Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Five Star Business Finance / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/five-star-business-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35238:1" rel="noopener">Five Star Business Finance (0958461D IN)</a> is looking to raise around US$250m in its upcoming India IPO. </li>
<li>Five-Star Business is a non-banking financial company (NBFC-ND-SI) that provides secured business loans to micro-entrepreneurs and self-employed individuals.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the RHP updates and undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



Five Star Business Finance (0958461D IN) is looking to raise around US$250m in its upcoming India IPO. 
Five-Star Business is a non-banking financial company (NBFC-ND-SI) that provides secured business loans to micro-entrepreneurs and self-employed individuals.
In this note, we talk about the RHP updates and undertake a peer comparison.


Five-Star Business IPO - RHP Updates and Peer Comparion

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There was a lot of confusion around how NSE Indices would handle the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited (HDFC IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> merger in its indices.</li>
<li>The market consultation seeks to change the index methodology to bring it in line with other index providers. That will result in much lower turnover than the existing index methodology.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pidilite-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20573:1" rel="noopener">Pidilite Industries (PIDI IN)</a> is a high probability add to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> possibly in the first quarter of 2023. There will also be changes to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a>.</li>
</ul>


There was a lot of confusion around how NSE Indices would handle the HDFC Limited (HDFC IN) / HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) merger in its indices.
The market consultation seeks to change the index methodology to bring it in line with other index providers. That will result in much lower turnover than the existing index methodology.

Pidilite Industries (PIDI IN) is a high probability add to the NIFTY Index possibly in the first quarter of 2023. There will also be changes to Nifty Next 50 Index.


NIFTY Indices: HDFC/HDFCB Merger Driven Market Consultation

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Over the last 6M, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a> has underperformed the Nifty 50 by ~7.3% (BANDHAN -5.92% vs Nifty +1.39%)</li>
<li>Our flash checks across West Bengal and Assam indicate a stable to improving business environment. </li>
<li>We reiterate our view of that the asset quality downcycle could be on the verge of ending. Additional provisioning requirements should be sharply lower from Q3 FY23.</li>
</ul>


Over the last 6M, Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN) has underperformed the Nifty 50 by ~7.3% (BANDHAN -5.92% vs Nifty +1.39%)
Our flash checks across West Bengal and Assam indicate a stable to improving business environment. 
We reiterate our view of that the asset quality downcycle could be on the verge of ending. Additional provisioning requirements should be sharply lower from Q3 FY23.


Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN) | Still Waters, but May Not Run Deep

<ul>
<li>The situation in West Bengal is improving/stable. While Assam is showing no signs of improvement</li>
<li>Recent floods have impacted collections, however, as highlighted earlier they are not likely to slip into NPA.</li>
<li>The asset quality downcycle could be on the verge of ending.  Additional provisioning requirements should be sharply lower from Q3. </li>
</ul>


The situation in West Bengal is improving/stable. While Assam is showing no signs of improvement
Recent floods have impacted collections, however, as highlighted earlier they are not likely to slip into NPA.
The asset quality downcycle could be on the verge of ending.  Additional provisioning requirements should be sharply lower from Q3. 


India Channel Insight #43 | Bandhan Bank - One More Quarter of Pain?

<ul>
<li>Our channels in Assam indicate a high impact of floods this year on the overall state economy. Normalcy is expected to take 4-5 months in order to be restored. </li>
<li>Despite the high impact, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a> may not see an increase in NPAs.</li>
<li>New recovery tools, changing regulations and customer mindsets are aiding faster than anticipated recovery even for older loans. </li>
</ul>


Our channels in Assam indicate a high impact of floods this year on the overall state economy. Normalcy is expected to take 4-5 months in order to be restored. 
Despite the high impact, Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN) may not see an increase in NPAs.
New recovery tools, changing regulations and customer mindsets are aiding faster than anticipated recovery even for older loans. 


India Channel Insight #40 | Assam Floods and Impact on Financials

India

Bandhan Bank Limited operates as a commercial bank. The Bank provides accounts checking, savings deposits, money market, mortgage, and term loans services, as well as card facilities and Internet banking services. Bandhan Bank serves customers in India.

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Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)

Five-Star Business IPO - RHP Updates and Peer Comparion

Five Star Business Finance is looking to raise around US$250m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates and undertake...

Sumeet Singh

NIFTY Indices: HDFC/HDFCB Merger Driven Market Consultation

NSE Indices' market consultation on merger/demerger treatment will significantly reduce index turnover. We expect the HDFC/HDFCB merger to complete...

Brian Freitas