ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Past week saw insights of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prodia-widyahusada" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23663:1" rel="noopener">Prodia (PRDA IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab Holdings (GRAB US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata (EXCL IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalbe-farma-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6303:1" rel="noopener">Kalbe Farma (KLBF IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-mandiri-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:441:1" rel="noopener">Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pyridam-farma-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12900:1" rel="noopener">Pyridam Farma (PYFA IJ)</a>.</li>
<li>The was also an insight on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thonburi-healthcare-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24386:1" rel="noopener">Thonburi Healthcare Group (THG TB)</a> and a sector piece looking at the beleaguered Vietnamese Real Estate sector. </li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The Past week saw insights of Prodia (PRDA IJ), Grab Holdings (GRAB US), XL Axiata (EXCL IJ), Kalbe Farma (KLBF IJ), Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ), and Pyridam Farma (PYFA IJ).
The was also an insight on Thonburi Healthcare Group (THG TB) and a sector piece looking at the beleaguered Vietnamese Real Estate sector. 
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Prodia's Recovery, Grab in 2024, and Kalbe Farma Primed

<ul>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ace-hardware-indonesia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12808:1" rel="noopener">Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akr-corporindo-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13338:1" rel="noopener">AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oue-commercial-real-estate-investment-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:912:1" rel="noopener">OUE Commercial REIT (OUECT SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea (SE US)</a>.</li>
<li>There was also a macro insight looking at Myanmar, an insight looking at Vietnam's most recent index rebalance, and a credit insight on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lippo-malls-indonesia-retail-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10946:1" rel="noopener">Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust (LMRT SP).</a> </li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The past week saw insights on Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ), AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ), OUE Commercial REIT (OUECT SP), GoTo (GOTO IJ), and Sea (SE US).
There was also a macro insight looking at Myanmar, an insight looking at Vietnam's most recent index rebalance, and a credit insight on Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust (LMRT SP). 
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Ace Hardware Shines, AKRA's Positive, and GoTo's TikTok Move

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

Bank Negara Indonesia Persero / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Bank Negara remains our top pick for its deep value attributes of low PE multiples and its very attractive PEG ratio, whilst improving post-provision returns and registering strong liquidity</li>
<li>We also keep Bank Mandiri on a buy rating, for its premium returns and undemanding PE multiples; Bank Central Asia, albeit fully valued in our view, has impressive return</li>
<li>Bank Rakyat again registered worsening pre-provision returns in 3Q23, along with cost of risk; its heavily MSME focused loan mix implies a high structural cost of risk going forward</li>
</ul>


Bank Negara remains our top pick for its deep value attributes of low PE multiples and its very attractive PEG ratio, whilst improving post-provision returns and registering strong liquidity
We also keep Bank Mandiri on a buy rating, for its premium returns and undemanding PE multiples; Bank Central Asia, albeit fully valued in our view, has impressive return
Bank Rakyat again registered worsening pre-provision returns in 3Q23, along with cost of risk; its heavily MSME focused loan mix implies a high structural cost of risk going forward


Indonesian Banks Screener; Negara Remains the Stand Out

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ)</a> released another set of positive numbers in 3Q2023, outperforming the overall sector on loan and CASA growth, allowing the banks to maintain NIMs and profitability.</li>
<li>The bank's digital banking franchise continues to grow, with 31 million users of its mobile banking, boosting transactions and customer numbers, with a broadening of features and service offerings available. </li>
<li>Consumer banking, SME, and Corporate lending will continue to drive loan growth and credit costs continue to come down boosting profits. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia</a> remains a core holding. </li>
</ul>



Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) released another set of positive numbers in 3Q2023, outperforming the overall sector on loan and CASA growth, allowing the banks to maintain NIMs and profitability.
The bank's digital banking franchise continues to grow, with 31 million users of its mobile banking, boosting transactions and customer numbers, with a broadening of features and service offerings available. 
Consumer banking, SME, and Corporate lending will continue to drive loan growth and credit costs continue to come down boosting profits. Bank Central Asia remains a core holding. 


Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) - Batting Above Average

<ul>
<li>Indonesia's election race is about to begin with the Presidential candidates announcing running mates on 26th October and with campaigns that could boost consumer demand. </li>
<li>The Indonesian economy should see GDP growth above 5% in 2023 and 2024, with inflation already under control at 2.28% in September. FDI remains positive although may slow before elections. </li>
<li>We explore the prospects for different sectors with a positive view on banks, retail, consumer staples, property, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International</a> as a market proxy, with some opportunities in tech.</li>
</ul>


Indonesia's election race is about to begin with the Presidential candidates announcing running mates on 26th October and with campaigns that could boost consumer demand. 
The Indonesian economy should see GDP growth above 5% in 2023 and 2024, with inflation already under control at 2.28% in September. FDI remains positive although may slow before elections. 
We explore the prospects for different sectors with a positive view on banks, retail, consumer staples, property, and Astra International as a market proxy, with some opportunities in tech.


Indonesian Strategy - Election Race Hots Up Amidst Profits Recovery

Indonesia

PT Bank Negara Indonesia (Persero) Tbk is a state-owned bank that conducts commercial and consumer banking services.

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Bank Negara Indonesia Persero (BBNI IJ)

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Prodia's Recovery, Grab in 2024, and Kalbe Farma Primed

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Ace Hardware Shines, AKRA's Positive, and GoTo's TikTok Move

The past week saw insights on Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ), AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ), OUE Commercial REIT (OUECT SP), GoTo (GOTO IJ), and Sea...

Angus Mackintosh

Indonesian Banks Screener; Negara Remains the Stand Out

We stick with Bank Negara and Bank Mandiri as buys, given their low PE multiples and attractive PEG ratio; Bank Rakyat's cost of risk and returns...

Victor Galliano

Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) - Batting Above Average

Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) released another set of positive numbers in 3Q2023, outperforming the overall sector on loan and CASA growth, allowing...

Angus Mackintosh

Indonesian Strategy - Election Race Hots Up Amidst Profits Recovery

We explore the prospects across different sectors in Indonesia with a positive view on banks, retail, consumer staples, property, and Astra...

Angus Mackintosh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Prodia's Recovery, Grab in 2024, and Kalbe Farma Primed

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Ace Hardware Shines, AKRA's Positive, and GoTo's TikTok Move

The past week saw insights on Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ), AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ), OUE Commercial REIT (OUECT SP), GoTo (GOTO IJ), and Sea...

Angus Mackintosh

Indonesian Banks Screener; Negara Remains the Stand Out

​We stick with Bank Negara and Bank Mandiri as buys, given their low PE multiples and attractive PEG ratio; Bank Rakyat's cost of risk and returns...

Victor Galliano

Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) - Batting Above Average

Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) released another set of positive numbers in 3Q2023, outperforming the overall sector on loan and CASA growth, allowing...

Angus Mackintosh

Indonesian Strategy - Election Race Hots Up Amidst Profits Recovery

We explore the prospects across different sectors in Indonesia with a positive view on banks, retail, consumer staples, property, and Astra...

Angus Mackintosh

We stick with Bank Negara and Bank Mandiri as buys, given their low PE multiples and attractive PEG ratio; Bank Rakyat's cost of risk and returns...