Forensic Analyst

Jason Yap, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<div><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/parade-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6987:1" rel="noopener">Parade Technologies (4966 TT)</a> is a fabless semiconductor that specialises in high-speed video interfacing and processing products, and expected to see large passive inflows from an MSCI rebalance (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/msci-nov-2021-index-rebalance-preview-go" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:59067" rel="noopener">MSCI Nov 2021 Index Rebalance Preview: Go!</a>).</div>The review period for price cut-off started on 18 October 2021 and will run to 29 October 2021. MSCI is expected to announce the results of the review on 12 November 2021, with changes implemented after the close of trading on 30 November 2021. In this Insight, we provide a primer on Parade Technologies including an analysis in respect of where in the value chain it sits, in particular as a key display supplier to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple Inc (AAPL US)</a>, potential investment catalysts, and valuation.

Parade Technologies (4966 TT) is a fabless semiconductor that specialises in high-speed video interfacing and processing products, and expected to see large passive inflows from an MSCI rebalance (MSCI Nov 2021 Index Rebalance Preview: Go!).The review period for price cut-off started on 18 October 2021 and will run to 29 October 2021. MSCI is expected to announce the results of the review on 12 November 2021, with changes implemented after the close of trading on 30 November 2021. In this Insight, we provide a primer on Parade Technologies including an analysis in respect of where in the value chain it sits, in particular as a key display supplier to Apple Inc (AAPL US), potential investment catalysts, and valuation. 

Parade Technologies (4966 TT) - Expensive Now, But Accumulate on Weakness Given Structural Positives

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/parade-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6987:1" rel="noopener">Parade Technologies (4966 TT)</a> is a high-speed mixed-signal fabless semiconductor company that designs, develops, and sells next-generation high-speed interface, display and touch solutions for computing, consumer, and handset markets. 
This is a high-quality tech company, with significant revenue growth and earnings momentum, generating returns well above its cost of capital, a net cash balance sheet, and an attractive sustainable 2%+ dividend yield. 
Although current valuation levels are above historical average levels, and fair at best, further revenue growth expectation upgrades coupled with fair gross margin expansion forecasts, and a management team confident of having secured sufficient manufacturing capacity to address exceptionally strong end-product demand, makes the continuation of the earnings upgrade cycle seem probable, which in turn should continue to be a positive share price catalyst. Parade Technologies is also expected to see large passive inflows during November 2021 following the MSCI November 2021 Semi-Annual Index Review.

Parade Technologies (4966 TT) is a high-speed mixed-signal fabless semiconductor company that designs, develops, and sells next-generation high-speed interface, display and touch solutions for computing, consumer, and handset markets. 
This is a high-quality tech company, with significant revenue growth and earnings momentum, generating returns well above its cost of capital, a net cash balance sheet, and an attractive sustainable 2%+ dividend yield. 
Although current valuation levels are above historical average levels, and fair at best, further revenue growth expectation upgrades coupled with fair gross margin expansion forecasts, and a management team confident of having secured sufficient manufacturing capacity to address exceptionally strong end-product demand, makes the continuation of the earnings upgrade cycle seem probable, which in turn should continue to be a positive share price catalyst. Parade Technologies is also expected to see large passive inflows during November 2021 following the MSCI November 2021 Semi-Annual Index Review.

Parade Technologies: Further Revenue Growth Upgrades, and Dividends, Should Support Valuation

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>In 3Q21, the whole smartphone market was weak due to the chip shortage.</li>
<li>Apple took back the No. 2 place from Xiaomi in shipment market share.</li>
<li>Samsung is self-supporting in chip supply, but Xiaomi is not.</li>
<li>Both of Apple and Samsung's margins are higher than Xiaomi's.</li>
</ul>


In 3Q21, the whole smartphone market was weak due to the chip shortage.
Apple took back the No. 2 place from Xiaomi in shipment market share.
Samsung is self-supporting in chip supply, but Xiaomi is not.
Both of Apple and Samsung's margins are higher than Xiaomi's.


Xiaomi (1810 HK): Weak Market in 3Q21 and Not Competitive Internationally

Forensic Accounting

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nanofilm-technologies-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29700:1" rel="noopener">Nanofilm (NANO SP)</a> is a Singapore-based nanotechnology solutions provider. Its principal business is the manufacturing and distribution of advanced materials and nanoproducts for the consumer electronics, communications, and automotive industries.Founded in 1999 by Executive Chairman Dr Shi Xu, who was then an associate professor at Nanyang Technology University (NTU)'s School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Nanofilm raised approximately SGD470.1 million in IPO proceeds in October 2020.During its short history as a public company, the company had to endure significant regulator and investor scrutiny following sub-par H1 2021 results and senior management changes, including the abrupt resignations of former CEO, Mr Lee Liang Huang and former COO, Mr Ricky Tan, in quick succession (June and August 2021 respectively). Dr Shi, assumed the role of interim CEO, until the <a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/nanofilm-appoints-new-ceo-says-it-continues-to-see-growth-momentum-for-business#:~:text=MAINBOARD%2DLISTED%20Nanofilm%20Technologies%20International,on%20Thursday%20(Oct%2014)." target="_blank" rel="noopener">recent appointment</a> of Mr Gary Ho Hock Yong, as Nanofilm's CEO.  Dr Shi served as the company's CEO from 1999 to 2017. On 14 October 2021, Nanofilm provided a business update for Q3 2021, which highlighted continued growth momentum despite a volatile business environment, amid the COVID-19 pandemic and supply chain disruptions. In this Insight, we examine Nanofilm's financial and business risks based on its IPO prospectus disclosures and certain new risks that emerged given latest available facts and developments, including but not limited to the following: <ol>
<li>High Customer Concentration  </li>
<li>Competition from Alternative Products and Solutions</li>
<li>Significant Management Changes </li>
<li>Management Share Disposals </li>
</ol>Accordingly, we highlight the key areas of concern for investors.

