Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Independent Insight Provider

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Equity Bottom-Up

<p><strong><em>*Meh 1Q21 Result:</em></strong> Tencent Holdings (700.HK) [Tencent] reported 1Q21 total revenues of CNY 135.3 bn - increasing 25% YOY, while non-GAAP operating profit aggregated CNY 42.8 bn - increasing 20% YOY; and</p><p><strong><em>*Capital Raise Likely Coming:</em></strong> For Tencent, WeChat Pay and the broader lending/deposit taking business are likely to be reined-in. At CNY 38.5 bn for full year 2020, FinTech represents a growing 28.8% of revenue – and is a key and growing component of Tencent’s current and future results. No matter what spin that Tencent wants to place on its other businesses, an FHC represents significant downside risks. Earnings will compress, as capital requirements increase.</p>

*Meh 1Q21 Result: Tencent Holdings (700.HK) [Tencent] reported 1Q21 total revenues of CNY 135.3 bn - increasing 25% YOY, while non-GAAP operating profit aggregated CNY 42.8 bn - increasing 20% YOY; and*Capital Raise Likely Coming: For Tencent, WeChat Pay and the broader lending/deposit taking business are likely to be reined-in. At CNY 38.5 bn for full year 2020, FinTech represents a growing 28.8% of revenue – and is a key and growing component of Tencent’s current and future results. No matter what spin that Tencent wants to place on its other businesses, an FHC represents significant downside risks. Earnings will compress, as capital requirements increase.

Tencent Holdings – Awaiting The Big Hit

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/waterdrop-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33018:1" rel="noopener">Waterdrop Inc (WDH US)</a>, a technology platform for insurance and healthcare services in China, aims to raise up to US$360m in its US IPO. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a> owned 22.1% and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiss-re-ag-1f83dcbc-730e-46fa-82f2-bfe7e8e361a1" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27914:1" rel="noopener">Swiss Re AG (SREN SW)</a> owned 5.7% of the company prior to its listing.</p></div><div><p>In our previous note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/waterdrop-pre-ipo-the-positives-fast-growth-strong-backers" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Waterdrop Pre-IPO - The Positives - Fast Growth, Strong Backers</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/waterdrop-pre-ipo-the-negatives-scandals-shutdowns-competing-with-giants-regulation" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Waterdrop Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Scandals, Shutdowns, Competing with Giants, Regulation</a> we spoke about the positive and negative aspects of the deal. </p></div><div><p>In this note, we’ll run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about valuations.</p></div>

Waterdrop Inc (WDH US), a technology platform for insurance and healthcare services in China, aims to raise up to US$360m in its US IPO. Tencent Holdings (700 HK) owned 22.1% and Swiss Re AG (SREN SW) owned 5.7% of the company prior to its listing.In our previous note, Waterdrop Pre-IPO - The Positives - Fast Growth, Strong Backers, and Waterdrop Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Scandals, Shutdowns, Competing with Giants, Regulation we spoke about the positive and negative aspects of the deal. In this note, we’ll run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about valuations.

Waterdrop IPO - Valuation Has Nearly Tripled over the past Year

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/waterdrop-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33018:1" rel="noopener">Waterdrop Inc (WDH US)</a> is the largest independent third-party insurance platform in China as measured by life and health insurance first-year premiums (FYP) distributed in 2020, according to iResearch. Waterdrop is backed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiss-re-ag-1f83dcbc-730e-46fa-82f2-bfe7e8e361a1" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27914:1" rel="noopener">Swiss Re AG (SREN SW)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>.</p></div><div><p>At the mid-point of the proposed IPO price range of $10.00-12.00 per ADS, Waterdrop will have a market cap of $4.3 billion. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the net proceeds are $301.6 million. New and existing shareholders have indicated on $210 million of the IPO, including Boyu Capital ($100 million), HOPU Investments (at least $80 million), and Kevin Sunny Holding ($30 million). The indications of interest represent 63.6% of the ADSs on offer at the mid-point of the IPO price range.</p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/waterdrop-ipo-initiation-going-for-brokers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50610" rel="noopener">Waterdrop IPO Initiation: Going for Brokers</a>, we opined that as a leading online third-party insurance broker, Waterdrop is well-positioned to benefit from favourable industry trends. The key unknown is whether the changing regulations will throw a spanner in the works. Notwithstanding the regulatory overhang, we concluded that Waterdrop is worth a look. Our analysis suggests that the IPO price range is full at the high-end but has some upside at the low-end. </p></div></div></div>

Waterdrop Inc (WDH US) is the largest independent third-party insurance platform in China as measured by life and health insurance first-year premiums (FYP) distributed in 2020, according to iResearch. Waterdrop is backed by Tencent Holdings (700 HK), Swiss Re AG (SREN SW) and Meituan (3690 HK).At the mid-point of the proposed IPO price range of $10.00-12.00 per ADS, Waterdrop will have a market cap of $4.3 billion. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the net proceeds are $301.6 million. New and existing shareholders have indicated on $210 million of the IPO, including Boyu Capital ($100 million), HOPU Investments (at least $80 million), and Kevin Sunny Holding ($30 million). The indications of interest represent 63.6% of the ADSs on offer at the mid-point of the IPO price range.In Waterdrop IPO Initiation: Going for Brokers, we opined that as a leading online third-party insurance broker, Waterdrop is well-positioned to benefit from favourable industry trends. The key unknown is whether the changing regulations will throw a spanner in the works. Notwithstanding the regulatory overhang, we concluded that Waterdrop is worth a look. Our analysis suggests that the IPO price range is full at the high-end but has some upside at the low-end. 

