Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 1st.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Meituan, Shk Ppt, Baba, Bud Apac, New World Dev.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 1st.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Meituan, Shk Ppt, Baba, Bud Apac, New World Dev.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, Shk Ppt, Baba, Bud Apac, New World Dev

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Mar 8th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Dongyue (189 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Dongyue (189 HK), AIA (1299 HK), HSBC (5 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Mar 8th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Dongyue (189 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Dongyue (189 HK), AIA (1299 HK), HSBC (5 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Mar 8th): Dongyue, Aia, Kuaishou Technology

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into CNOOC, China Telecom, China Mobile, Li Auto, Meituan. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into CNOOC, China Telecom, China Mobile, Li Auto, Meituan. 


Hong Kong Connect Flows (February): CNOOC, China Telecom, China Mobile, Li Auto, Meituan

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

China Construction Bank H / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The large SOE bank indicates that it will list its housing rental subsidiary, although the proceeds may be inconsequential given the size of CCB.</li>
<li>CCB shows lower (and very low) credit costs despite what appears to be a major weakening in its NPL distribution.</li>
<li>Loss NPLs are up 2.5x from FY19 to 1H23 much more than its 1.5x rise in total NPLs, so that its declining and benign credit costs may not last.</li>
</ul>


The large SOE bank indicates that it will list its housing rental subsidiary, although the proceeds may be inconsequential given the size of CCB.
CCB shows lower (and very low) credit costs despite what appears to be a major weakening in its NPL distribution.
Loss NPLs are up 2.5x from FY19 to 1H23 much more than its 1.5x rise in total NPLs, so that its declining and benign credit costs may not last.


CCB- Housing Rental Subsidiary Listing May Be Overshadowed By Weak Credit Metrics

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A share indices were up on the week. HK stock indices were down except for HS Tech. H-shares with A-share pairs were up. </li>
<li>Net SOUTHBOUND buying was HK$9.1bn in the second post-holiday week after being +HK$20bn in the first week. LOTS of SOEs on the net buying side. Still.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND continues to buy high-div SOEs. ex-div is still three months away, and given the new KPIs discussed late January by SASAC official, these still seem to be appropriate targets.</li>
</ul>


A share indices were up on the week. HK stock indices were down except for HS Tech. H-shares with A-share pairs were up. 
Net SOUTHBOUND buying was HK$9.1bn in the second post-holiday week after being +HK$20bn in the first week. LOTS of SOEs on the net buying side. Still.
SOUTHBOUND continues to buy high-div SOEs. ex-div is still three months away, and given the new KPIs discussed late January by SASAC official, these still seem to be appropriate targets.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 1 Mar 2024); Continued Big Buys of SOEs (Getting Boring to Say This)

United Kingdom

HSBC Holdings plc is the holding company for the HSBC Group. The Company provides a variety of international banking and financial services, including retail and corporate banking, trade, trusteeship, securities, custody, capital markets, treasury, private and investment banking, and insurance.  The Group operates worldwide.

Price Gauge
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HSBC Holdings (5 HK)

HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, Shk Ppt, Baba, Bud Apac, New World Dev

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 1st and highlight short interest changes in Meituan, Shk Ppt, Baba, Bud...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Mar 8th): Dongyue, Aia, Kuaishou Technology

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Dongyue (189 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (February): CNOOC, China Telecom, China Mobile, Li Auto, Meituan

Analysis of monthly Hong Kong Connect flows reveals top stocks attracting mainland investors, including CNOOC, China Telecom, China Mobile, Li...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CCB- Housing Rental Subsidiary Listing May Be Overshadowed By Weak Credit Metrics

CCB will list its subsidiary China Housing Rental although this may be small relative to the bank's total loans, and any benefits can be...

Daniel Tabbush

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 1 Mar 2024); Continued Big Buys of SOEs (Getting Boring to Say This)

The HK Connect SOUTHBOUND flows were again positive. SOEs continue to be bought. The ex-dates for high-div SOEs in the oil and telecom sectors are...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, Shk Ppt, Baba, Bud Apac, New World Dev

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 1st and highlight short interest changes in Meituan, Shk Ppt, Baba, Bud...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Mar 8th): Dongyue, Aia, Kuaishou Technology

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Dongyue (189 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (February): CNOOC, China Telecom, China Mobile, Li Auto, Meituan

​Analysis of monthly Hong Kong Connect flows reveals top stocks attracting mainland investors, including CNOOC, China Telecom, China Mobile, Li...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CCB- Housing Rental Subsidiary Listing May Be Overshadowed By Weak Credit Metrics

CCB will list its subsidiary China Housing Rental although this may be small relative to the bank's total loans, and any benefits can be...

Daniel Tabbush

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 1 Mar 2024); Continued Big Buys of SOEs (Getting Boring to Say This)

The HK Connect SOUTHBOUND flows were again positive. SOEs continue to be bought. The ex-dates for high-div SOEs in the oil and telecom sectors are...

Travis Lundy

Analysis of monthly Hong Kong Connect flows reveals top stocks attracting mainland investors, including CNOOC, China Telecom, China Mobile, Li...