SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

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Equity Bottom-Up

Lendlease Global Commercial REIT / Equity Bottom-Up

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In the year to date, Singapore-listed Reits and property trusts averaged total returns of close to 11 per cent. The 10 best-performing trusts were mostly mid-caps, which averaged 32 per cent total returns and own assets across industrial, retail, healthcare, office and hospitality sub-segments.

Among the 10 best performers, seven were recent inclusions into the FTSE EPRA Nareit Global Developed Index following the September review. 
The five trusts which received the highest amount of net institutional inflows this year were mid-cap REITs (data as of 28 October): ARA LOGOS Logistics Trust (+S$79 million), OUE Commercial REIT (+S$39 million), Starhill Global REIT (+S$36 million), Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (+S$27 million) and ESR-REIT (+S$26 million). 
In the month of October, the sector averaged 3 per cent in total returns. Retail investors net bought the sector with net inflows of S$158 million while institutional investors net sold S$195 million (data as at Oct 28). 
Four of the top five performers over the month were trusts with exposure to the retail or hospitality segments - Dasin Retail Trust (21 per cent), CDL Hospitality Trusts (15 per cent), Ascott Residence Trust (11 per cent), Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust (8 per cent) and Keppel REIT (7 per cent). Three of them reported before market opened last Friday. 
CDLHT reported year-on-year (yoy) growth of 34.8 per cent in net property income for Q3 2021 attributable to the ongoing recovery from negative effects of the pandemic, broader distribution of vaccines as well as easing of travel restrictions which resulted in more accommodation demand. 
LMIRT declared Q3 2021 distribution per unit (DPU) of 0.09 cents, up 28.6 per cent yoy. The trust's rental revenue and gross revenue for the period grew 16.2 per cent and 7.0 per cent yoy respectively, due to income from the newly acquired Lippo Mall Puri, which contributed S$8.2 million to rental revenue and S$10.3 million to gross revenue for the quarter.

Keppel Reit reported 20.8 per cent yoy growth in distributable income from operations for the nine months of 2021, due mainly to contributions from Victoria Police Centre in Melbourne, Pinnacle Office Park in Sydney and Keppel Bay Tower in Singapore. The Reit noted that despite the pandemic, portfolio leasing activities remained positive with new leases and expansions seen from diverse industry sectors.

Aside from the three trusts above, more than half of the 40 S-Reits have also released financial results or business updates, before market opened last Friday.

Most of the trusts reported financial and operating metrics which were in line with analysts' estimates, with some exceeding expectations.

Among the trusts that have reported, 14 of them declared DPUs for the latest quarter or half year period. These trusts, on average, saw a 20 per cent year-on-year growth in declared DPUs. Some reasons provided for the increase in DPUs across these trusts include new acquisitions which boosted revenues, lower rental rebates which reduced expense and gradual reopening across the globe. REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times,<a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/retail-and-hospitality-sector-s-reits-outperform-in-october"> read </a>the original version.
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    Top performer SREIT and property


In the year to date, Singapore-listed Reits and property trusts averaged total returns of close to 11 per cent. The 10 best-performing trusts were mostly mid-caps, which averaged 32 per cent total returns and own assets across industrial, retail, healthcare, office and hospitality sub-segments.

Among the 10 best performers, seven were recent inclusions into the FTSE EPRA Nareit Global Developed Index following the September review.  
The five trusts which received the highest amount of net institutional inflows this year were mid-cap REITs (data as of 28 October): ARA LOGOS Logistics Trust (+S$79 million), OUE Commercial REIT (+S$39 million), Starhill Global REIT (+S$36 million), Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (+S$27 million) and ESR-REIT (+S$26 million).  
In the month of October, the sector averaged 3 per cent in total returns. Retail investors net bought the sector with net inflows of S$158 million while institutional investors net sold S$195 million (data as at Oct 28).  
Four of the top five performers over the month were trusts with exposure to the retail or hospitality segments - Dasin Retail Trust (21 per cent), CDL Hospitality Trusts (15 per cent), Ascott Residence Trust (11 per cent), Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust (8 per cent) and Keppel REIT (7 per cent). Three of them reported before market opened last Friday.  
CDLHT reported year-on-year (yoy) growth of 34.8 per cent in net property income for Q3 2021 attributable to the ongoing recovery from negative effects of the pandemic, broader distribution of vaccines as well as easing of travel restrictions which resulted in more accommodation demand.  
LMIRT declared Q3 2021 distribution per unit (DPU) of 0.09 cents, up 28.6 per cent yoy. The trust's rental revenue and gross revenue for the period grew 16.2 per cent and 7.0 per cent yoy respectively, due to income from the newly acquired Lippo Mall Puri, which contributed S$8.2 million to rental revenue and S$10.3 million to gross revenue for the quarter.

