Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The New and Better (10 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>HUGE underperformance of Hs vs As across the board. A horrible week and it is not clear why. I doubt it was the short-selling warning or increase in haircuts.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was a net buy and NORTHBOUND a net sell and the largest net SB flows on H/A pairs were the high-div SOEs.</li>
</ul>


The New and Better (10 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
HUGE underperformance of Hs vs As across the board. A horrible week and it is not clear why. I doubt it was the short-selling warning or increase in haircuts.
SOUTHBOUND was a net buy and NORTHBOUND a net sell and the largest net SB flows on H/A pairs were the high-div SOEs.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 10 Nov): Bad Week for H | A Across the Board Despite SB/NB Going "Right Way"

<ul>
<li>This is the somewhat-brand-spanking-new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.</li>
<li>The same five names continue at the top of the gross flows list - Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex, Wuliangye Yibin, Foxconn Industrial, and BYD. Nets are still smaller.</li>
<li>Last week, NORTHBOUND returned to net OUTflow after the previous week saw the first net buy in 3mos. This week saw RMB 7.95bn of net NORTHBOUND selling.</li>
</ul>


This is the somewhat-brand-spanking-new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.
The same five names continue at the top of the gross flows list - Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex, Wuliangye Yibin, Foxconn Industrial, and BYD. Nets are still smaller.
Last week, NORTHBOUND returned to net OUTflow after the previous week saw the first net buy in 3mos. This week saw RMB 7.95bn of net NORTHBOUND selling.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 10 Nov 23): Back To Net Sales (Ping An, Eoptolink, Innolight)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 10th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,078.3 million, led by information technology, industrials, and offset by consumer staples, communication services, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for BYD, Ping An Insurance, Eoptolink Technology, Zhongji Innolight.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 10th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,078.3 million, led by information technology, industrials, and offset by consumer staples, communication services, real estate.
We highlight flows for BYD, Ping An Insurance, Eoptolink Technology, Zhongji Innolight.


Northbound Flows (Nov 10th): BYD, Ping An Insurance, Eoptolink Technology, Zhongji Innolight

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Zeekr, a premium EV brand by Geely, aims to raise around US$1bn (estimated) in its US listing in 1H2023. GS, BofA and MS are said to be running the deal.</li>
<li>Zeekr was formed in Mar 2021 as a JV between Geely and its founder. Its first model was launched in Apr 21 with deliveries starting in Oct 21.</li>
<li>In this note, we take an early look at the IPO based on publicly avaiable information.</li>
</ul>


Zeekr, a premium EV brand by Geely, aims to raise around US$1bn (estimated) in its US listing in 1H2023. GS, BofA and MS are said to be running the deal.
Zeekr was formed in Mar 2021 as a JV between Geely and its founder. Its first model was launched in Apr 21 with deliveries starting in Oct 21.
In this note, we take an early look at the IPO based on publicly avaiable information.


Zeekr IPO Early Look - Possibly US$0 to US$7bn Revenue in Under Three Years

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This is the somewhat-brand-spanking-new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.</li>
<li>The same five names continue at the top of the gross flows list - Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex, Wuliangye Yibin, Foxconn Industrial, and BYD. Nets are dropping.</li>
<li>NORTHBOUND saw net inflow for the first time in three months. Small at RMB 557mm, but positive.</li>
</ul>


This is the somewhat-brand-spanking-new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.
The same five names continue at the top of the gross flows list - Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex, Wuliangye Yibin, Foxconn Industrial, and BYD. Nets are dropping.
NORTHBOUND saw net inflow for the first time in three months. Small at RMB 557mm, but positive.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 3Nov23): First Week of Net Buying in 3mos

China

Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited. operates as a battery products manufacturing company. The Company produces and sells power battery materials, energy storage batteries energy storage battery cells, systems, and other products. Contemporary Amperex Technology also provides batteries recycling services.

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

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Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 10 Nov): Bad Week for H | A Across the Board Despite SB/NB Going "Right Way"

H/A Pairs were again volatile this week. Hs underperformed their As by more than 150bp. The portfolio did better carried over from last week, but...

Travis Lundy

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 10 Nov 23): Back To Net Sales (Ping An, Eoptolink, Innolight)

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND flow was back to net selling last week. Top names were still top names. Property & Construction a net buy. BYD a big...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Nov 10th): BYD, Ping An Insurance, Eoptolink Technology, Zhongji Innolight

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for BYD, Ping An Insurance, Eoptolink Technology Inc.,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Zeekr IPO Early Look - Possibly US$0 to US$7bn Revenue in Under Three Years

Zeekr, a premium EV brand by Geely, publicly filed for a US IPO overnight. The company had earlier planned to raise over US$1bn.

Sumeet Singh

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 3Nov23): First Week of Net Buying in 3mos

Northbound Connect flows were positive for the first time in three months last week. Top stocks saw the same. Watch for more jawboning on short...

Travis Lundy

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