Founder, Riedel Research

David Riedel

Founder

Independent equity research on GEM Markets

Riedel Research

Riedel provides equity research and analysis to leading financial organizations. By becoming members of a region (Asia, Latin America, Emerging Europe or Global), organizations have access to an integrated set of services including:

Regular company coverage reports
Up-to-date investment decision advice (buy, hold, sell)
Monthly regional and global conference calls
Customized company reports and unlimited on-line access to the program's services.

Riedel provides research coverage of companies across the full range of market capitalization. Experienced research professionals in each market develop company reports and analysis as well as earnings models and projections. Ratings are Buy, Hold and Sell with a focus on compelling investment ideas - both long and short. Downloadable, dynamic earnings models are built to facilitate sensitivity analysis.

Please feel free to contact us for complimentary access to our written research.  We want to show you that our unique research flow can add value and help develop a long-term, high value-add relationship.

Riedel's model focuses on providing clients with unique insights and consulting in addition to unlimited access to all produced research This model allows members to receive exponential benefits for their retainer fees.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Poland: Inflation has remained subdued, with the CPI rising a mere 1.9% y/y in September vs. 2% in the prior month.</li>
<li>Mexico: Industrial production in August was up 0.2% y/y after increasing 1.3% in July. Mexico continues to have some momentum.</li>
<li>South Africa: Retail sales in August rose 2.5% following an 1.4% increase in July. It was the biggest gain in retail trade since May.</li>
</ul>


Poland: Inflation has remained subdued, with the CPI rising a mere 1.9% y/y in September vs. 2% in the prior month.
Mexico: Industrial production in August was up 0.2% y/y after increasing 1.3% in July. Mexico continues to have some momentum.
South Africa: Retail sales in August rose 2.5% following an 1.4% increase in July. It was the biggest gain in retail trade since May.


RRG Global Macro Weekly - Consumer Sentiment Remains High - Watch Markets and Rates

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>
We are downgrading Consumer Discretionary to market weight as retail breakdowns and continued weakness in homebuilders and major autos has led to price and RS uptrend violations for the Sector. Reduce exposure.</li>
<li>
Many major indexes testing support. We cover the S&amp;P 500, Dow, small-caps, PHLX Semiconductor, international developed and emerging markets, which are all at logical support areas. While we expect to see these indexes firm up at current levels based on YTD trends, the potential for breakdowns is not far off.</li>
<li>
Big picture trends. The cyclicals  vs. staples ratio remains elevated and has not broken down. Something similar can be said of the growth vs. value ratio, where the uptrend remains intact.</li>
<li>
In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Energy, Consumer Staples, Materials, and Utilities.</li>
</ul>



We are downgrading Consumer Discretionary to market weight as retail breakdowns and continued weakness in homebuilders and major autos has led to price and RS uptrend violations for the Sector. Reduce exposure.

Many major indexes testing support. We cover the S&amp;P 500, Dow, small-caps, PHLX Semiconductor, international developed and emerging markets, which are all at logical support areas. While we expect to see these indexes firm up at current levels based on YTD trends, the potential for breakdowns is not far off.

Big picture trends. The cyclicals  vs. staples ratio remains elevated and has not broken down. Something similar can be said of the growth vs. value ratio, where the uptrend remains intact.

In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Energy, Consumer Staples, Materials, and Utilities.


Yield Surge Tests Equities; Downgrading Discretionary

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Equity Bottom-Up

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets / Equity Bottom-Up

With the pressure on Fund Managers to adopt ESG standards across portfolios, it's perhaps no surprise that Tobacco companies are seeing allocations curtailed among EM managers.  However, mirroring my own personal consumption habits, the opposite trend is occurring in Alcohol stocks.

With the pressure on Fund Managers to adopt ESG standards across portfolios, it's perhaps no surprise that Tobacco companies are seeing allocations curtailed among EM managers.  However, mirroring my own personal consumption habits, the opposite trend is occurring in Alcohol stocks.

Emerging Market Economist, Emerginomics

Tatiana Orlova

Emerging Market Economist

Emerginomics

<div class="content-highlight">
In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/gloves-come-off-in-fight-for-global-energy-markets-it-is-a-dangerous-game" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:20638">Gloves Come Off in Fight for Global Energy Markets. It Is a Dangerous Game</a> we explored how the energy policy conducted by the new US Administration was affecting the geopolitical landscape. It has been a few months since then. Policies pursued by President Trump's administration are rapidly changing the world, leading to events no one has expected to happen, to the creation of alliances which a short while ago no one dared to imagine, prompting sworn enemies to shake hands and make peace. In the current note, we summarise the recent geopolitical events which we find interesting or even extraordinary. Some of them have already moved the markets, some have reduced "tail risks", some may pave way for important developments in the future.
</div>


In Gloves Come Off in Fight for Global Energy Markets. It Is a Dangerous Game we explored how the energy policy conducted by the new US Administration was affecting the geopolitical landscape. It has been a few months since then. Policies pursued by President Trump's administration are rapidly changing the world, leading to events no one has expected to happen, to the creation of alliances which a short while ago no one dared to imagine, prompting sworn enemies to shake hands and make peace. In the current note, we summarise the recent geopolitical events which we find interesting or even extraordinary. Some of them have already moved the markets, some have reduced "tail risks", some may pave way for important developments in the future.


Gloves Come Off In Response to Trump Administration's Policies

We provide a comprehensive technical appraisal of the ETF universe, across markets, industry sectors and asset classes. We also highlight the most technically significant ETF charts along with constituent charts to help investors identify significant trends and their component drivers.

We provide a comprehensive technical appraisal of the ETF universe, across markets, industry sectors and asset classes. We also highlight the most technically significant ETF charts along with constituent charts to help investors identify significant trends and their component drivers.

Global ETF Synopsis: Highlighting Technical Trends Across the ETF Universe

United States

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF tracks the performance of the MSCI TR Emerging Markets Index. The ETF holds emerging market stocks that can predominantly be classified as large and mid-cap. It weights the holdings using a market capitalization methodology and rebalances quarterly.

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM US)

RRG Global Macro Weekly - Consumer Sentiment Remains High - Watch Markets and Rates

Poland: Inflation has remained subdued, with the CPI rising a mere 1.9% y/y in September vs. 2% in the prior month. Mexico: Industrial production...

David Riedel

Yield Surge Tests Equities; Downgrading Discretionary

We are downgrading Consumer Discretionary to market weight as retail breakdowns and continued weakness in homebuilders and major autos has led to...

Vermilion Research

Cigarettes & Alcohol

With the pressure on Fund Managers to adopt ESG standards across portfolios, it's perhaps no surprise that Tobacco companies are seeing allocations...

Steven Holden

Gloves Come Off In Response to Trump Administration's Policies

In Gloves Come Off in Fight for Global Energy Markets. It Is a Dangerous Game we explored how the energy policy conducted by the new US...

Tatiana Orlova

Global ETF Synopsis: Highlighting Technical Trends Across the ETF Universe

We provide a comprehensive technical appraisal of the ETF universe, across markets, industry sectors and asset classes. We also highlight the most...

Vermilion Research