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Medlive Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<p>On March 29, 2021, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medlive-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32985:1" rel="noopener">Medlive Technology (MLT HK)</a> submitted its listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Medlive is the largest online professional physician platform in China. Actually, the digital medical information services is a popular market that is favored by capital. For example,  in 2017, KKR acquired WebMD Health for about $2.8 billion. In China, in 2020, DXY (Ding Xiang Yuan) obtained $500 million of investment from Trustbridge Partners, Tencent and Hillhouse Capital. ByteDance also acquired Baikemy.com for RMB500 million. So how is the future prospects of Medlive? The following mainly analyzed the strength and challenges for the Company.</p>

On March 29, 2021, Medlive Technology (MLT HK) submitted its listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Medlive is the largest online professional physician platform in China. Actually, the digital medical information services is a popular market that is favored by capital. For example,  in 2017, KKR acquired WebMD Health for about $2.8 billion. In China, in 2020, DXY (Ding Xiang Yuan) obtained $500 million of investment from Trustbridge Partners, Tencent and Hillhouse Capital. ByteDance also acquired Baikemy.com for RMB500 million. So how is the future prospects of Medlive? The following mainly analyzed the strength and challenges for the Company.

Pre-IPO Medlive Technology - Here Are the Strength and the Challenges

APAC IPOs & Placements

Zhen Zhou, Toh

WeDoctor Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wedoctor-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28931:1" rel="noopener">WeDoctor Holdings (1737089D HK)</a> is looking to raise US$2bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. </p></div><div><p>We Doctor Holdings (WDH) is a digital medical service platform. As per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S), WDH is the largest platform in China in terms of the number of Internet hospitals, as of December 31, 2020, and the volume of digital medical consultations provided in 2019. </p></div><div><p>Prior to the filing, we had looked at the background of the company, did an app walkthrough, and brief comparison with other online medical providers like JD Health and Ping An Good Doctor</p></div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wedoctor-pre-ipo-a-more-focused-online-medical-service-provider-than-ping-an-good-doctor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">WeDoctor (微医) Pre-IPO - A More Focused Online Medical Svc Provider than Ping An Good Doctor </a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wedoctor-pre-ipo-background-and-app-walk-through-the-online-medical-directory-and-more" target="_blank" rel="noopener">WeDoctor (微医) Pre-IPO -App Walk Through - The Online Medical Directory and More</a></li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/we-doctor-pre-ipo-remedying-pain-points" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50020" rel="noopener">We Doctor Pre-IPO (微医) - Remedying Pain Points</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/we-doctor-pre-ipo-peer-comparison-picking-its-battles-wisely" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50315" rel="noopener">We Doctor (微医) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Picking Its Battles Wisely</a> </li>
</ul></div><div><p>In this note, we will walk through our forecast and assumptions and share our thoughts on where WDH should be trading compared to peers.</p></div>

WeDoctor Holdings (1737089D HK) is looking to raise US$2bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. We Doctor Holdings (WDH) is a digital medical service platform. As per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S), WDH is the largest platform in China in terms of the number of Internet hospitals, as of December 31, 2020, and the volume of digital medical consultations provided in 2019. Prior to the filing, we had looked at the background of the company, did an app walkthrough, and brief comparison with other online medical providers like JD Health and Ping An Good Doctor
WeDoctor (微医) Pre-IPO - A More Focused Online Medical Svc Provider than Ping An Good Doctor 
WeDoctor (微医) Pre-IPO -App Walk Through - The Online Medical Directory and More

We Doctor Pre-IPO (微医) - Remedying Pain Points 

We Doctor (微医) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Picking Its Battles Wisely 
In this note, we will walk through our forecast and assumptions and share our thoughts on where WDH should be trading compared to peers.

We Doctor (微医) Pre-IPO - Forecasts, Early Thoughts on Valuation, and Acquisition Gripes

China

Alibaba Health Information Technology Limited is an integrated healthcare information and content service provider. The Company uses product identification, authentication, and tracking system data for its healthcare information.

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Alibaba Health Information Tec (241 HK)

Tencent Holdings – Awaiting The Big Hit

TENCENT HOLDINGS: Tencent] reported 1Q21 YOY total revenue growth of 25%, while non-GAAP operating profit increased just 20%. An FHC suggests...

Thomas J. Monaco

Waterdrop IPO - Valuation Has Nearly Tripled over the past Year

Waterdrop, a technology platform for insurance and healthcare services in China, aims to raise up to US$360m in its US IPO. Tencent owned 22.1% and...

Sumeet Singh

Waterdrop IPO: Valuation Insights

Waterdrop has launched its IPO to raise net proceeds of $301.6 million at the mid-point of the price range of $10-12. The price range is full at...

Arun George

Pre-IPO Medlive Technology - Here Are the Strength and the Challenges

The article analyzed Medlive Technology in terms of both the strength (market potential, industry outlook, physician resources) and challenges...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

We Doctor (微医) Pre-IPO - Forecasts, Early Thoughts on Valuation, and Acquisition Gripes

WeDoctor Holdings (1737089D HK) is looking to raise US$2bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. We Doctor Holdings (WDH) is a digital medical service...

Zhen Zhou, Toh

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