Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Bank Index</a>, CNXIT Index, Nifty Midcap 150 Index, Nifty100 Low Volatility30 Index and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpse-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28191:1" rel="noopener">CPSE ETF</a> rebalance at the close tomorrow.</li>
<li>The round-trip trade across the indices is US$3.3bn and there are 13 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>Stocks with the largest inflows are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8410:1" rel="noopener">Trent</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6636:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Electronics</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canara-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:543:1" rel="noopener">Canara Bank</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-heavy-electricals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:460:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Heavy Electricals</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oil-natural-gas-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3456:1" rel="noopener">Oil &amp; Natural Gas Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coal-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9117:1" rel="noopener">Coal India</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindustan-aeronautics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26747:1" rel="noopener">Hindustan Aeronautics</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/interglobe-aviation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24877:1" rel="noopener">InterGlobe Aviation</a>.</li>
</ul>


The NIFTY Index, Nifty Next 50 Index, NSE Nifty Bank Index, CNXIT Index, Nifty Midcap 150 Index, Nifty100 Low Volatility30 Index and the CPSE ETF rebalance at the close tomorrow.
The round-trip trade across the indices is US$3.3bn and there are 13 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade from passive trackers.
Stocks with the largest inflows are Trent, Bharat Electronics, Canara Bank, Bharat Heavy Electricals, Oil &amp; Natural Gas Corp, Coal India, Hindustan Aeronautics and InterGlobe Aviation.


NIFTY Indices: Flows (Post Capping) At the Close Tomorrow; Round-Trip US$3.3bn

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Belstar Microfinance Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/belstar-microfinance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43409:1" rel="noopener">Belstar Microfinance Ltd (3624918Z IN)</a> is looking to raise around US$156m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Belstar Microfinance is a non-banking finance company (NBFC) in India with a focus on furnishing micro-enterprise loans. </li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.</li>
</ul>



Belstar Microfinance Ltd (3624918Z IN) is looking to raise around US$156m in its upcoming India IPO.
Belstar Microfinance is a non-banking finance company (NBFC) in India with a focus on furnishing micro-enterprise loans. 
In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.


Belstar Microfinance Pre-IPO - Accelerating Profitability Growth With A Diversified Network

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 indices in the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see four expected ADDs/DELs for BSE 100 and six expected ADDs/DELs for BSE 200.</li>
<li>The BSE 100 handling rules for names <em>without</em> futures and options (F&amp;O) sometimes punish companies that have enjoyed good share price rallies and Zomato could fall into such a trap.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 indices in the December 2024 index rebal event.
We see four expected ADDs/DELs for BSE 100 and six expected ADDs/DELs for BSE 200.
The BSE 100 handling rules for names without futures and options (F&amp;O) sometimes punish companies that have enjoyed good share price rallies and Zomato could fall into such a trap.


Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 24: Zomato Needs F&O Membership to Avoid BSE 100 Deletion

<ul>
<li>In line with our forecast, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canara-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:543:1" rel="noopener">Canara Bank (CBK IN)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX)</a> at the close on 27 September.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a> will be deleted from a global index at the close on 31 August, so real float will increase a lot over the next month.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy over 2 days of ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canara-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:543:1" rel="noopener">Canara Bank (CBK IN)</a> and sell 1 day of ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


In line with our forecast, Canara Bank (CBK IN) will replace Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN) in the NSE Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX) at the close on 27 September.

Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN) will be deleted from a global index at the close on 31 August, so real float will increase a lot over the next month.
Passive trackers will need to buy over 2 days of ADV in Canara Bank (CBK IN) and sell 1 day of ADV in Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN). 