Nanofilm (NANO SP) is a Singapore-based nanotechnology solutions provider. Its principal business is the manufacturing and distribution of advanced materials and nanoproducts for the consumer electronics, communications, and automotive industries.Founded in 1999 by Executive Chairman Dr Shi Xu, who was then an associate professor at Nanyang Technology University (NTU)'s School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Nanofilm raised approximately SGD470.1 million in IPO proceeds in October 2020.During its short history as a public company, the company had to endure significant regulator and investor scrutiny following sub-par H1 2021 results and senior management changes, including the abrupt resignations of former CEO, Mr Lee Liang Huang and former COO, Mr Ricky Tan, in quick succession (June and August 2021 respectively). Dr Shi, assumed the role of interim CEO, until the recent appointment of Mr Gary Ho Hock Yong, as Nanofilm's CEO.  Dr Shi served as the company's CEO from 1999 to 2017. On 14 October 2021, Nanofilm provided a business update for Q3 2021, which highlighted continued growth momentum despite a volatile business environment, amid the COVID-19 pandemic and supply chain disruptions. In this Insight, we examine Nanofilm's financial and business risks based on its IPO prospectus disclosures and certain new risks that emerged given latest available facts and developments, including but not limited to the following: 
High Customer Concentration  
Competition from Alternative Products and Solutions
Significant Management Changes 
Management Share Disposals 
Accordingly, we highlight the key areas of concern for investors. 

Understanding Nanofilm (Nano SP)'s 3Cs - Customer Concentration, Competition and Management Changes

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Independent Insight Provider

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

*Fintech Hits Are Coming: Regulators have forced the capitulation of internet anti-competitive behavior. Most recently, both Alibaba (BABA.US) [Alibaba} and Tencent (700.HK) [Tencent] have stopped blocking rivals’ links which prevented users to purchase goods using competitor payment apps. This is a big deal, given that FinTech represented a growing 30.3% of revenue for Tencent at 2Q21. The more Tencent relies on Fintech to support growth, the more alarming the moves by Alibaba and other competitors are; and*Prior To The War On Gaming, Tencent’s Results Have Already Deteriorated: Tencent’s 2Q21 GAAP net income declined CNY 5.2 bn (10.8%) linked quarter – and were of poor quality. Results were challenged by: cost of revenue increase; operating expense increase; losses in associates; higher impairment charges; and weaker online games. Were it not for the artificially lower tax rate, results would have been even more challenged. We can't wait to see what the impact of mainland China’s latest regulatory maneuvers will have on Tencent’s 3Q21 results out on November 10th.

*Fintech Hits Are Coming: Regulators have forced the capitulation of internet anti-competitive behavior. Most recently, both Alibaba (BABA.US) [Alibaba} and Tencent (700.HK) [Tencent] have stopped blocking rivals’ links which prevented users to purchase goods using competitor payment apps. This is a big deal, given that FinTech represented a growing 30.3% of revenue for Tencent at 2Q21. The more Tencent relies on Fintech to support growth, the more alarming the moves by Alibaba and other competitors are; and*Prior To The War On Gaming, Tencent’s Results Have Already Deteriorated: Tencent’s 2Q21 GAAP net income declined CNY 5.2 bn (10.8%) linked quarter – and were of poor quality. Results were challenged by: cost of revenue increase; operating expense increase; losses in associates; higher impairment charges; and weaker online games. Were it not for the artificially lower tax rate, results would have been even more challenged. We can't wait to see what the impact of mainland China’s latest regulatory maneuvers will have on Tencent’s 3Q21 results out on November 10th.  

Tencent Holdings – Under Severe Pressure

United States

Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related accessories. The Company also offers payment, digital content, cloud and advertising services. Apple Inc.'s customers are primarily in consumer, small & mid-sized business, education, enterprise and government markets worldwide.

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Apple (AAPL US)

Parade Technologies (4966 TT) - Expensive Now, But Accumulate on Weakness Given Structural Positives

We provide a primer on Parade Technologies including an analysis in respect of where in the value chain it sits, in particular as a key display...

Jason Yap, CFA

Parade Technologies: Further Revenue Growth Upgrades, and Dividends, Should Support Valuation

In this insight, I take a deep-dive analysis into fabless IC design house, Parade Technologies, its industry value chain, current valuation levels,...

Wium Malan, CFA

Xiaomi (1810 HK): Weak Market in 3Q21 and Not Competitive Internationally

In 3Q21, the smartphone market was weak due to the chip shortage. Apple took back the No. 2 place from Xiaomi in market share. Xiaomi has tech and...

Ming Lu

Understanding Nanofilm (Nano SP)'s 3Cs - Customer Concentration, Competition and Management Changes

In its short listed history, Nanofilm endured significant regulator and investor scrutiny following sub-par results, management share disposals and...

Jason Yap, CFA

Tencent Holdings – Under Severe Pressure

TENCENT: Alibaba and Tencent have begun unblocking rivals’ app links. Prior to impact of the new regulations, Tencent’s results were already stressed.

Thomas J. Monaco

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