ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ)</a> released another set of positive numbers in 3Q2023, outperforming the overall sector on loan and CASA growth, allowing the banks to maintain NIMs and profitability.</li>
<li>The bank's digital banking franchise continues to grow, with 31 million users of its mobile banking, boosting transactions and customer numbers, with a broadening of features and service offerings available. </li>
<li>Consumer banking, SME, and Corporate lending will continue to drive loan growth and credit costs continue to come down boosting profits. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia</a> remains a core holding. </li>
</ul>



Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) released another set of positive numbers in 3Q2023, outperforming the overall sector on loan and CASA growth, allowing the banks to maintain NIMs and profitability.
The bank's digital banking franchise continues to grow, with 31 million users of its mobile banking, boosting transactions and customer numbers, with a broadening of features and service offerings available. 
Consumer banking, SME, and Corporate lending will continue to drive loan growth and credit costs continue to come down boosting profits. Bank Central Asia remains a core holding. 


Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) - Batting Above Average

Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> is the largest buy (XSOE) - estimated flow $44m. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grupo-financiero-banorte-sab-d" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24780:1" rel="noopener">Grupo Financiero Banorte SAB d (GFNORTEO MF)</a> is the 2nd largest buy - estimated flow $40m.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wistron-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2189:1" rel="noopener">Wistron Corp (3231 TT)</a> is the largest sell - estimated flow $68m. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:208:1" rel="noopener">POSCO Holdings (005490 KS)</a> is the 2nd largest sell - estimated flow $59m.</li>
<li>Our estimate for the total value of new constituent buys is $1.38bn. We expect deletions to the value of $1.41bn to be sold down across the 3 funds.</li>
</ul>



HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) is the largest buy (XSOE) - estimated flow $44m. Grupo Financiero Banorte SAB d (GFNORTEO MF) is the 2nd largest buy - estimated flow $40m.

Wistron Corp (3231 TT) is the largest sell - estimated flow $68m. POSCO Holdings (005490 KS) is the 2nd largest sell - estimated flow $59m.
Our estimate for the total value of new constituent buys is $1.38bn. We expect deletions to the value of $1.41bn to be sold down across the 3 funds.


WisdomTree Oct '23 Rebalance: Estimated Flows for All Adds and Deletes in DEM, XSOE & DGS

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Indonesia's election race is about to begin with the Presidential candidates announcing running mates on 26th October and with campaigns that could boost consumer demand. </li>
<li>The Indonesian economy should see GDP growth above 5% in 2023 and 2024, with inflation already under control at 2.28% in September. FDI remains positive although may slow before elections. </li>
<li>We explore the prospects for different sectors with a positive view on banks, retail, consumer staples, property, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International</a> as a market proxy, with some opportunities in tech.</li>
</ul>


Indonesia's election race is about to begin with the Presidential candidates announcing running mates on 26th October and with campaigns that could boost consumer demand. 
The Indonesian economy should see GDP growth above 5% in 2023 and 2024, with inflation already under control at 2.28% in September. FDI remains positive although may slow before elections. 
We explore the prospects for different sectors with a positive view on banks, retail, consumer staples, property, and Astra International as a market proxy, with some opportunities in tech.


Indonesian Strategy - Election Race Hots Up Amidst Profits Recovery

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Index is a fundamentally weighted index that measures the performance of high dividend yield stocks within emerging markets.</li>
<li>The October rebalance will result in a one-way turnover of ~37% and in a one-way trade of US$926m. There are 92 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade.</li>
<li>In Asia, the largest buy flows are expected on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a> and the largest sell flows on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:208:1" rel="noopener">POSCO Holdings (005490 KS)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Index is a fundamentally weighted index that measures the performance of high dividend yield stocks within emerging markets.
The October rebalance will result in a one-way turnover of ~37% and in a one-way trade of US$926m. There are 92 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade.
In Asia, the largest buy flows are expected on Astra International (ASII IJ) and the largest sell flows on POSCO Holdings (005490 KS). 


WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Index Rebalance: Huge Turnover & Trade Next Week

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Barito Renewables Energy / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/barito-renewables" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40150:1" rel="noopener">Barito Renewables (2306028D IJ)</a> raised around US$200m in its Indonesian IPO, after pricing at the top end of its IPO range at IDR780/share.</li>
<li>Barito Renewables (BR) is Indonesia’s largest geothermal power producer, and the third-largest globally by installed capacity, as per the firm.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we covered the company’s performance, had undertaken a peer comparison and shared our thoughts on valuation. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Barito Renewables (2306028D IJ) raised around US$200m in its Indonesian IPO, after pricing at the top end of its IPO range at IDR780/share.
Barito Renewables (BR) is Indonesia’s largest geothermal power producer, and the third-largest globally by installed capacity, as per the firm.
In our previous notes, we covered the company’s performance, had undertaken a peer comparison and shared our thoughts on valuation. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Barito Renewables IPO Trading - Peers Look More Attractive Instead

Indonesia

PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk provides commercial banking activities and its related services. The Bank also provides banking activities based on shariah principles.

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Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ)

Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) - Batting Above Average

Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) released another set of positive numbers in 3Q2023, outperforming the overall sector on loan and CASA growth, allowing...

Angus Mackintosh

WisdomTree Oct '23 Rebalance: Estimated Flows for All Adds and Deletes in DEM, XSOE & DGS

WisdomTree Oct rebalance (excel sheet with aggregated flow estimates): this insight includes ALL fresh additions to and deletions from DEM, DGS and...

DMA

Indonesian Strategy - Election Race Hots Up Amidst Profits Recovery

We explore the prospects across different sectors in Indonesia with a positive view on banks, retail, consumer staples, property, and Astra...

Angus Mackintosh

WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Index Rebalance: Huge Turnover & Trade Next Week

There are 265 adds/215 deletes for the WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Index. One-way turnover is 37% resulting in a one-way trade of...

Brian Freitas

Barito Renewables IPO Trading - Peers Look More Attractive Instead

Barito Renewables (2306028D IJ) raised around US$200m in its Indonesian IPO, after pricing at the top end of its IPO range at IDR780/share. In this...

Ethan Aw

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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