NIFTY Bank Index Rebalance: Canara Bank IN; Bandhan Bank OUT

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Our positive focus remains on smaller cap Indian banks, with buys on value plays Bandhan, Baroda and UBI; we are negative on richly valued ICICI Bank and Kotak Mahindra</li>
<li>UBI shares have been poor performers, but its returns to 1QFYE25 have improved and it is a value stand-out; Baroda remains a favourite and Bandhan has delivered better profitability </li>
<li>Kotak Mahindra is the peer group’s highest return bank post credit costs, but returns are declining; ICICI also has attractive returns but we believe its credit costs are unsustainably low</li>
</ul>


Our positive focus remains on smaller cap Indian banks, with buys on value plays Bandhan, Baroda and UBI; we are negative on richly valued ICICI Bank and Kotak Mahindra
UBI shares have been poor performers, but its returns to 1QFYE25 have improved and it is a value stand-out; Baroda remains a favourite and Bandhan has delivered better profitability 
Kotak Mahindra is the peer group’s highest return bank post credit costs, but returns are declining; ICICI also has attractive returns but we believe its credit costs are unsustainably low


Indian Banks Screener 1QFYE25: Positive Focus on Value Based Smaller Caps

India

Bandhan Bank Limited operates as a commercial bank. The Bank provides accounts checking, savings deposits, money market, mortgage, and term loans services, as well as card facilities and Internet banking services. Bandhan Bank serves customers in India.

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Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)

NIFTY Indices: Flows (Post Capping) At the Close Tomorrow; Round-Trip US$3.3bn

The next rebalance of the Nifty family of indices takes place at the close on 27 Sep. The round-trip trade is US$3.3bn and there are 13 stocks with...

Brian Freitas

Belstar Microfinance Pre-IPO - Accelerating Profitability Growth With A Diversified Network

Belstar Microfinance Limited is looking to raise around US$156m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the company’s historical...

Akshat Shah

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Dec 24: Zomato Needs F&O Membership to Avoid BSE 100 Deletion

Zomato does not have F&O membership and it could violate a BSE Sensex Next 50 selection rule which would trigger a BSE 100 deletion. To escape...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

NIFTY Bank Index Rebalance: Canara Bank IN; Bandhan Bank OUT

Canara Bank will replace Bandhan Bank in the Nifty Bank Index in Sep. Bandhan is also being deleted from a global index on 31 August. Passives need...

Brian Freitas

Indian Banks Screener 1QFYE25: Positive Focus on Value Based Smaller Caps

Positive focus on smaller cap, value based Indian banks Bandhan, Baroda, and UBI; negative on richly valued ICICI Bank and Kotak Mahindra due to...

Victor Galliano

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

NIFTY Indices: Flows (Post Capping) At the Close Tomorrow; Round-Trip US$3.3bn

The next rebalance of the Nifty family of indices takes place at the close on 27 Sep. The round-trip trade is US$3.3bn and there are 13 stocks with...

Brian Freitas

Belstar Microfinance Pre-IPO - Accelerating Profitability Growth With A Diversified Network

Belstar Microfinance Limited is looking to raise around US$156m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the company’s historical...

Akshat Shah

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 24: Zomato Needs F&O Membership to Avoid BSE 100 Deletion

Zomato does not have F&O membership and it could violate a BSE Sensex Next 50 selection rule which would trigger a BSE 100 deletion. To escape...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

NIFTY Bank Index Rebalance: Canara Bank IN; Bandhan Bank OUT

Canara Bank will replace Bandhan Bank in the Nifty Bank Index in Sep. Bandhan is also being deleted from a global index on 31 August. Passives need...

Brian Freitas

Indian Banks Screener 1QFYE25: Positive Focus on Value Based Smaller Caps

​Positive focus on smaller cap, value based Indian banks Bandhan, Baroda, and UBI; negative on richly valued ICICI Bank and Kotak Mahindra due to...

Victor Galliano

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Dec 24: Zomato Needs F&O Membership to Avoid BSE 100 Deletion

Positive focus on smaller cap, value based Indian banks Bandhan, Baroda, and UBI; negative on richly valued ICICI Bank and Kotak Mahindra due to...