External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>NBS released (17 January) Dec and full year 2022 online retail sales data.</li><li>YoY growth of online physical goods GMV reaccelerated to 4.4% YoY in Dec 2022 (1.2% YoY in Nov), which in our view could be attributed to recovery in logistics and fulfilment capability in late Dec and frontloaded sales generated from the Spring Festival shopping festival due to the early Spring Festival in 2023.</li><li>But solid recovery in YoY growth trajectory likely takes time, in our view, echoed by the 4.7% YoY online retail sales growth during the first five days of the shopping festival (30 Dec 2022-3 Jan 2023; per Ministry of Commerce). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NBS released (17 January) Dec and full year 2022 online retail sales data.YoY growth of online physical goods GMV reaccelerated to 4.4% YoY in Dec 2022 (1.2% YoY in Nov), which in our view could be attributed to recovery in logistics and fulfilment capability in late Dec and frontloaded sales generated from the Spring Festival shopping festival due to the early Spring Festival in 2023.But solid recovery in YoY growth trajectory likely takes time, in our view, echoed by the 4.7% YoY online retail sales growth during the first five days of the shopping festival (30 Dec 2022-3 Jan 2023; per Ministry of Commerce). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Internet – December online retail sales recap

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Although pandemic impact will weigh on revenue growth recovery in 1Q23, Alibaba Group (BABA)’s China retail marketplace GMV growth should recover along with overall consumption recovery aided by economic stimulus policy in 2023, in our view.</li><li>Prudent cost control and strategic move to drive operating efficiency improvement are bearing fruit, and the potential recovery in revenue growth could fuel steady earnings growth in 2023.</li><li>We remain positive on BABA’s long-term development aided by international expansion and cloud business. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Although pandemic impact will weigh on revenue growth recovery in 1Q23, Alibaba Group (BABA)’s China retail marketplace GMV growth should recover along with overall consumption recovery aided by economic stimulus policy in 2023, in our view.Prudent cost control and strategic move to drive operating efficiency improvement are bearing fruit, and the potential recovery in revenue growth could fuel steady earnings growth in 2023.We remain positive on BABA’s long-term development aided by international expansion and cloud business. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alibaba (BABA US) – Looking beyond short-term pandemic impact

<ul><li>Continue to support digital economy development </li><li>Encouraging technology breakthroughs, innovations, and overseas expansion. </li><li>Business model robustness, operating leveraging improvement, and ability to expand to new revenue streams will be the key stock alpha drivers.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Continue to support digital economy development Encouraging technology breakthroughs, innovations, and overseas expansion. Business model robustness, operating leveraging improvement, and ability to expand to new revenue streams will be the key stock alpha drivers.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Internet – Quality growth and further digitization penetration provide growth support

<ul><li>NBS released (15 December) November online retail sales data.</li><li>YoY growth of online physical goods GMV slowed to 1.2% YoY amid soft consumption sentiment, but online retail sales penetration rate of physical goods reached 27.1% in 11M22 at a historical high, which we attribute to further constrained offline activities and further commerce adoption of new online format.</li><li>The high online penetration could sustain into December, in our view, as offline activities will remain constrained and continue to shift online.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NBS released (15 December) November online retail sales data.YoY growth of online physical goods GMV slowed to 1.2% YoY amid soft consumption sentiment, but online retail sales penetration rate of physical goods reached 27.1% in 11M22 at a historical high, which we attribute to further constrained offline activities and further commerce adoption of new online format.The high online penetration could sustain into December, in our view, as offline activities will remain constrained and continue to shift online.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Internet – November Online Retail Sales Recap

<ul><li>In our last report dated 17 October, we highlighted a list of 21 long ideas.</li><li>The basket (equal weighted) of these 21 stocks underperformed MSCI China index by 5.4ppt, delivering 0.2% return (vs MSCI China 5.6%).</li><li>China Meidong Auto and Innovent Biologics delivered over 20% of return, and 4 of our 21 long ideas outperformed the benchmark.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In our last report dated 17 October, we highlighted a list of 21 long ideas.The basket (equal weighted) of these 21 stocks underperformed MSCI China index by 5.4ppt, delivering 0.2% return (vs MSCI China 5.6%).China Meidong Auto and Innovent Biologics delivered over 20% of return, and 4 of our 21 long ideas outperformed the benchmark.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CMBI Research Focus List (November Edition) – Our best high conviction stock ideas

China

JD.com Inc is an online direct sales company in China.  The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications.  JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

PDD Holdings Inc. is a multinational commerce group that owns and operates a portfolio of businesses. The Company focuses on digital economy so that local communities and small businesses can benefit from the increased productivity and new opportunities. PDD Holdings has built a network of sourcing, logistics, and fulfillment capabilities for its underlying businesses.