Keppel Reit reported 20.8 per cent yoy growth in distributable income from operations for the nine months of 2021, due mainly to contributions from Victoria Police Centre in Melbourne, Pinnacle Office Park in Sydney and Keppel Bay Tower in Singapore. The Reit noted that despite the pandemic, portfolio leasing activities remained positive with new leases and expansions seen from diverse industry sectors.

Aside from the three trusts above, more than half of the 40 S-Reits have also released financial results or business updates, before market opened last Friday.

Most of the trusts reported financial and operating metrics which were in line with analysts' estimates, with some exceeding expectations.

Among the trusts that have reported, 14 of them declared DPUs for the latest quarter or half year period. These trusts, on average, saw a 20 per cent year-on-year growth in declared DPUs. Some reasons provided for the increase in DPUs across these trusts include new acquisitions which boosted revenues, lower rental rebates which reduced expense and gradual reopening across the globe.  REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, read the original version.



REIT Watch - Retail and hospitality sector S-Reits outperform in October

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Singapore continues to pursue a "Living with Covid-19" strategy, with anticipation to transit to a "new normal" in three to six months.

In the move to reopen borders and re-establish the country's status as a global hub, Singapore has extended its Vaccinated Travel Lane (VTL) scheme to eight more countries.

With more of such arrangements in discussion, the country's travel and hospitality sector is poised to benefit in the long run. 
There are five trusts in the S-REITs and Property Trusts sector with exposure to the hospitality segment in Singapore – Ascott Residence Trust, CDL Hospitality Trusts, Far East Hospitality Trust, Frasers Hospitality Trust and OUE Commercial REIT. 
These five trusts have averaged 6.0 per cent in total returns in the year to date.

Following the announcement to expand the VTL scheme on Oct 9, these five trusts advanced an average of 5.4 per cent in the four trading sessions from Oct 11 to 14. 
Ascott Residence Trust (ART), one of the largest hospitality trusts in Asia-Pacific, has a portfolio of 89 properties, including serviced residences, hotels, rental housing and student accommodation.

ART observed that the initial phase of recovery remained largely driven by the domestic and essential corporate travel segments, and expects the return of international demand to be more gradual.

OUE Commercial Reit (OUE C-Reit) owns seven properties across the commercial and hospitality segments in Singapore and Shanghai, including Mandarin Orchard Singapore and Crowne Plaza Changi Airport.

In its first half 2021 results announcement, it noted that its hospitality segment revenue remained flat year on year due to the minimum rent under the master lease arrangements of the hotel properties.

CDL Hospitality Trusts (CDLHT) owns 15 hotels globally, including six in Singapore, and two resorts comprising a total of 4,631 rooms as well as a retail mall.

CDLHT noted that its portfolio of six Singapore hotels continued to be impacted by continued border closures and absence of major meetings, incentives, conferences and exhibitions (MICE) events.

Several of these trusts have conducted rebranding and asset enhancement exercises in preparation for the eventual upturn of the sector.

This includes ART, which started the rejuvenation of Somerset Liang Court and lyf one-north in Singapore, and OUE C-Reit's renovation of Mandarin Orchard Singapore.

Far East Hospitality Trust, the only pure-play Singapore hospitality trust, has also committed to expedite its asset enhancements.

To create more resilient portfolios and stable income streams, ART and CDLHT have also announced the expansion of their investment mandates to include more asset types.

CDLHT expanded its principal investment strategy to include rental housing, co-living, student accommodation and senior housing in July 2021.

ART has announced three acquisitions in the United States' student accommodation segment since the start of the year.  REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times,<a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/china-focused-s-reits-resilient-amid-onshore-property-focus"> </a><a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/hospitality-s-reits-taking-off-with-more-travel-lanes">read </a>the original version.
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    SREIT


Singapore continues to pursue a "Living with Covid-19" strategy, with anticipation to transit to a "new normal" in three to six months.

In the move to reopen borders and re-establish the country's status as a global hub, Singapore has extended its Vaccinated Travel Lane (VTL) scheme to eight more countries.

With more of such arrangements in discussion, the country's travel and hospitality sector is poised to benefit in the long run.  
There are five trusts in the S-REITs and Property Trusts sector with exposure to the hospitality segment in Singapore – Ascott Residence Trust, CDL Hospitality Trusts, Far East Hospitality Trust, Frasers Hospitality Trust and OUE Commercial REIT.   
These five trusts have averaged 6.0 per cent in total returns in the year to date.

Following the announcement to expand the VTL scheme on Oct 9, these five trusts advanced an average of 5.4 per cent in the four trading sessions from Oct 11 to 14.  
Ascott Residence Trust (ART), one of the largest hospitality trusts in Asia-Pacific, has a portfolio of 89 properties, including serviced residences, hotels, rental housing and student accommodation.

