Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>You might have to go all the back to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guoco-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5290:1" rel="noopener">Guoco Group Ltd (53 HK)</a>'s 2012/2013 unconditional cash offer, which was ostensibly blocked by First Eagle AND Elliott Advisors.</li>
<li>Otherwise, it's slim pickings. Past Schemes or Tender Offers arguably failed as minorities were simply not supportive. There are exceptions, like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/soho-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4123:1" rel="noopener">Soho China (410 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">TCM (570 HK)</a>
</li>
<li>IF LVC wish to remain active in this space/region, they appear to be going about it in a counterproductive way. I still don't understand why they would want to block.</li>
</ul>


You might have to go all the back to Guoco Group Ltd (53 HK)'s 2012/2013 unconditional cash offer, which was ostensibly blocked by First Eagle AND Elliott Advisors.
Otherwise, it's slim pickings. Past Schemes or Tender Offers arguably failed as minorities were simply not supportive. There are exceptions, like Soho China (410 HK) and TCM (570 HK)

IF LVC wish to remain active in this space/region, they appear to be going about it in a counterproductive way. I still don't understand why they would want to block.


Henlius (2696 HK): So, When Was The Last Time A PE/VC Outfit Blocked A Deal?

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a>’s IFA opines that Mr Thomas Lau’s HK$0.98 privatisation offer is fair and reasonable. The vote is on 20 February. </li>
<li>The IFA analysis is flawed. The revised and final offer is light compared to precedent transactions, peer multiples and historical trading ranges.</li>
<li>The high AGM minority participation rates remain a vote risk, mainly as retail seems firmly against the offer. The 14.0% gross spread is high but justified. </li>
</ul>



Lifestyle China (2136 HK)’s IFA opines that Mr Thomas Lau’s HK$0.98 privatisation offer is fair and reasonable. The vote is on 20 February. 
The IFA analysis is flawed. The revised and final offer is light compared to precedent transactions, peer multiples and historical trading ranges.
The high AGM minority participation rates remain a vote risk, mainly as retail seems firmly against the offer. The 14.0% gross spread is high but justified. 


Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Expectations of a Deal Break with a Vote on 20 February

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a> disclosed a revised offer from Mr Thomas Lau at HK$0.98 per share, a 7.3% premium to the previous HK$0.913 offer. The offer has been declared final. </li>
<li>The bump was unsurprising. Crucially, the shares have traded above the revised offer on 20 of the 25 trading days since the previous offer was announced. </li>
<li>The revised offer remains light, and minorities remain unimpressed. The high AGM minority participation rates remain a vote risk. Head for the exit as the shares are trading at terms. </li>
</ul>



Lifestyle China (2136 HK) disclosed a revised offer from Mr Thomas Lau at HK$0.98 per share, a 7.3% premium to the previous HK$0.913 offer. The offer has been declared final. 
The bump was unsurprising. Crucially, the shares have traded above the revised offer on 20 of the 25 trading days since the previous offer was announced. 
The revised offer remains light, and minorities remain unimpressed. The high AGM minority participation rates remain a vote risk. Head for the exit as the shares are trading at terms. 


Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Thomas Lau Bumps, but the Offer Remains Light

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a> disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from Mr Thomas Lau at HK$0.913 per share, a 21.7% premium to the last close price of HK$0.75. </li>
<li>The offer is unattractive compared to precedent transactions, peer multiples, and historical trading ranges. It has not been declared final. </li>
<li>While no shareholder holds a blocking stake, the high AGM minority participation rates and emerging retail opposition suggest a high chance of a deal break. Therefore, a bump is probable.</li>
</ul>



Lifestyle China (2136 HK) disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from Mr Thomas Lau at HK$0.913 per share, a 21.7% premium to the last close price of HK$0.75. 
The offer is unattractive compared to precedent transactions, peer multiples, and historical trading ranges. It has not been declared final. 
While no shareholder holds a blocking stake, the high AGM minority participation rates and emerging retail opposition suggest a high chance of a deal break. Therefore, a bump is probable.


Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Thomas Lau’s Low-Balled Scheme Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a> is on a trading halt pending the release of an announcement under the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers. </li>
<li>Mr Thomas Lau (Chairman and CEO) is likely following up on the privatisation of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:112:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle International Holdings (1212 HK)</a> with the privatisation of Lifestyle China.  </li>
<li>We use three methods to triangulate the likely offer price, suggesting a range of HK$1.00-1.45 per share, with an average of HK$1.23 (a 63.3% premium to the last close).</li>
</ul>



Lifestyle China (2136 HK) is on a trading halt pending the release of an announcement under the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers. 
Mr Thomas Lau (Chairman and CEO) is likely following up on the privatisation of Lifestyle International Holdings (1212 HK) with the privatisation of Lifestyle China.  
We use three methods to triangulate the likely offer price, suggesting a range of HK$1.00-1.45 per share, with an average of HK$1.23 (a 63.3% premium to the last close).


Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Chairman/CEO to Launch Privatisation Offer?

Hong Kong

New World Department Store China Ltd owns and operates department stores in the Peoples Republic of China.

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