APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genda-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39911:1" rel="noopener">Genda Inc (9166 JP)</a> raised around US$100m in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>Genda develops and operates amusement facilities in Japan, primarily operating under its Genda GiGO Entertainment subsidiary.</li>
<li>In this note we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Genda Inc (9166 JP) raised around US$100m in its Japan IPO.
Genda develops and operates amusement facilities in Japan, primarily operating under its Genda GiGO Entertainment subsidiary.
In this note we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Genda IPO Trading - Stronger Subscription Rates than the Recent Large JP IPO

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In the two weeks since the announcement, Large ADDs (&gt;2d ADV, &gt;$5mm) have outperformed Large DELs by 1.3%. Smaller ADDs vs DELs (&gt;2d, &gt;$2&lt;$5mm) have outperformed by 1.3%.</li>
<li>Using only &gt;$20mm &gt;2d DELs vs Top 5 $amt &gt;2d ADDs, that's a bit better than 1%. And the really obvious large ones? Not so obvious.</li>
<li>There is still a large reverse funding trade, with some large sells. </li>
</ul>


In the two weeks since the announcement, Large ADDs (&gt;2d ADV, &gt;$5mm) have outperformed Large DELs by 1.3%. Smaller ADDs vs DELs (&gt;2d, &gt;$2&lt;$5mm) have outperformed by 1.3%.
Using only &gt;$20mm &gt;2d DELs vs Top 5 $amt &gt;2d ADDs, that's a bit better than 1%. And the really obvious large ones? Not so obvious.
There is still a large reverse funding trade, with some large sells. 


July TOPIX FFW Rebal - Update With 2 Days To Go on $3bn a Side

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Oisix Ra Daichi is by far Japan’s largest online food retailer, driven by the popularity of its fresh food and meal kit subscription services.</li>
<li>Despite some backend problems last year, the company expects its system of continual improvement and expansion of new lines of meal kits to bring strong growth in the medium term.</li>
<li>The development of the online food market should help boost the company's prospects. Operating margins have worsened considerably but the company hopes to match the previous peak this year.</li>
</ul>


Oisix Ra Daichi is by far Japan’s largest online food retailer, driven by the popularity of its fresh food and meal kit subscription services.
Despite some backend problems last year, the company expects its system of continual improvement and expansion of new lines of meal kits to bring strong growth in the medium term.
The development of the online food market should help boost the company's prospects. Operating margins have worsened considerably but the company hopes to match the previous peak this year.


China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We anticipate that the major swing factor of global e-commerce platform is the global expansion of Chinese e-commerce companies, including Shein, Temu, AliExpress, and TikTok Shop (or ‘STAT’).</li>
<li>The Japanese market is a good example. We upgraded Mercari to BUY because we believe that its second-hand eCommerce model addresses the issue of product supply.</li>
<li>We downgraded Z-Holdings to SELL as its B2C model lacks an advantage in product supply and has already lost market share.</li>
</ul>


We anticipate that the major swing factor of global e-commerce platform is the global expansion of Chinese e-commerce companies, including Shein, Temu, AliExpress, and TikTok Shop (or ‘STAT’).
The Japanese market is a good example. We upgraded Mercari to BUY because we believe that its second-hand eCommerce model addresses the issue of product supply.
We downgraded Z-Holdings to SELL as its B2C model lacks an advantage in product supply and has already lost market share.


[Blue Lotus Japanese E-Commerce Sector Update]: Facing the Competition from Chinese ECommerce STAT

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Rakuten Securities / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-securities-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39933:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Securities (RAKUSEC JP)</a>, a leading Japanese online brokerage, seeks to raise US$500 million. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Group (4755 JP)</a> (80.01%) and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mizuho-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:219:1" rel="noopener">Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP)</a> (19.99%) are its shareholders.  </li>
<li>In <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rakuten-securities-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:108460" rel="noopener">Rakuten Securities IPO: The Bull Case</a></em></strong>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on rapidly slowing operating revenue and commissions growth, lowest per-account monetisation rates vs peers and mid-tier profitability. </li>
</ul>



Rakuten Securities (RAKUSEC JP), a leading Japanese online brokerage, seeks to raise US$500 million. Rakuten Group (4755 JP) (80.01%) and Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP) (19.99%) are its shareholders.  
In Rakuten Securities IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The key elements of the bear case rest on rapidly slowing operating revenue and commissions growth, lowest per-account monetisation rates vs peers and mid-tier profitability. 


Japan

Rakuten Group, Inc. provides Internet services. The Company offers Internet finance services which including "Rakuten Card" and "Rakuten Bank". Rakuten Group also provides digital content services including electronic book services.

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Rakuten (4755 JP)

Genda IPO Trading - Stronger Subscription Rates than the Recent Large JP IPO

Genda Inc (9166 JP) raised around US$100m in its Japan IPO. Genda develops and operates amusement facilities in Japan. In this note we will talk...

Clarence Chu

July TOPIX FFW Rebal - Update With 2 Days To Go on $3bn a Side

The TOPIX July FFW rebalance has gone "right way" so far. But it hasn't been huge, and it has been a better basket trade than single stock trade.

Travis Lundy

Oisix: Meal Kit Kaizen

Oisix continues to lead in trust, quality and reliability in online food but saw a collapse in operating margins last year. This was mostly an one...

Michael Causton

[Blue Lotus Japanese E-Commerce Sector Update]: Facing the Competition from Chinese ECommerce STAT

We anticipate that the major swing factor of global e-commerce platform is the global expansion of Chinese e-commerce companies, including Shein,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Rakuten Securities IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on rapidly slowing operating revenue and commissions growth, lowest per-account monetisation rates vs peers...

Arun George

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