External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>JCI rose 3.8% wow, partly driven by foreign funds inflows particularly into INDF, ASII BREN, UNTR, and GOTO, which more than offset the persisting outflows from the big banks (i.e., BBRI, BBNI and to a lesser extent BBCA and BMRI).</li><li>These resulted in net inflow of US$67mn.</li><li>Within EM, India saw a big inflow of US$3bn during the week, while ASEAN EM peers still faced outflows albeit easing from prior weeks. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JCI rose 3.8% wow, partly driven by foreign funds inflows particularly into INDF, ASII BREN, UNTR, and GOTO, which more than offset the persisting outflows from the big banks (i.e., BBRI, BBNI and to a lesser extent BBCA and BMRI).These resulted in net inflow of US$67mn.Within EM, India saw a big inflow of US$3bn during the week, while ASEAN EM peers still faced outflows albeit easing from prior weeks. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse : Chart of the week – Nov24-end Domestic Fund Sector Positioning

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>PMK 88/2024 could add liquidity for the SOE banks, but with a CoF of c. 4.8%, we do not see it as plausible for the banks currently.</li><li>On the other hand, the SAL loans can add competition as other nonbank SOE could get a lower rate from SAL compared to bank loans.</li><li>BMRI and BBNI could be the biggest losers from SAL competition, while BBRI and BBTN could see potential benefits.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

PMK 88/2024 could add liquidity for the SOE banks, but with a CoF of c. 4.8%, we do not see it as plausible for the banks currently.On the other hand, the SAL loans can add competition as other nonbank SOE could get a lower rate from SAL compared to bank loans.BMRI and BBNI could be the biggest losers from SAL competition, while BBRI and BBTN could see potential benefits.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banks: Expansion of SAL utilization: for better or worse? (OVERWEIGHT)

<ul><li>Cabinet formation: coalition completed. The names of Minister and Vice Minister announced in President Prabowo’s cabinet comprise representation of political parties (ex-PDIP) and existing ministers under Pres. Jokowi, including MoF Mrs. Sri Mulyani.</li><li>In our view, the latter should cement a positive outlook for Indonesia’s stability while the overall cabinet posture shall ensure the delivery of programs continuity.</li><li>ACES (Buy, TP Rp1,100): strong SSSG continues at 8.8% in Sep24. ACES is our analyst’s top pick in the retail sector. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cabinet formation: coalition completed. The names of Minister and Vice Minister announced in President Prabowo’s cabinet comprise representation of political parties (ex-PDIP) and existing ministers under Pres. Jokowi, including MoF Mrs. Sri Mulyani.In our view, the latter should cement a positive outlook for Indonesia’s stability while the overall cabinet posture shall ensure the delivery of programs continuity.ACES (Buy, TP Rp1,100): strong SSSG continues at 8.8% in Sep24. ACES is our analyst’s top pick in the retail sector. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse : Chart of the week – Foreign Equity Flow Returned to JCI

<ul><li>We expect the banks to deliver 7-23% and 5-21% net profit growth in 3Q24 and 9M24, driven by strong loan growth and resilient NIM.</li><li>Amid high loan demand, flat LPS rate, and still tight liquidity, we expect a meaningful CoF improvement in 1Q25.</li><li>Maintain Overweight rating on the banking sector, underpinned by solid growth, bottoming liquidity, and still robust asset quality.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect the banks to deliver 7-23% and 5-21% net profit growth in 3Q24 and 9M24, driven by strong loan growth and resilient NIM.Amid high loan demand, flat LPS rate, and still tight liquidity, we expect a meaningful CoF improvement in 1Q25.Maintain Overweight rating on the banking sector, underpinned by solid growth, bottoming liquidity, and still robust asset quality.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banks: 3Q24 Preview: Gradual Improvement in Liquidity and Strong Loan Growth to Drive Earnings

<ul><li>If 2007 performance is an indicator, JCI may sustain its short-term performance in the next 3 months post Fed’s rate cut.</li><li>EPS growth outlook of 7-8% is attractive compared to EM peers, with catalyst for upsides from better liquidity and stronger IDR tailwind.</li><li>We raise our FY24-end JCI target to 8,238; our preferred picks are the high beta stocks, namely BBCA, BBNI, ARTO, CTRA, SMRA, ASII, GOTO.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

If 2007 performance is an indicator, JCI may sustain its short-term performance in the next 3 months post Fed’s rate cut.EPS growth outlook of 7-8% is attractive compared to EM peers, with catalyst for upsides from better liquidity and stronger IDR tailwind.We raise our FY24-end JCI target to 8,238; our preferred picks are the high beta stocks, namely BBCA, BBNI, ARTO, CTRA, SMRA, ASII, GOTO.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Equity Strategy: Riding the Wave of Earnings Growth, Strong IDR and Liquidity Catalysts

Indonesia

PT Bank Negara Indonesia (Persero) Tbk is a state-owned bank that conducts commercial and consumer banking services.

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Bank Negara Indonesia Persero (BBNI IJ)

BRIDS Market Pulse : Chart of the week – Nov24-end Domestic Fund Sector Positioning

JCI rose 3.8% wow, partly driven by foreign funds inflows particularly into INDF, ASII BREN, UNTR, and GOTO, which more than offset the persisting...

BRI Danareksa Research

Banks: Expansion of SAL utilization: for better or worse? (OVERWEIGHT)

PMK 88/2024 could add liquidity for the SOE banks, but with a CoF of c. 4.8%, we do not see it as plausible for the banks currently.

BRI Danareksa Research

BRIDS Market Pulse : Chart of the week – Foreign Equity Flow Returned to JCI

The names of Minister and Vice Minister announced in President Prabowo’s cabinet comprise representation of political parties (ex-PDIP) and...

BRI Danareksa Research

Banks: 3Q24 Preview: Gradual Improvement in Liquidity and Strong Loan Growth to Drive Earnings

We expect the banks to deliver 7-23% and 5-21% net profit growth in 3Q24 and 9M24, driven by strong loan growth and resilient NIM.

BRI Danareksa Research

Equity Strategy: Riding the Wave of Earnings Growth, Strong IDR and Liquidity Catalysts

We raise our FY24-end JCI target to 8,238; our preferred picks are the high beta stocks, namely BBCA, BBNI, ARTO, CTRA, SMRA, ASII, GOTO.

BRI Danareksa Research

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