ART observed that the initial phase of recovery remained largely driven by the domestic and essential corporate travel segments, and expects the return of international demand to be more gradual.

OUE Commercial Reit (OUE C-Reit) owns seven properties across the commercial and hospitality segments in Singapore and Shanghai, including Mandarin Orchard Singapore and Crowne Plaza Changi Airport.

In its first half 2021 results announcement, it noted that its hospitality segment revenue remained flat year on year due to the minimum rent under the master lease arrangements of the hotel properties.

CDL Hospitality Trusts (CDLHT) owns 15 hotels globally, including six in Singapore, and two resorts comprising a total of 4,631 rooms as well as a retail mall.

CDLHT noted that its portfolio of six Singapore hotels continued to be impacted by continued border closures and absence of major meetings, incentives, conferences and exhibitions (MICE) events.

Several of these trusts have conducted rebranding and asset enhancement exercises in preparation for the eventual upturn of the sector.

This includes ART, which started the rejuvenation of Somerset Liang Court and lyf one-north in Singapore, and OUE C-Reit's renovation of Mandarin Orchard Singapore.

Far East Hospitality Trust, the only pure-play Singapore hospitality trust, has also committed to expedite its asset enhancements.

To create more resilient portfolios and stable income streams, ART and CDLHT have also announced the expansion of their investment mandates to include more asset types.

CDLHT expanded its principal investment strategy to include rental housing, co-living, student accommodation and senior housing in July 2021.

ART has announced three acquisitions in the United States' student accommodation segment since the start of the year.   REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, read the original version.



REIT Watch - Hospitality S-Reits taking off with more travel lanes

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lendlease-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11248" rel="noopener">Lendlease Group (LLC AU)</a> will begin construction on a large-scale Singapore vaccine facility in end-2021</h3>Lendlease is commencing construction on a large-scale, greenfield vaccine facility in late-2021. It did not disclose the identity of the client. The move comes as the Republic sees an increase in the number of Covid-19 vaccine-related investments, with three major pharmaceutical companies – BioNTech, Sanofi and Thermo Fisher Scientific – having plans to set up vaccine manufacturing facilities here. LLC has also been appointed to take on additional projects for existing Singapore clients, including expanding existing facilities to enhance their capabilities. The life sciences sector are one of LLC’s key focus areas where it is looking to apply its expertise across the integrated real estate value chain. In Mar21, LLC inked a partnership in the US with institutional investor Ivanhoe Cambridge to develop the 60 Guest Street project in Boston, a 320,000sqft life sciences hub.

SingaporeLendlease Group (LLC AU) will begin construction on a large-scale Singapore vaccine facility in end-2021Lendlease is commencing construction on a large-scale, greenfield vaccine facility in late-2021. It did not disclose the identity of the client. The move comes as the Republic sees an increase in the number of Covid-19 vaccine-related investments, with three major pharmaceutical companies – BioNTech, Sanofi and Thermo Fisher Scientific – having plans to set up vaccine manufacturing facilities here. LLC has also been appointed to take on additional projects for existing Singapore clients, including expanding existing facilities to enhance their capabilities. The life sciences sector are one of LLC’s key focus areas where it is looking to apply its expertise across the integrated real estate value chain. In Mar21, LLC inked a partnership in the US with institutional investor Ivanhoe Cambridge to develop the 60 Guest Street project in Boston, a 320,000sqft life sciences hub.

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The iEdge S-REIT Index ended the third quarter of 2021 relatively flat with 0.2 per cent total returns, in line with global REIT markets which declined towards the later half of the quarter due to steepening of yield curves. This brings the index year-to-date total returns to 4.5 per cent.

There are 20 trusts which outperformed the index in 3Q2021, including ten of the 11 trusts that entered the FTSE EPRA Nareit Global Developed Index following the most recent September review. The top five performing trusts, which were all recent index inclusions, were: OUE Commercial REIT (14.2 per cent), Starhill Global REIT (12.4 per cent), ARA LOGOS Logistics Trust (10.1 per cent), Far East Hospitality Trust (9.9 per cent), and ESR-REIT (9.3 per cent). These five trusts received net institutional inflows of S$192 million and net retail outflows of S$89 million this quarter.

In the year-to-date, the five best performing trusts where: ARA LOGOS Logistics Trust (60.2 per cent), Sabana REIT (34.3 per cent), Starhill Global REIT (32.6 per cent), Keppel Pacific Oak US REIT (28.4 per cent) and First REIT (27.8 per cent). These five trusts received net institutional inflows of S$132 million and net retail outflows of S$66 million in the year-to-date. 
Overall, institutional investors were net buyers of the S-Reits and property trusts sector in the third quarter, after being net sellers in the first half of 2021.

