SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

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The Straits Times Index (STI) gained more than 5 per cent in the 2022 year to date (YTD) till Feb 24, while the iEdge S-Reit Index declined close to 4 per cent during the same period amid expectations of rate hikes.

During last week's Thursday (Feb 24) session after Russia's announcement of a military operation in Ukraine, the STI and iEdge S-Reit Index dipped more than 3 per cent and close to 2 per cent respectively. Despite the decline, the STI maintained its position as one of the best performing indices globally in 2022.

Similarly, the iEdge S-Reit Index is also one of the most resilient Reit benchmarks this year, outperforming the FTSE EPRA Nareit Developed Index which declined more than 8 per cent in the 2022 YTD till Feb 24. 
S-REITs with positive total returns during this period include Suntec REIT (8.9 per cent), Sabana Industrial REIT (5.9 per cent), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (3.6 per cent), Far East Hospitality Trust (1.7 per cent), Keppel REIT (1.7 per cent), Ascott Residence Trust (1.7 per cent), First REIT (0.5 per cent) and ARA US Hospitality Trust (0.4 per cent), while Sasseur REIT and Daiwa House Logistics Trust returned flat for the period. 
Retail investors continued to drive fund flow activities in the S-Reits and property trusts sector, accumulating net retail inflows of S$350 million in the 2022 YTD till Feb 24, while institutional investors have seen net outflows of S$250 million for the sector.

However, during Thursday's session, the S-Reits sector garnered more than S$30 million of net inflows from institutional investors. 
S-REITs which saw the most net institutional inflows during this session include – CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (+S$14 million), Ascendas REIT (+S$6 million), Suntec REIT (+S$5 million), Mapletree Industrial Trust (+S$4 million) and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (+S$3 million). 
The S-Reits' earnings season is largely complete, with optimistic outlook and improving distribution per unit (DPU) a common theme.

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust posted distributable income of S$675 million for the full year FY21, an increase of more than 80 per cent from FY20's distributable income of S$369 million. The trust remains optimistic about its outlook for 2022, noting that its portfolio valuation as at end-2021 improved 3.5 per cent year on year, signifying an improving outlook for Singapore's retail and office market.

Suntec Reit reported its full year FY21 results last month and announced a DPU of 8.666 cents, which was 17 per cent higher than its FY20 DPU. The increase in DPU was a result of higher distribution income, driven by contributions from the 2 newly acquired assets in London and higher income from Suntec City Mall.

The Reit noted that the recovery of retail business at Suntec City Mall has been encouraging with December 2021 tenant sales exceeding that of December 2019.

ARA US Hospitality Trust, which reported its full year FY21 results last week, posted distributable income of US$2.0 million. This follows from reporting no distributable income in FY20.

The trust saw continued strong recovery in the US hospitality industry in H2 2021, riding on the success of a widespread vaccination programme and the reopening of the markets across the country.  REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times,<a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/green-shoots-for-retail-and-hospitality-s-reits-amid-new-pandemic-phase"> </a><a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/s-reits-remain-optimistic-about-2022-growth-0">read</a><a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/green-shoots-for-retail-and-hospitality-s-reits-amid-new-pandemic-phase"> </a>the original version.

 
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    SREITs


The Straits Times Index (STI) gained more than 5 per cent in the 2022 year to date (YTD) till Feb 24, while the iEdge S-Reit Index declined close to 4 per cent during the same period amid expectations of rate hikes.

During last week's Thursday (Feb 24) session after Russia's announcement of a military operation in Ukraine, the STI and iEdge S-Reit Index dipped more than 3 per cent and close to 2 per cent respectively. Despite the decline, the STI maintained its position as one of the best performing indices globally in 2022.

