2016 US Elections Scenario One: Hillary Clinton Wins
A US election fought under moderately favourable economic conditions, with a Republican electorate divided and openly unhappy with its...
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On Trade, An Era Is Ending
Whatever the outcome of the US election, President Barack Obama's departure in early 2017 will present renewed challenges for Asia Pacific trade....
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ANIMAL SPIRITS™ REPORT: Greater China View - China "Goldilocks", HK "Revival" & Taiwan "Bond-Proxy"
Investment ConclusionsMacro, Index and Sector Views Our macro baseline scenario is positive on emerging markets (EM) in Q4, 2016. We see...
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US Stock Market Seasonality: Shemitah Redux, The Afterparty
Almost exactly a year ago I wrote a piece on stock market seasonality titled Stock Market Seasonality - Januaries, SuperBowls, Third Years,...
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ANIMAL SPIRITS REPORT 2: APAC Valuation and Earnings Snapshot
Asia Pacific Investment Strategy In this series of introductory notes, Animal Spirits outlines the investment process and analytical framework we...
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