Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has been draining liquidity through reverse repo while the Chinese Yuan (CNY) fixing has been notably stronger than anticipated.</li>
<li>It could be attributed to various factors, such as: A significant drop in the manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI)</li>
<li>Weaker PMI sub-indices, including export orders and employment</li>
</ul>


The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has been draining liquidity through reverse repo while the Chinese Yuan (CNY) fixing has been notably stronger than anticipated.
It could be attributed to various factors, such as: A significant drop in the manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI)
Weaker PMI sub-indices, including export orders and employment


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nordea

Nordea

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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<ul>
<li>In July, we observe a significant decrease in overall risk levels.</li>
<li>Currently, there are no currencies labeled as high risk, and 27 currencies are labeled as low risk.</li>
<li>Regarding the Russian ruble, it remains in the green territory.</li>
</ul>
<p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>


In July, we observe a significant decrease in overall risk levels.
Currently, there are no currencies labeled as high risk, and 27 currencies are labeled as low risk.
Regarding the Russian ruble, it remains in the green territory.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technical Analysis

<ul><li>The industrial sector is exhibiting signs of a prolonged slowdown, similar to Real Estate and Household trends.</li><li>This Note is the third in a series on China's econChina'scovery; we update key charts and add charts relevant to the Industrial sector.</li><li>Qingdao City on Friday reduced the deposit requirement for purchasing homes, following a trend set by several other cities.</li></ul>

The industrial sector is exhibiting signs of a prolonged slowdown, similar to Real Estate and Household trends.This Note is the third in a series on China's econChina'scovery; we update key charts and add charts relevant to the Industrial sector.Qingdao City on Friday reduced the deposit requirement for purchasing homes, following a trend set by several other cities.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>This is the second of three notes on China's recovery.</li><li>Most, if not all, bullish consumer recovery scenarios have been based on the revenge spending model that analysts witnessed in other parts of the world.</li><li>There is no question that it is human to do things like recreation, shopping, and travel after three years of lockdowns.</li></ul>

This is the second of three notes on China's recovery.Most, if not all, bullish consumer recovery scenarios have been based on the revenge spending model that analysts witnessed in other parts of the world.There is no question that it is human to do things like recreation, shopping, and travel after three years of lockdowns.

<ul><li>Until April, China A shares saw sustained Northbound Inflows.</li><li>In January 2023, foreign investors invested a record $100 billion in China A shares.</li><li>This was more than 2022, which was $90 billion. We have started to see some outflows in May, but this is yet to be a trend.</li></ul>

Until April, China A shares saw sustained Northbound Inflows.In January 2023, foreign investors invested a record $100 billion in China A shares.This was more than 2022, which was $90 billion. We have started to see some outflows in May, but this is yet to be a trend.

China

The Chinese renminbi (yuan) is the official currency of The People's Republic of China. 

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CNY (USDCNY CURNCY)

China News Headline Not Discounted

The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has been draining liquidity through reverse repo while the Chinese Yuan (CNY) fixing has been notably stronger...

Untying The Gordian Knot

EM Traffic Light July 2023

In July, we observe a significant decrease in overall risk levels. Currently, there are no currencies labeled as high risk, and 27 currencies are...

Nordea

China Recovery - Industrial

This Note is the third in a series on China's econChina'scovery; we update key charts and add charts relevant to the Industrial sector.

Untying The Gordian Knot

China Recovery - Households

Most, if not all, bullish consumer recovery scenarios have been based on the revenge spending model that analysts witnessed in other parts of the...

Untying The Gordian Knot

China Recovery – Real Estate

Until April, China A shares saw sustained Northbound Inflows. In January 2023, foreign investors invested a record $100 billion in China A shares.

Untying The Gordian Knot

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