Similarly, the iEdge S-Reit Index is also one of the most resilient Reit benchmarks this year, outperforming the FTSE EPRA Nareit Developed Index which declined more than 8 per cent in the 2022 YTD till Feb 24.  
S-REITs with positive total returns during this period include Suntec REIT (8.9 per cent), Sabana Industrial REIT (5.9 per cent), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (3.6 per cent), Far East Hospitality Trust (1.7 per cent), Keppel REIT (1.7 per cent), Ascott Residence Trust (1.7 per cent), First REIT (0.5 per cent) and ARA US Hospitality Trust (0.4 per cent), while Sasseur REIT and Daiwa House Logistics Trust returned flat for the period.  
Retail investors continued to drive fund flow activities in the S-Reits and property trusts sector, accumulating net retail inflows of S$350 million in the 2022 YTD till Feb 24, while institutional investors have seen net outflows of S$250 million for the sector.

However, during Thursday's session, the S-Reits sector garnered more than S$30 million of net inflows from institutional investors.  
S-REITs which saw the most net institutional inflows during this session include – CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (+S$14 million), Ascendas REIT (+S$6 million), Suntec REIT (+S$5 million), Mapletree Industrial Trust (+S$4 million) and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (+S$3 million).  
The S-Reits' earnings season is largely complete, with optimistic outlook and improving distribution per unit (DPU) a common theme.

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust posted distributable income of S$675 million for the full year FY21, an increase of more than 80 per cent from FY20's distributable income of S$369 million. The trust remains optimistic about its outlook for 2022, noting that its portfolio valuation as at end-2021 improved 3.5 per cent year on year, signifying an improving outlook for Singapore's retail and office market.

Suntec Reit reported its full year FY21 results last month and announced a DPU of 8.666 cents, which was 17 per cent higher than its FY20 DPU. The increase in DPU was a result of higher distribution income, driven by contributions from the 2 newly acquired assets in London and higher income from Suntec City Mall.

The Reit noted that the recovery of retail business at Suntec City Mall has been encouraging with December 2021 tenant sales exceeding that of December 2019.

ARA US Hospitality Trust, which reported its full year FY21 results last week, posted distributable income of US$2.0 million. This follows from reporting no distributable income in FY20.

The trust saw continued strong recovery in the US hospitality industry in H2 2021, riding on the success of a widespread vaccination programme and the reopening of the markets across the country.   REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, read the original version.

 



REIT Watch - S-Reits remain optimistic about 2022 growth

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sasseur-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26807" rel="noopener">Sasseur REIT (SASSR SP)</a> 4Q21 DPU -1.8% YoY; Record high DPU despite retention, attractive 8.7% yield  </li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-singapore-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:439" rel="noopener">Genting Singapore (GENS SP)</a> RWS to start S$400m expansion in 2Q22</li><li>Property executives cites rising inflation and interest rates as major risks</li></ul>

Sasseur REIT (SASSR SP) 4Q21 DPU -1.8% YoY; Record high DPU despite retention, attractive 8.7% yield  Genting Singapore (GENS SP) RWS to start S$400m expansion in 2Q22Property executives cites rising inflation and interest rates as major risks

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (18Feb22) - SASSR Record High FY21 DPU

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Global Reit markets dipped over the last 3 sessions of November, as investors grappled with the unknowns of the Covid Omicron variant.

Similarly, the 3 sessions saw the iEdge S-Reit Index shave off 3.8 per cent in total returns, ending November with a 2.4 per cent decline. 
The top five performers over the month of November were firstly, S-REITs with healthcare assets – First REIT (12.2 per cent in total returns) and ParkwayLife REIT (6.6 per cent) – and secondly, S-REITs with assets located in China – Sasseur REIT (4.7 per cent), EC World REIT (3.1 per cent) and BHG Retail REIT (2.9 per cent). 
As uncertainty over the Omicron variant eased gradually, the iEdge S-Reit Index regained 1.2 per cent over the first 7 sessions of December, bringing its total returns since the start of November to a decline of 1.2 per cent.