The sector received three consecutive months of net institutional inflows from July to September 2021, amounting to S$270 million.

Retail investors continue to be net buyers of the sector since the start of the year, with the exception of July, which saw net retail outflows of S$95 million. In the year to date, retail investors net buying activities in the sector totalled S$917 million. 
There are four trusts that received net inflows from both institutional and retail investors in the year-to-date: Frasers Logistics &amp; Commercial Trust (institutional: S$16.4 million; retail: S$8.5 million) , Far East Hospitality Trust (institutional: S$8.2 million; retail: S$1.7 million), Keppel Pacific Oak US REIT (institutional: S$5.5 million; retail: S$9.7 million) and Prime US REIT (institutional: S$0.5 million; retail: S$12.8 million).

Top three performing sub-sectors for the 3Q2021 period are Industrial REITs (3.3 per cent total returns), Specialised REITs (2.9 per cent), and Diversified REITs (2.0 per cent). Top three performing sub-sectors in the year-to-date are Healthcare REITs (25.4 per cent total returns), Industrial REITs (21.0 per cent), and Office REITs (11.8 per cent). REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times,<a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/china-focused-s-reits-resilient-amid-onshore-property-focus"> </a><a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/third-quarter-wrap-sees-institutional-investors-return-to-s-reits">read </a>the original version.
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    Rebound in flows


The iEdge S-REIT Index ended the third quarter of 2021 relatively flat with 0.2 per cent total returns, in line with global REIT markets which declined towards the later half of the quarter due to steepening of yield curves. This brings the index year-to-date total returns to 4.5 per cent.

There are 20 trusts which outperformed the index in 3Q2021, including ten of the 11 trusts that entered the FTSE EPRA Nareit Global Developed Index following the most recent September review. The top five performing trusts, which were all recent index inclusions, were: OUE Commercial REIT (14.2 per cent), Starhill Global REIT (12.4 per cent), ARA LOGOS Logistics Trust (10.1 per cent), Far East Hospitality Trust (9.9 per cent), and ESR-REIT (9.3 per cent). These five trusts received net institutional inflows of S$192 million and net retail outflows of S$89 million this quarter.

In the year-to-date, the five best performing trusts where: ARA LOGOS Logistics Trust (60.2 per cent), Sabana REIT (34.3 per cent), Starhill Global REIT (32.6 per cent), Keppel Pacific Oak US REIT (28.4 per cent) and First REIT (27.8 per cent). These five trusts received net institutional inflows of S$132 million and net retail outflows of S$66 million in the year-to-date.  
Overall, institutional investors were net buyers of the S-Reits and property trusts sector in the third quarter, after being net sellers in the first half of 2021.

The sector received three consecutive months of net institutional inflows from July to September 2021, amounting to S$270 million.

Retail investors continue to be net buyers of the sector since the start of the year, with the exception of July, which saw net retail outflows of S$95 million. In the year to date, retail investors net buying activities in the sector totalled S$917 million.  
There are four trusts that received net inflows from both institutional and retail investors in the year-to-date: Frasers Logistics &amp; Commercial Trust (institutional: S$16.4 million; retail: S$8.5 million) , Far East Hospitality Trust (institutional: S$8.2 million; retail: S$1.7 million), Keppel Pacific Oak US REIT (institutional: S$5.5 million; retail: S$9.7 million) and Prime US REIT (institutional: S$0.5 million; retail: S$12.8 million).

Top three performing sub-sectors for the 3Q2021 period are Industrial REITs (3.3 per cent total returns), Specialised REITs (2.9 per cent), and Diversified REITs (2.0 per cent). Top three performing sub-sectors in the year-to-date are Healthcare REITs (25.4 per cent total returns), Industrial REITs (21.0 per cent), and Office REITs (11.8 per cent).  REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, read the original version.



REIT Watch - Third quarter wrap sees institutional investors return to S-Reits

Frencken, iFAST & First Resources Among Most Consistent Gainers in 3Q21

Singapore

OUE Commercial Real Estate Investment Trust (“OUE C-REIT”) is one of the largest diversified Singapore REITs (“S-REITs”) with total assets of S$6.0 billion as at 31 December 2022. With seven properties across the commercial and hospitality segments in Singapore and Shanghai, the property portfolio comprises more than 2.1 million square feet of prime office and retail space, and 1,643 upper upscale hotel rooms.

OUE C-REIT invests in income-producing real estate used primarily for commercial purposes (including real estate used primarily for office and/or retail purposes) in financial and business hubs, hospitality and/or hospitality-related purposes, as well as real estate-related assets.

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OUE Commercial REIT (OUECT SP)

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