Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Japan's Nikkei pushed above out 27k pivot and is now tactical buy support with 28,200-400 the fresh sell zone. Impulsive squeeze needs the dust to settle.</li>
<li>Fresh sell/short resistance lies at 28,200/500 where price, trendline and the 50 dma coincide. Expect a dip and rally sequence in order to build a secondary top.</li>
<li>The impulsive rise from 25k to current levels was stronger than we expected and got this rally extension wrong.</li>
</ul>


Japan's Nikkei pushed above out 27k pivot and is now tactical buy support with 28,200-400 the fresh sell zone. Impulsive squeeze needs the dust to settle.
Fresh sell/short resistance lies at 28,200/500 where price, trendline and the 50 dma coincide. Expect a dip and rally sequence in order to build a secondary top.
The impulsive rise from 25k to current levels was stronger than we expected and got this rally extension wrong.


Nikkei 27k Pivot Hangs in the Balance - Fresh Buy/Sell Levels

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orix-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9936:1" rel="noopener">Orix Corp (8591)</a> replaces <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">Shinsei Bank (8303)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225</a> at the close of trading on 1 April due to Shinsei Bank not trading on the Prime Market.</li>
<li>We estimate there will be passive buying of 27.5m shares on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orix-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9936:1" rel="noopener">Orix Corp (8591 JP)</a> while there will be selling of 2.75m shares on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a> </li>
<li>There appears to be some pre-positioning on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orix-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9936:1" rel="noopener">Orix Corp (8591 JP)</a> - the stock could outperform heading into index inclusion. </li>
</ul>



Orix Corp (8591) replaces Shinsei Bank (8303) in the Nikkei 225 at the close of trading on 1 April due to Shinsei Bank not trading on the Prime Market.
We estimate there will be passive buying of 27.5m shares on Orix Corp (8591 JP) while there will be selling of 2.75m shares on Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) 
There appears to be some pre-positioning on Orix Corp (8591 JP) - the stock could outperform heading into index inclusion. 


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: ORIX (8591) Replaces Shinsei Bank (8303)

<ul>
<li>Japan's Nikkei 27,000 inflection lows are under pressure and expected to give way in Q2. We outline a near term give back, recovery rise into the higher degree sell zone.</li>
<li>RSI displays a more bullish tactical lean (bull divergence and constructive wedge) into near term weakness.</li>
<li>Nikkei 28,300 is the macro sell zone. Near term pivot support at 26,200.</li>
</ul>


Japan's Nikkei 27,000 inflection lows are under pressure and expected to give way in Q2. We outline a near term give back, recovery rise into the higher degree sell zone.
RSI displays a more bullish tactical lean (bull divergence and constructive wedge) into near term weakness.
Nikkei 28,300 is the macro sell zone. Near term pivot support at 26,200.


Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets, SAV Markets

Shyam Devani

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets

Provide Comprehensive Analysis & Commentary

SAV Markets

SAV Markets aims to provide comprehensive analysis & commentary on foreign exchange and asset markets. The approach is multi asset as markets are typically interlinked. Cause and effect are always at work, even if those effects take time to manifest. As nothing is permanent we strive to get ahead of the curve in an ever changing world.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>This is an opinion piece that attempts to look at the sustainability of policies set out by the Bank of Japan, namely the yield curve control.</li>
<li>There seems to be a growing risk that long end yields are set to rise further, testing the BoJ's resolve.</li>
<li>Indications are already there in the interest rate curves and the performance of Japanese Banks. A further report will follow, highlighting relevant charts and trade ideas</li>
</ul>


This is an opinion piece that attempts to look at the sustainability of policies set out by the Bank of Japan, namely the yield curve control.
There seems to be a growing risk that long end yields are set to rise further, testing the BoJ's resolve.
Indications are already there in the interest rate curves and the performance of Japanese Banks. A further report will follow, highlighting relevant charts and trade ideas


<ul>
<li>The nasty “squeeze” up in the Nikkei 225 has so far stalled within the zone of resistance at 27,293-27,629</li>
<li>A move back below 26,954 would add to the bearish bias seen overall</li>
<li>Medium to long term supports and target area comes in closer to 24,500</li>
</ul>


The nasty “squeeze” up in the Nikkei 225 has so far stalled within the zone of resistance at 27,293-27,629
A move back below 26,954 would add to the bearish bias seen overall
Medium to long term supports and target area comes in closer to 24,500


Nikkei 225 Fails to Breach the Zone of Resistance

Japan

The Nikkei-225 Stock Average is a price-weighted average of 225 top-rated Japanese companies listed in the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The Nikkei Stock Average was first published on May 16, 1949, where the average price was ¥176.21 with a divisor of 225. 

Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)

Nikkei 27k Pivot Hangs in the Balance - Fresh Buy/Sell Levels

Japan's Nikkei pushed above out 27k pivot and is now tactical buy support with 28,200-400 the fresh sell zone. Impulsive squeeze needs the dust to...

Thomas Schroeder

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: ORIX (8591) Replaces Shinsei Bank (8303)

Orix Corp replaces Shinsei Bank in the Nikkei225 Index at the close on 1 April. Passive trackers will need to buy 27.5m shares of Orix and sell...

Brian Freitas

Nikkei Trade Levels

Japan's Nikkei 27,000 inflection lows are under pressure and expected to give way in Q2. We outline a near term give back, recovery rise into the...

Thomas Schroeder

Playing with Fire – FX & Rates, Japan

Is the Bank of Japan immune in a world that sees rising consumer prices? Should they continue to pursue a policy that only seems to weaken their...

Shyam Devani

Nikkei 225 Fails to Breach the Zone of Resistance

The Nikkei 225 is struggling to take out the resistance zone leading us to suggest that the underlying downtrend might be resuming again

Shyam Devani