Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Financials ($1,425 million worth of outflows), and Consumer Staples ($854 million worth of outflows) led the outflows (first chart below).</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into CATL, Mindray, Will Semi, BYD, Wuxi Apptec, and outflows from CMB, Wuliangye, Shanghai United, Midea, Hygon.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Financials ($1,425 million worth of outflows), and Consumer Staples ($854 million worth of outflows) led the outflows (first chart below).
We highlight inflows into CATL, Mindray, Will Semi, BYD, Wuxi Apptec, and outflows from CMB, Wuliangye, Shanghai United, Midea, Hygon.


Northbound Flows (December): Five Months of Outflows

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The New and Better (5mos old) A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND flows flat/light and NORTHBOUND flows a significant net buy, respectively, but liquid Hs with H/A pairs OUT-perform As on average by 200+bp.</li>
<li>STILL time to go long Hs vs As for the new year. 52wk wide discounts were just last week. Wide A/H premia in renewables space look vulnerable.</li>
</ul>


The New and Better (5mos old) A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
SOUTHBOUND flows flat/light and NORTHBOUND flows a significant net buy, respectively, but liquid Hs with H/A pairs OUT-perform As on average by 200+bp.
STILL time to go long Hs vs As for the new year. 52wk wide discounts were just last week. Wide A/H premia in renewables space look vulnerable.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 5 Jan 2024):  STAY Long Hs Vs As: A Premia Still Wide, High Div SOEs Moving

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 5.5bn of A-shares on lighter average activity. BIG net selling flows on the first day of the year for HK going north.</li>
<li>Looking at the change in the weekly position charts over the last year is striking (easiest in the Sectors table to start). Still.</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 5.5bn of A-shares on lighter average activity. BIG net selling flows on the first day of the year for HK going north.
Looking at the change in the weekly position charts over the last year is striking (easiest in the Sectors table to start). Still.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 5 Jan 2024): Big Names Sold, Banks Bought

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 5th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$719.9 million, led by information technology, consumer staples, and offset by utilities, financials, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Chongqing Changan Automobile, CATL and Moutai.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 5th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$719.9 million, led by information technology, consumer staples, and offset by utilities, financials, energy.
We highlight flows for Chongqing Changan Automobile, CATL and Moutai.


Northbound Flows (Jan 5th): Chongqing Changan Automobile, CATL, Moutai

LONGi Green Energy Technology / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 18.7bn of A-shares on stronger average activity. BIG net buying flows on Weds and Thursday.</li>
<li>Looking at the change in the weekly position charts over the last year is striking (easiest in the Sectors table to start). Still.</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 18.7bn of A-shares on stronger average activity. BIG net buying flows on Weds and Thursday.
Looking at the change in the weekly position charts over the last year is striking (easiest in the Sectors table to start). Still.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 29 Dec 23): Renewables Are a BIG NET BUY This Week

China

Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited. operates as a battery products manufacturing company. The Company produces and sells power battery materials, energy storage batteries energy storage battery cells, systems, and other products. Contemporary Amperex Technology also provides batteries recycling services.

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

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Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

Northbound Flows (December): Five Months of Outflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for December and highlight flows for CATL, Mindray, Will Semi, BYD, Wuxi Apptec, CMB, Wuliangye,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A/H Premium Tracker (To 5 Jan 2024): STAY Long Hs Vs As: A Premia Still Wide, High Div SOEs Moving

The first week of the year, the A/H premia on average were flat. On liquid names, Hs slightly underperformed. Very mixed across sectors. Premia...

Travis Lundy

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 5 Jan 2024): Big Names Sold, Banks Bought

NORTHBOUND saw some outflow in the first week after a huge net buy the last week of the year. Large cap liquid names KM and CATL were sold. Banks...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Jan 5th): Chongqing Changan Automobile, CATL, Moutai

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Chongqing Changan Automobile, CATL, Moutai.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 29 Dec 23): Renewables Are a BIG NET BUY This Week

Very strong "week" of net NORTHBOUND inflows this week, with Weds+Thursday seeing RMB 19bn of inflow on strong volume. Thurs HUGE volume....

Travis Lundy

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