S-Reits with healthcare and China-based assets continued to be the top performers over the extended period from the start of November to Dec 9, 2021. 
These S-REITs were: First REIT (18.0 per cent in total returns), BHG Retail REIT (15.4 per cent), ParkwayLife REIT (8.9 per cent), Sasseur REIT (4.7 per cent) and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (4.5 per cent). 
First Reit, in its third quarter business update ended Sep 30, 2021, noted that it continued to see performance stabilising, following the restructuring of the master lease agreements for 14 Indonesia hospitals in January 2021 and its recapitalisation efforts in Q12021.

Last week, the trust also unveiled its 2.0 Growth Strategy, which includes diversifying into developed markets, strengthening of capital structure, reshaping of portfolio for capital-efficient growth as well as a pivoting to ride megatrends like ESG (environmental, social and governance). 
In line with its 2.0 Growth Strategy, First REIT announced the proposed acquisition of 12 nursing homes in Japan from its sponsor, OUE Lippo Healthcare for JPY 24.2 billion. 
Post-acquisition, First Reit will increase its exposure to developed markets, from 3.6 per cent of its asset value as at H12021, to 27.1 per cent on a pro forma basis.

Sasseur Reit declared distribution per unit (DPU) of 1.831 Singapore cents for Q32021, an increase of 13.4 per cent year on year.

The Reit manager noted that despite strict government regulations, the Reit's outlet sales grew 12.0 per cent quarter on quarter to 996.6 million yuan.

For the 9-month period ended Sep 30, 2021, Sasseur Reit's four outlets registered total sales of 3.02 billion yuan, representing an increase of 21.8 per cent compared to a year ago.

Similarly, EC World Reit announced higher DPU of 1.662 Singapore cents for Q32021, an increase of 19.7 per cent year on year.

Four out of EC World Reit's portfolio of 8 properties cater to the e-commerce logistics sector. The occupancy rate of its Wuhan Meiluote property increased from 79.4 per cent to 84.5 per cent, as it secured a 3-month lease starting Oct 1, 2021, in anticipation of the annual Singles Day sales.

As at Oct 31, 2021, EC World Reit's portfolio occupancy is 99.2 per cent.  REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times,<a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/pure-play-data-centre-digital-core-reit-to-start-trading-on-monday"> </a><a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/s-reits-with-healthcare-and-china-assets-outshine-in-november">read </a>the original version.
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    Top 10 performing SREITs since Nov 1, 2021


Global Reit markets dipped over the last 3 sessions of November, as investors grappled with the unknowns of the Covid Omicron variant.

Similarly, the 3 sessions saw the iEdge S-Reit Index shave off 3.8 per cent in total returns, ending November with a 2.4 per cent decline.  
The top five performers over the month of November were firstly, S-REITs with healthcare assets – First REIT (12.2 per cent in total returns) and ParkwayLife REIT (6.6 per cent) – and secondly, S-REITs with assets located in China – Sasseur REIT (4.7 per cent), EC World REIT (3.1 per cent) and BHG Retail REIT (2.9 per cent).  
As uncertainty over the Omicron variant eased gradually, the iEdge S-Reit Index regained 1.2 per cent over the first 7 sessions of December, bringing its total returns since the start of November to a decline of 1.2 per cent.

S-Reits with healthcare and China-based assets continued to be the top performers over the extended period from the start of November to Dec 9, 2021.  
These S-REITs were: First REIT (18.0 per cent in total returns), BHG Retail REIT (15.4 per cent), ParkwayLife REIT (8.9 per cent), Sasseur REIT (4.7 per cent) and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (4.5 per cent).  
First Reit, in its third quarter business update ended Sep 30, 2021, noted that it continued to see performance stabilising, following the restructuring of the master lease agreements for 14 Indonesia hospitals in January 2021 and its recapitalisation efforts in Q12021.

