Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of Instacart is target price of $33.7 per share, which represents a 20% upside from the high end of the IPO price range ($28 per share).</li>
<li>We estimate the company's operating margin to improve from 2.4% in 2022 to 13.2% in 2023 and 14.6% in 2024.</li>
<li>Although overall sales growth rate from 2020 to 2024 is lower for Instacart as compared to Uber and DoorDash, Instacart is having stronger growth in operating margins than its peers. </li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of Instacart is target price of $33.7 per share, which represents a 20% upside from the high end of the IPO price range ($28 per share).
We estimate the company's operating margin to improve from 2.4% in 2022 to 13.2% in 2023 and 14.6% in 2024.
Although overall sales growth rate from 2020 to 2024 is lower for Instacart as compared to Uber and DoorDash, Instacart is having stronger growth in operating margins than its peers. 


<ul>
<li>Instacart is targeting a valuation between US$8.6 billion to US$9.3 billion in its IPO. Instacart's valuation has declined nearly 77% from its peak levels US$39 billion a few years ago.</li>
<li>Established in 2012, Instacart is a leading players in North America of delivering online grocery goods to consumers' homes.</li>
<li>Instacart generated sales of US$2.6 billion (up 39.1% YoY), gross profit of US$1.8 billion (up 49.3% YoY), and operating profit of US$62 million (turned black YoY) in 2022.</li>
</ul>


Instacart is targeting a valuation between US$8.6 billion to US$9.3 billion in its IPO. Instacart's valuation has declined nearly 77% from its peak levels US$39 billion a few years ago.
Established in 2012, Instacart is a leading players in North America of delivering online grocery goods to consumers' homes.
Instacart generated sales of US$2.6 billion (up 39.1% YoY), gross profit of US$1.8 billion (up 49.3% YoY), and operating profit of US$62 million (turned black YoY) in 2022.


Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In Q2, Full Truck Alliance posted strong revenue growth and dramatic margin expansion</li>
<li>Revenue mix continues to improve, which is driving down unit costs and lifting margins</li>
<li>At just 19x forecast 2023 adjusted net earnings, the company's shares are not expensive</li>
</ul>


In Q2, Full Truck Alliance posted strong revenue growth and dramatic margin expansion
Revenue mix continues to improve, which is driving down unit costs and lifting margins
At just 19x forecast 2023 adjusted net earnings, the company's shares are not expensive


Full Truck Alliance Q223 Earnings: Strong Top-Line | Sharp Margin Expansion | Shares Inexpensive

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab Holdings (GRAB US)</a> released another set of positive results but this time the balance between profitability and growth was well-struck, as it reduced incentives yet increased its market share. </li>
<li>Grab saw GMV growth in both deliveries more notably in mobility, with revenues growing at a faster pace and adjusted EBITDA surprising on the upside, bringing forward breakeven to 3Q2023. </li>
<li>Prospects for 2H2023 look even better with Grab's affordability initiatives gaining traction and improving retention and profitability.</li>
</ul>



Grab Holdings (GRAB US) released another set of positive results but this time the balance between profitability and growth was well-struck, as it reduced incentives yet increased its market share. 
Grab saw GMV growth in both deliveries more notably in mobility, with revenues growing at a faster pace and adjusted EBITDA surprising on the upside, bringing forward breakeven to 3Q2023. 
Prospects for 2H2023 look even better with Grab's affordability initiatives gaining traction and improving retention and profitability.


Grab Holdings (GRAB US) - Growth with Scale from a Stable Platform

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Uber Technologies delivered a mixed set of results in its most recent result, with revenues falling short of Wall Street expectations but above-par earnings.</li><li>However, it has faced its fair share of challenges in the competitive landscape and increasing complexity of marketplace management.</li><li>We give Uber Technologies a 'Hold' rating with a revised target price.</li></ul>

Uber Technologies delivered a mixed set of results in its most recent result, with revenues falling short of Wall Street expectations but above-par earnings.However, it has faced its fair share of challenges in the competitive landscape and increasing complexity of marketplace management.We give Uber Technologies a 'Hold' rating with a revised target price.

Uber Technologies Inc.: Breaking the Mold With New Strategies! - Major Drivers

United States

Uber Technologies Inc provides ride hailing services. The Company develops applications for road transportation, navigation, ride sharing, and payment processing solutions. Uber Technologies serves customers worldwide.

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Uber Technologies (UBER US)

Instacart IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Instacart is target price of $33.7 per share, which represents a 20% upside from the high end of the IPO price range...

Douglas Kim

Instacart IPO Preview

Instacart is targeting a valuation between US$8.6 billion to US$9.3 billion in its IPO. Instacart's valuation has declined nearly 77% from its peak...

Douglas Kim

Full Truck Alliance Q223 Earnings: Strong Top-Line | Sharp Margin Expansion | Shares Inexpensive

Full Truck Alliance is transforming its revenue profile as it continues to grow. The transformation is resulting in sustainably lower costs,...

Tracking Traffic

Grab Holdings (GRAB US) - Growth with Scale from a Stable Platform

Grab Holdings (GRAB US) released another set of positive results but this time the balance between profitability and growth was well-struck, as it...

Angus Mackintosh

Uber Technologies Inc.: Breaking the Mold With New Strategies! - Major Drivers

Uber Technologies delivered a mixed set of results in its most recent result, with revenues falling short of Wall Street expectations but...

Baptista Research

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