defensives

India

Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited manufactures and markets pharmaceuticals for domestic and international distribution. The Company's pharmaceutical portfolio includes drugs in the areas of diabetes, cardiology, neurology, psychiatry and  gastroenterology.

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Sun Pharmaceutical Industries (SUNP IN)

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): India Business Still the Brightest Spot; Slow Recovery in the US

Dr. Reddy’s continue to report accelerating double-digit growth in India business. Despite continued price erosion, North America business should...

Tina Banerjee

Still Bearish, But On Watch for Bear Market Rally; Buying Toshiba 6502-JP, Defensive Sectors

The $DAX and Hang Seng are reversing their downtrends while China $MCHI and China Internet $KWEB are currently testing their respective multi-month...

Vermilion Research

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN) 4QFY22: Double-Digit Sales Growth; One-Off Charge Impacted Profit

Dr. Reddy’s reported strong double-digit revenue growth in Q4, while one-off charges weighed on bottom-line. New product launches in the U.S....

Tina Banerjee

MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EM Testing Logical Support; Actionable Themes: Defensives & Reopening Stocks

We are testing the March lows in several global indexes, including the MSCI $ACWI, ACWI ex-US $ACWX, and EM $EEM. While this is a logical spot for...

Vermilion Research

Monitoring For A Bottom; Focus On Defensives

Defensive Sectors including Consumer Staples, Health Care, and Utilities are emerging as leadership -- add exposure. Today we are focusing on...

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