Last week, the trust also unveiled its 2.0 Growth Strategy, which includes diversifying into developed markets, strengthening of capital structure, reshaping of portfolio for capital-efficient growth as well as a pivoting to ride megatrends like ESG (environmental, social and governance).  
In line with its 2.0 Growth Strategy, First REIT announced the proposed acquisition of 12 nursing homes in Japan from its sponsor, OUE Lippo Healthcare for JPY 24.2 billion.  
Post-acquisition, First Reit will increase its exposure to developed markets, from 3.6 per cent of its asset value as at H12021, to 27.1 per cent on a pro forma basis.

Sasseur Reit declared distribution per unit (DPU) of 1.831 Singapore cents for Q32021, an increase of 13.4 per cent year on year.

The Reit manager noted that despite strict government regulations, the Reit's outlet sales grew 12.0 per cent quarter on quarter to 996.6 million yuan.

For the 9-month period ended Sep 30, 2021, Sasseur Reit's four outlets registered total sales of 3.02 billion yuan, representing an increase of 21.8 per cent compared to a year ago.

Similarly, EC World Reit announced higher DPU of 1.662 Singapore cents for Q32021, an increase of 19.7 per cent year on year.

Four out of EC World Reit's portfolio of 8 properties cater to the e-commerce logistics sector. The occupancy rate of its Wuhan Meiluote property increased from 79.4 per cent to 84.5 per cent, as it secured a 3-month lease starting Oct 1, 2021, in anticipation of the annual Singles Day sales.

As at Oct 31, 2021, EC World Reit's portfolio occupancy is 99.2 per cent.   REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, read the original version.



REIT Watch - S-Reits with healthcare and China assets outshine in November

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lhn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27234" rel="noopener">LHN Ltd (LHN SP)</a> FY21 results boosted by facilities management and logistics services; Maintains S$0.01 DPS</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ireit-global" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10596" rel="noopener">IREIT Global (IREIT SP)</a> to achieve 100% occupancy rate for Münster Campus by Sep22 onwards</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daiwa-house-logistics-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35020" rel="noopener">Daiwa House Logistics Trust (DHLT SP)</a> IPO sees healthy demand; Listing on 3Dec</li></ul>

LHN Ltd (LHN SP) FY21 results boosted by facilities management and logistics services; Maintains S$0.01 DPSIREIT Global (IREIT SP) to achieve 100% occupancy rate for Münster Campus by Sep22 onwardsDaiwa House Logistics Trust (DHLT SP) IPO sees healthy demand; Listing on 3Dec

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (29Nov21) - LHN Boosted by Facilities and Logistics Services

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a> settles with insurers for HK$334m over damage to Festival Walk mall</li><li>New bonus GFA incentive scheme for developments that meet standards on digitalization and productivity</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-property-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1670" rel="noopener">Frasers Property Ltd (FPL SP)</a> scraps plan to acquire Vietnam property developer</li></ul>

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP) settles with insurers for HK$334m over damage to Festival Walk mallNew bonus GFA incentive scheme for developments that meet standards on digitalization and productivityFrasers Property Ltd (FPL SP) scraps plan to acquire Vietnam property developer

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (25Nov21) - MAGIC Settles FW's Insurance Claims

Singapore

Sasseur Real Estate Investment Trust (“Sasseur REIT”) is the first outlet REIT listed in Asia. Sasseur REIT’s property portfolio comprises four outlets with an estimated appraised value of RMB 8.5 billion and net lettable area of 310,241 square metres. The outlets are strategically located in the high-growth cities of Chongqing, Hefei and Kunming in China and well-positioned to ride on the growth of the rising spending power of the Chinese middle class.

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Sasseur REIT (SASSR SP)

REIT Watch - S-Reits remain optimistic about 2022 growth

The Straits Times Index (STI) gained more than 5 per cent in the 2022 year to date (YTD) till Feb 24, while the iEdge S-Reit...

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REIT Watch - S-Reits with healthcare and China assets outshine in November

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SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (25Nov21) - MAGIC Settles FW's Insurance Claims

MAGIC settles FW's insurance claims; New bonus GFA incentive scheme; FPL cancels VN acquisition; SASSR new CFO; SPSB likely exceeds 2021 sales...

SCCM Asia Research

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