Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindustan-unilever-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13828:1" rel="noopener">Hindustan Unilever (HUVR IN)</a>'s strong quarterly performance was overshadowed by a proposed hike in royalty payments to parent <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unilever-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22197:1" rel="noopener">Unilever PLC (ULVR LN)</a> </li>
<li>HUVR's historical royalty growth has been below revenue and PBT growth and hence does not generate any red flags in terms of minority shareholder protection.  </li>
<li>While the impact on EPS is ~3%, we believe much of the reaction around HUVR's Royalty is Noise. </li>
</ul>



Hindustan Unilever (HUVR IN)'s strong quarterly performance was overshadowed by a proposed hike in royalty payments to parent Unilever PLC (ULVR LN) 
HUVR's historical royalty growth has been below revenue and PBT growth and hence does not generate any red flags in terms of minority shareholder protection.  
While the impact on EPS is ~3%, we believe much of the reaction around HUVR's Royalty is Noise. 


Hindustan Unilever (HUVR IN) | Royalty Rukus

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Many major indexes have broken below critical supports, including MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), EURO STOXX 50, STOXX Europe 600, and the DAX.</li>
<li>Odds suggest a bearish downside continuation, and a bearish outlook is appropriate as long as the YTD downtrend remains intact on the ACWI-US, MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EAFE (EFA-US).</li>
<li>There is bounce potential given these broad global indexes are testing their respective downtrend channel supports, but the fact remains that they <em>are</em> in downtrends, a major problem longer-term.</li>
</ul>


Many major indexes have broken below critical supports, including MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), EURO STOXX 50, STOXX Europe 600, and the DAX.
Odds suggest a bearish downside continuation, and a bearish outlook is appropriate as long as the YTD downtrend remains intact on the ACWI-US, MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EAFE (EFA-US).
There is bounce potential given these broad global indexes are testing their respective downtrend channel supports, but the fact remains that they are in downtrends, a major problem longer-term.


MSCI ACWI Ex-US, EAFE Testing Downtrend Channel Supports -- Bounce Potential

Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

<ul>
<li>Recent and pending supply-chain deforestation regulations represent a new and ever-growing source of transition risks – <em>financially</em>-material risks with far-reaching ramifications.</li>
<li>Significant developments regarding the European Union's pending forest-risk commodity laws (e.g., inclusion of natural rubber, addition of banks to its purview) inspired this Insight.</li>
<li>This Insight briefly summarises EU and U.K. deforestation regulations, then analyses potential risks and implications for issuers involved in related forest-risk commodity supply chains.</li>
</ul>


Recent and pending supply-chain deforestation regulations represent a new and ever-growing source of transition risks – financially-material risks with far-reaching ramifications.
Significant developments regarding the European Union's pending forest-risk commodity laws (e.g., inclusion of natural rubber, addition of banks to its purview) inspired this Insight.
This Insight briefly summarises EU and U.K. deforestation regulations, then analyses potential risks and implications for issuers involved in related forest-risk commodity supply chains.


Supply-Chain Deforestation Laws as a New and Growing Source of Transition Risk

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The index changes for DAX, MDAX, SDAX, and TecDAX were announced yesterday.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beiersdorf-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21588:1" rel="noopener">Beiersdorf AG (BEI GR)</a> will move from MDAX to DAX while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delivery-hero-se" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24416:1" rel="noopener">Delivery Hero SE (DHER GR)</a> will move from DAX to MDAX.</li>
<li>Below is a closer look at the excess volume expectations and historical price and volume performance of the names involved in this Rebalance Event.</li>
</ul>


The index changes for DAX, MDAX, SDAX, and TecDAX were announced yesterday.

Beiersdorf AG (BEI GR) will move from MDAX to DAX while Delivery Hero SE (DHER GR) will move from DAX to MDAX.
Below is a closer look at the excess volume expectations and historical price and volume performance of the names involved in this Rebalance Event.


DAX, MDAX, SDAX, TecDAX June 2022 Rebalance: Encavis & Hensoldt Top Positives; Hypoport Top Negative

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>A majority of British companies in China have forecast falling revenues for 2022 as they expect the country’s current wave of Covid-19 outbreaks and the resulting government response to take a serious toll on business this year.</li><li>55% of the British businesses polled in Beijing, Shanghai and Guangdong, predict revenue will drop this year, while a further 38% said it’s too early to tell</li><li>74% of respondents said the outbreaks have had a serious or large impact on their businesses and cash flow</li></ul>

A majority of British companies in China have forecast falling revenues for 2022 as they expect the country’s current wave of Covid-19 outbreaks and the resulting government response to take a serious toll on business this year.55% of the British businesses polled in Beijing, Shanghai and Guangdong, predict revenue will drop this year, while a further 38% said it’s too early to tell74% of respondents said the outbreaks have had a serious or large impact on their businesses and cash flow

Uncertainty Weighs on British Businesses in China Amid Lockdowns, Chamber Says

United Kingdom

Unilever PLC manufactures branded and packaged consumer goods, including food, detergents, fragrances, home and personal care products.  Dually-listed company with UNA NA.

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Unilever PLC (ULVR LN)

Hindustan Unilever (HUVR IN) | Royalty Rukus

The Rukus around Hindustan Unilever Limited's increase in royalty payments to its parent Unilever appears to be just Noise.

Pranav Bhavsar

MSCI ACWI Ex-US, EAFE Testing Downtrend Channel Supports -- Bounce Potential

Bounce potential given $ACWX $EFA testing downtrend channel supports, but it would likely be a short-term trading opportunity due to the fact that...

Vermilion Research

Supply-Chain Deforestation Laws as a New and Growing Source of Transition Risk

New deforestation and forest-risk commodity regulations are poppoing up around the world, and they are unlike any prior climate regulations. Big...

Kyle Rudden

DAX, MDAX, SDAX, TecDAX June 2022 Rebalance: Encavis & Hensoldt Top Positives; Hypoport Top Negative

A discussion on June 2022 index changes for DAX, MDAX, SDAX, and TecDAX. Enclavis and Hensoldt are names with highest positive impacts and Hypoport...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Uncertainty Weighs on British Businesses in China Amid Lockdowns, Chamber Says

A majority of British companies in China have forecast falling revenues for 2022 as they expect the country’s current wave of Covid-19 outbreaks...

Caixin Global

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