Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 1Q 2023.</li>
<li>Of the 33 pair trades, 2/3 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past year and 1/3 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.</li>
<li>We highlight 33 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 1Q 2023.
Of the 33 pair trades, 2/3 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past year and 1/3 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.
We highlight 33 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Spreads Opportunities in 1Q 2023

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of Oasis Corp is EV of 605 billion won, implied market cap of 788 billion won, and target price of 24,847 won per share. </li>
<li>This is 18.5% lower than the low end of the IPO price range. Given the lack of upside, we have a Negative View of the Oasis Corp IPO.</li>
<li>The end of COVID pandemic and relaxed regulations for hypermarkets in early morning delivery services are likely to have greater negative impact on Oasis Corp. </li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of Oasis Corp is EV of 605 billion won, implied market cap of 788 billion won, and target price of 24,847 won per share. 
This is 18.5% lower than the low end of the IPO price range. Given the lack of upside, we have a Negative View of the Oasis Corp IPO.
The end of COVID pandemic and relaxed regulations for hypermarkets in early morning delivery services are likely to have greater negative impact on Oasis Corp. 


<ul>
<li>Lotte Shopping is a deep value stock poised for a turnaround. </li>
<li>Lotte Shopping has clear turnaround catalysts, cheap valuations, and a solid technical setup. </li>
<li>Perhaps the most important catalysts for Lotte Shopping include getting rid of the most restrictions/social distancing measures related to COVID-19 which have been in place in the past three years.</li>
</ul>


Lotte Shopping is a deep value stock poised for a turnaround. 
Lotte Shopping has clear turnaround catalysts, cheap valuations, and a solid technical setup. 
Perhaps the most important catalysts for Lotte Shopping include getting rid of the most restrictions/social distancing measures related to COVID-19 which have been in place in the past three years.


Lotte Shopping: A Deep Value Stock Poised for a Turnaround

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergence of the major Korean holdcos and opcos amid market carnage.</li>
<li>In general, more holdcos/quasi-holdcos have been outperforming the opcos in the past year, as compared to the previous years as more investors seek value-oriented, deep NAV discount stocks.</li>
<li>We highlight 26 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergence of the major Korean holdcos and opcos amid market carnage.
In general, more holdcos/quasi-holdcos have been outperforming the opcos in the past year, as compared to the previous years as more investors seek value-oriented, deep NAV discount stocks.
We highlight 26 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Spreads Opportunities Amid Market Carnage

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

China Tourism Group Duty Free / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (CDF) raised around US$2.4bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong, after pricing its IPO at HKD158/share.</li>
<li>As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, CDF had 92.3% market share by retail revenue in China duty-free merchandise sales in 2020.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the deal pricing and the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>


China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (CDF) raised around US$2.4bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong, after pricing its IPO at HKD158/share.
As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, CDF had 92.3% market share by retail revenue in China duty-free merchandise sales in 2020.
In this note, we talk about the deal pricing and the trading dynamics.


China Tourism Group A/H Trading - Decent Support from Long-Only but Minimal Retail Participation

South Korea

Lotte Shopping Co., Ltd. operates department stores and discount stores in South Korea.  The Company retails clothing, household goods, foods and other items through several branches.  Lotte Shopping also operates supermarkets and movie theaters.

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Lotte Shopping Co (023530 KS)

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Spreads Opportunities in 1Q 2023

In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 1Q 2023. We highlight 33 pair trades that...

Douglas Kim

Oasis Corp IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Oasis Corp is implied market cap of 788 billion won, and target price of 24,847 won per share, which is 18.5% lower than...

Douglas Kim

Lotte Shopping: A Deep Value Stock Poised for a Turnaround

Lotte Shopping is a deep value stock in Korea with key catalysts for a turnaround in 2023. Lotte Shopping currently has a market cap of 2.5...

Douglas Kim

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Spreads Opportunities Amid Market Carnage

In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergence of the major Korean holdcos and opcos amid market carnage. We highlight 26 pair trades...

Douglas Kim

China Tourism Group A/H Trading - Decent Support from Long-Only but Minimal Retail Participation

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (CDF) raised around US$2.4bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong, after pricing its IPO at HKD158...

Sumeet Singh

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