ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Indonesian stock market was down 2% over the last year despite a flurry of inflows in the summer but this year looks interesting with a new government in place. </li>
<li>GDP growth forecasts are more optimistic for 2025 and government stimulus should help to drive higher consumption, with FDI driven by more value-added investments in the EV-related projects. </li>
<li>Increasing digitalisation of the economy and greater use of AI will drive profitability and data centre growth. Interest rates are expected to fall -50-100bps which should also be supportive.</li>
</ul>


The Indonesian stock market was down 2% over the last year despite a flurry of inflows in the summer but this year looks interesting with a new government in place. 
GDP growth forecasts are more optimistic for 2025 and government stimulus should help to drive higher consumption, with FDI driven by more value-added investments in the EV-related projects. 
Increasing digitalisation of the economy and greater use of AI will drive profitability and data centre growth. Interest rates are expected to fall -50-100bps which should also be supportive.


CrossASEAN Indonesia Strategy - Parting Clouds

Equity Bottom-Up

Matahari Department Store / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-matahari-department-store" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5230:1" rel="noopener">Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ)</a> reported a slightly weaker 1H2024 due to a slower performance over Lebaran and afterwards but remains confident in its ongoing initiatives to drive future growth. </li>
<li>The company will not open any new stores in the 2H2024 as it focuses on reservations and driving its private labels, including Suko and Nevada, and consignment vendors. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-matahari-department-store" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5230:1" rel="noopener">Matahari</a> continues to drive its omnichannel sales and build on its membership penetration to better target sales. Valuations remain attractive on 4.2x FY2025E PER with a 13% dividend yield.</li>
</ul>



Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ) reported a slightly weaker 1H2024 due to a slower performance over Lebaran and afterwards but remains confident in its ongoing initiatives to drive future growth. 
The company will not open any new stores in the 2H2024 as it focuses on reservations and driving its private labels, including Suko and Nevada, and consignment vendors. 

Matahari continues to drive its omnichannel sales and build on its membership penetration to better target sales. Valuations remain attractive on 4.2x FY2025E PER with a 13% dividend yield.


Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ) - Private Label Revamp

<ul>
<li>Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ) results reflected a positive impact from the timing of Lebaran although the like-for-like comparisons were slightly below management expectations., although SSSG remains very strong YoY. </li>
<li>Management highlighted that better inventory controls meant that inventory levels finished 1Q2024 at significantly lower levels versus last year, with effective cost controls resulting in better EBITDA and net margins. </li>
<li>The company will slow its new store build-out to focus on improving the productivity of existing stores, with refurbishment of six stores and improving merchandise mix driving growth. </li>
</ul>


Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ) results reflected a positive impact from the timing of Lebaran although the like-for-like comparisons were slightly below management expectations., although SSSG remains very strong YoY. 
Management highlighted that better inventory controls meant that inventory levels finished 1Q2024 at significantly lower levels versus last year, with effective cost controls resulting in better EBITDA and net margins. 
The company will slow its new store build-out to focus on improving the productivity of existing stores, with refurbishment of six stores and improving merchandise mix driving growth. 


Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ) - Measuring Up With Initiatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-matahari-department-store" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5230:1" rel="noopener">Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ)</a> is the key player in the department store space in Indonesia with a significant transformation well underway to drive future growth and profitability.</li>
<li>The company had a slightly disappointing Lebaran performance given some seasonal disparities but continues to make significant progress in revamping its merchandise mix, with a strong omnichannel yielding results. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-matahari-department-store" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5230:1" rel="noopener">Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ)</a> looks exceptionally cheap on 4.0x FY2024E PER, and with a dividend yield of 20.0% and with earnings expected to rebound in 2024E.</li>
</ul>



Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ) is the key player in the department store space in Indonesia with a significant transformation well underway to drive future growth and profitability.
The company had a slightly disappointing Lebaran performance given some seasonal disparities but continues to make significant progress in revamping its merchandise mix, with a strong omnichannel yielding results. 

Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ) looks exceptionally cheap on 4.0x FY2024E PER, and with a dividend yield of 20.0% and with earnings expected to rebound in 2024E.


Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ) - Transforming and Trendy

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-matahari-department-store" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5230:1" rel="noopener">Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ)</a> reported another slow set of results in 4Q2023, as it saw slower demand and continues to clear aged inventory. </li>
<li>The company is well-prepared for the upcoming Lebaran season with more conservative inventory levels. It will also see the benefits of new brands coming on stream this year. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-matahari-department-store" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5230:1" rel="noopener">Matahari Department Store</a> will open 4-6 new stores in 2024 but close 10 underperforming stores, with a continued focus on new DP brands like SUKO. Valuations remain attractive. </li>
</ul>



Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ) reported another slow set of results in 4Q2023, as it saw slower demand and continues to clear aged inventory. 
The company is well-prepared for the upcoming Lebaran season with more conservative inventory levels. It will also see the benefits of new brands coming on stream this year. 

Matahari Department Store will open 4-6 new stores in 2024 but close 10 underperforming stores, with a continued focus on new DP brands like SUKO. Valuations remain attractive. 


Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ) - Primed for Recovery

Indonesia

PT Matahari Department Store Tbk engages in the retail business for several types of products such as clothes, accessories, bags, shoes, cosmetics, household appliances, and management consulting services.

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Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ)

CrossASEAN Indonesia Strategy - Parting Clouds

The Indonesian stock market was down 2% over the last year despite a flurry of inflows in the summer but this year looks interesting with a new...

Angus Mackintosh