Prosus N.V. provides internet based services. The Company focuses on investments in internet, digital media, e-commerce retailing, and consumer internet companies. Prosus serves customers worldwide.

Hainan Island Construction Co Ltd.  is a property development company. The Company also operates regional malls and hotels.

Guangzhou Friendship Group Co., Ltd operates supermarkets and department stores in Guangzhou, China.  The Company sells a variety of consumer products, including apparel, food and beverages, electronics, jewelry, cosmetics, and electric appliances.  Guangzhou Friendship also leases real estate properties.

Guangzhou Friendship Group Co, Ltd. (000987 CH)

Golden Eagle Retail Group Limited operates department stores in China. The Company's stores target mid-range and high-end market segments in China, and contain various functions and amenities such as dining, entertainment, beauty and personal care, cinemas, and preschool education in addition to their core function as an international department store.

Tianjin Quanye Bazaar (Group) Co., Ltd. owns and operates department stores and supermarkets, as well as sells general merchandise on a wholesale basis. Tianjin Quanye also provides storage and cargo delivery services, and invests in real estate and interior decoration businesses.

Xian International Medical Investment Co Ltd is principally engaged in the medical services industry.

Xian International Medical Invest (000516 CH)

Wangfujing Group Co., Ltd. owns and operates department stores in Beijing, Guangzhou, Chengdu, Wuhan, and other cities in China.  The Company also develops residential real estate.

Dollar General Corporation operates a chain of discount retail stores located primarily in the southern, southwestern, midwestern, and eastern United States. The Company offer a broad selection of merchandise, including consumable products such as food, paper and cleaning products, health, beauty, pet supplies, and non-consumables such as seasonal merchandise.

Trent Limited operates a chain of retail stores that sell fashion apparel, cosmetics, perfumery products and toiletry items. The Company sells apparel for men, women and children. Trent sells its cosmetics products under the "Westside" and "Trent" brand names.

Dollar Tree, Inc. operates a discount variety store chain in the United States. The Company sells an assortment of everyday general merchandise at the $1.00 price point.

Pan Pacific International Holdings Corporation operates discount stores which sell consumer electronics, daily necessities, groceries, watches, and sporting goods. The Company mostly operates small scale stores based in Tokyo.

Pan Pacific International Holdings (7532 JP)

Target Corporation operates general merchandise discount stores. The Company focuses on merchandising operations which includes general merchandise and food discount stores and a fully integrated online business. Target also offers credit to qualified applicants through its branded proprietary credit cards.

Naspers Limited operates in the technology industry. The Company invests in global internet companies across the world.

Next Plc conducts retailing, home shopping, and customer services management operations.  The Company's retail stores sell ladies wear, mens wear, childrens wear, and housewares.

Avenue Supermarts Ltd. (ASL) owns and operates hypermarkets and supermarkets. The Company offers products such as garments, footwears, toys and games, bed and bath linen, stationery, grocery, household, and electronic products. ASL operates throughout India.

Dollarama Inc. operates as an online marketplace. The Company offers cleaning, school, office, home, kitchen, food, health, beauty, hardware, electronics, toys, and pets products, as well as provides delivery services. Dollarama serves customers in Canada.

MercadoLibre, Inc. operates an online trading site for the Latin American markets. The Company's website allows businesses and individuals to list items, conduct sales, and purchases online in either a fixed-price and auction format. MercadoLibre offers classified advertisements for motor vehicles, vessels, aircraft, and real estate, as well as online payment services.

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US)

China Internet – December online retail sales recap

YoY growth of online physical goods GMV reaccelerated to 4.4% YoY in Dec 2022 (1.2% YoY in Nov), which in our view could be attributed to recovery...

CMB International

Alibaba (BABA US) – Looking beyond short-term pandemic impact

Although pandemic impact will weigh on revenue growth recovery in 1Q23, Alibaba Group (BABA)’s China retail marketplace GMV growth should recover...

CMB International

China Internet – Quality growth and further digitization penetration provide growth support

Continue to support digital economy development. Encouraging technology breakthroughs, innovations, and overseas expansion.

CMB International

China Internet – November Online Retail Sales Recap

The high online penetration could sustain into December, in our view, as offline activities will remain constrained and continue to shift online.

CMB International

CMBI Research Focus List (November Edition) – Our best high conviction stock ideas

In our last report dated 17 October, we highlighted a list of 21 long ideas.The basket (equal weighted) of these 21 stocks underperformed MSCI...

CMB International

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