Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS:  Soft CPI Print - Fed Pause in sight, Equities rip; Swap markets now at 25bp hikes;  Record UAL-Boeing deal for planes;  Co-founder of FTX, SBF arrested (finally)</li>
<li>JAPAN:  NKY Futs flat % vs Cash; USDJPY 135 handle; Govt to introduce Carbon Trading;  FOR &gt;AGAINST in latest Nuke Power Poll;  Apple deeply invested in Japan</li>
<li>DAILY NUGGET: APPLE and Japan supply chain - an already deep relationship set to expand further.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS:  Soft CPI Print - Fed Pause in sight, Equities rip; Swap markets now at 25bp hikes;  Record UAL-Boeing deal for planes;  Co-founder of FTX, SBF arrested (finally)
JAPAN:  NKY Futs flat % vs Cash; USDJPY 135 handle; Govt to introduce Carbon Trading;  FOR &gt;AGAINST in latest Nuke Power Poll;  Apple deeply invested in Japan
DAILY NUGGET: APPLE and Japan supply chain - an already deep relationship set to expand further.


Good Morning Japan | Soft(Er) CPI; Fed Pause Sealed; Equities Rip..then the FADE

<ul>
<li>
Good Morning Japan:  We strive to provide the best macro, stock and thematic overnight news that impacts your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW TO KEEP ABREAST.
</li>
<li>OVERSEAS:  Recession fears reassert,  10/11 SPX sectors in red; Wall street to cut staff; Pepsi cutting staff; Oil making lows; TSMC to lift Arizona Spend to $40bn</li>
<li>JAPAN: Futs indicate -0.8% for NKY cash; Amazing NKY recovery yesterday - we have no clue; Japan consumers spending; Decarbonization spend accelerating; DX too; Kyowa Kirin product failure</li>
</ul>



Good Morning Japan:  We strive to provide the best macro, stock and thematic overnight news that impacts your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW TO KEEP ABREAST.

OVERSEAS:  Recession fears reassert,  10/11 SPX sectors in red; Wall street to cut staff; Pepsi cutting staff; Oil making lows; TSMC to lift Arizona Spend to $40bn
JAPAN: Futs indicate -0.8% for NKY cash; Amazing NKY recovery yesterday - we have no clue; Japan consumers spending; Decarbonization spend accelerating; DX too; Kyowa Kirin product failure


Good Morning Japan | Recession Fears (Again)

<ul>
<li>
Good Morning Japan:  We strive to provide the best macro, stock and thematic overnight news that impacts your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW US TO KEEP ABREAST.
</li>
<li>
OVERSEAS: Stocks consolidated ahead of Jobs; UST yeild down, USD weaker; Fed's favorite inflation indicator slows; China showing COVID-19 flexibility; TESLA delivers 1st Semi Truck 
</li>
<li>
JAPAN: World Cup: Samurai Blues slay another European giant defeating Spain.  This is the news in Japan today; Foreigners are now buyers in Japan; KDDI hooks up with Starlink 
</li>
</ul>



Good Morning Japan:  We strive to provide the best macro, stock and thematic overnight news that impacts your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW US TO KEEP ABREAST.


OVERSEAS: Stocks consolidated ahead of Jobs; UST yeild down, USD weaker; Fed's favorite inflation indicator slows; China showing COVID-19 flexibility; TESLA delivers 1st Semi Truck  


JAPAN: World Cup: Samurai Blues slay another European giant defeating Spain.  This is the news in Japan today; Foreigners are now buyers in Japan; KDDI hooks up with Starlink 



Good Morning Japan | Stocks Holds Gains Head of Jobs; Samurai Blues - Giant Killers (Again !)

<ul>
<li>
Good Morning Japan:  We strive to provide the best macro, stock and thematic overnight news that impacts your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW US TO KEEP ABREAST. 
</li>
<li>
OVERSEAS: To Dog Powell confirms 50bps at the next Fed meeting;  Equities rip as it as a "no stock left behind day"; China COVID sentiment continues to improve.  </li>
<li>
JAPAN: NKY to add 1-2% today; Yen at 130/USD; Eisai says the 2 deaths not due to their drug-positive; Shippers continue to diversify-MOL goes into Real Estate. 
</li>
</ul>



Good Morning Japan:  We strive to provide the best macro, stock and thematic overnight news that impacts your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW US TO KEEP ABREAST.  


OVERSEAS: To Dog Powell confirms 50bps at the next Fed meeting;  Equities rip as it as a "no stock left behind day"; China COVID sentiment continues to improve.  

JAPAN: NKY to add 1-2% today; Yen at 130/USD; Eisai says the 2 deaths not due to their drug-positive; Shippers continue to diversify-MOL goes into Real Estate.  



Good Morning Japan | Powell: "Pace of Hikes to Moderate in Dec; Landing Plausible"; Equities Rip

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With just over two months left in the review period, we expect three changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lasertec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4126:1" rel="noopener">Lasertec Corp (6920 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oriental-land-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13517:1" rel="noopener">Oriental Land (4661 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renesas-electronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15933:1" rel="noopener">Renesas Electronics (6723 JP)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyobo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6187:1" rel="noopener">Toyobo Co Ltd (3101 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-light-metal-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1485:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Light Metal (5703 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toho-zinc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2796:1" rel="noopener">Toho Zinc (5707 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>As with the last rebalance, there will be a large funding trade estimated at JPY 417bn. There are many stocks with over 0.5x ADV to sell.</li>
</ul>


With just over two months left in the review period, we expect three changes to the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) at the March rebalance.

Lasertec Corp (6920 JP), Oriental Land (4661 JP) and Renesas Electronics (6723 JP) could replace Toyobo Co Ltd (3101 JP), Nippon Light Metal (5703 JP) and Toho Zinc (5707 JP).
As with the last rebalance, there will be a large funding trade estimated at JPY 417bn. There are many stocks with over 0.5x ADV to sell.


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (March): Three Potential Changes & Large Funding Trade

Japan

Lasertec Corporation develops, designs, manufactures and markets photomask inspection systems to make semiconductor devices, confocal scanning laser microscopes and liquid crystal display (LCD) inspection systems.

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Lasertec Corp (6920 JP)

Good Morning Japan | Soft(Er) CPI; Fed Pause Sealed; Equities Rip..then the FADE

Good Morning Japan: We strive to provide the best macro, stock and thematic overnight news that impacts your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW TO KEEP...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan | Recession Fears (Again)

Good Morning Japan: We strive to provide the best macro, stock and thematic overnight news that impacts your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW TO KEEP...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan | Stocks Holds Gains Head of Jobs; Samurai Blues - Giant Killers (Again !)

Good Morning Japan: We strive to provide the best macro, stock and thematic overnight news that impacts your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW US TO...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan | Powell: "Pace of Hikes to Moderate in Dec; Landing Plausible"; Equities Rip

Good Morning Japan: We strive to provide the best macro, stock and thematic overnight news that impacts your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW US TO...

Mark Chadwick

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (March): Three Potential Changes & Large Funding Trade

There should be 3 changes to the NKY in March. The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and there will be large pre-positions on...

Brian Freitas

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