Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>The week ahead is packed with economic, index and earnings releases.</li>
<li>MSC announce index changes tomorrow evening for the November rebalance (30 Nov). We highlight potential deletions from MSC SA below (ANG, GRT, ARI, NPH).</li>
<li>Tencent is due to release earnings on Wednesday after the Hong Kong close. The market is expecting a robust set of results.</li>
</ul>


The week ahead is packed with economic, index and earnings releases.
MSC announce index changes tomorrow evening for the November rebalance (30 Nov). We highlight potential deletions from MSC SA below (ANG, GRT, ARI, NPH).
Tencent is due to release earnings on Wednesday after the Hong Kong close. The market is expecting a robust set of results.


The Week Ahead: No Shortage of Potential Catalysts; Tencent (700) Reports, MSC Index Changes, US CPI

<ul>
<li>The performance of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv-2e2a2230-64b0-4044-b797-a3880fcb487a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28301:1" rel="noopener">Prosus NV (PRX SJ)</a> during this week is worth flagging – both counters have outperformed the underlying portfolio, narrowing both discounts notably.</li>
<li>Naspers’ discount to Prosus’ market value continues to push new lows, closing at 9.9% yesterday.</li>
<li>For the week up to the close yesterday, Naspers is up 4.1%, Prosus is up 2.3% and Tencent is down 1.4% in HKD (down 3.7% in ZAR). </li>
</ul>


The performance of Naspers (NPN SJ) and Prosus NV (PRX SJ) during this week is worth flagging – both counters have outperformed the underlying portfolio, narrowing both discounts notably.
Naspers’ discount to Prosus’ market value continues to push new lows, closing at 9.9% yesterday.
For the week up to the close yesterday, Naspers is up 4.1%, Prosus is up 2.3% and Tencent is down 1.4% in HKD (down 3.7% in ZAR). 


Naspers & Prosus: Discounts Narrow This Week, the Great Rotation from Prosus to Naspers Playing Out?

<ul>
<li>Since the close on Monday, both discounts have widened by over 2 percentage points <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus NV (PRX NA)</a>.</li>
<li>Naspers’ discount to Prosus’ MV is back at 11.8% after reaching 10.4% on Monday. Naspers’ discount is trading at 46% and Prosus’ discount is trading at 40%.</li>
<li>The annual WisdomTree rebalance took place in the closing auction on Wednesday. Turnover on the JSE for the day was R20bn ($1.05bn), 1.12 times the 5-day average.</li>
</ul>


Since the close on Monday, both discounts have widened by over 2 percentage points Naspers (NPN SJ)Prosus NV (PRX NA).
Naspers’ discount to Prosus’ MV is back at 11.8% after reaching 10.4% on Monday. Naspers’ discount is trading at 46% and Prosus’ discount is trading at 40%.
The annual WisdomTree rebalance took place in the closing auction on Wednesday. Turnover on the JSE for the day was R20bn ($1.05bn), 1.12 times the 5-day average.


Naspers & Prosus: Discounts Widen as Market Sells off + WisdomTree Oct Rebalance Price Moves (JSE)

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In Aug 2022, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a> completed the acquisition of 91% of Blinkit’s outstanding shares via issuing its own shares. These shares were released from their lockup in Aug 2023.</li>
<li>Softbank then sold a part of its stake in Aug 2023, the rest of its stake will come out of lockup soon.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and recent updates.</li>
</ul>


In Aug 2022, Zomato (ZOMATO IN) completed the acquisition of 91% of Blinkit’s outstanding shares via issuing its own shares. These shares were released from their lockup in Aug 2023.
Softbank then sold a part of its stake in Aug 2023, the rest of its stake will come out of lockup soon.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and recent updates.


Zomato Lock-Up - A US$240m+ Softbank Linked Lockup Release

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>An ad hoc <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> rebalance will be implemented at the close on 17 October with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/light-wonder-inc-7e7d040f-e811-4fb9-9710-796a39af299e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40171:1" rel="noopener">Light &amp; Wonder (LNW AU)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-malt-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29116:1" rel="noopener">United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU)</a>. </li>
<li>The rebalances of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wisdomtree-emerging-markets-146edc02-f8a5-4ac5-968b-5f0f7c89e476" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32683:1" rel="noopener">Wisdomtree Emerging Markets (DEM US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wisdomtree-em-small-cap" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32679:1" rel="noopener">Wisdomtree Em Small Cap (DGS US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wisdmtree-emerg-mkt-ex-st-ow" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32798:1" rel="noopener">Wisdmtree Emerg Mkt Ex-St Ow (XSOE US)</a> will be implemented on 18 October.</li>
<li>There were net outflows from onshore China ETFs with inflows to larger cap ETFs and outflows mainly from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI Smallcap 500 Index</a> and CSI 1000 Index trackers.</li>
</ul>


An ad hoc S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) rebalance will be implemented at the close on 17 October with Light &amp; Wonder (LNW AU) replacing United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU). 
The rebalances of Wisdomtree Emerging Markets (DEM US), Wisdomtree Em Small Cap (DGS US) and Wisdmtree Emerg Mkt Ex-St Ow (XSOE US) will be implemented on 18 October.
There were net outflows from onshore China ETFs with inflows to larger cap ETFs and outflows mainly from the CSI Smallcap 500 Index and CSI 1000 Index trackers.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSTECH, TOPIX FFW, SSE50, AS51, ChiNext, Kenedix, Liontown

South Africa

Naspers Limited operates in the technology industry. The Company invests in global internet companies across the world.

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Naspers (NPN SJ)

The Week Ahead: No Shortage of Potential Catalysts; Tencent (700) Reports, MSC Index Changes, US CPI

The earnings, index and economic events calendar is packed for the week ahead. Tencent reports on Wednesday & MSC announce index changes for the...

DMA

Naspers & Prosus: Discounts Narrow This Week, the Great Rotation from Prosus to Naspers Playing Out?

A recap of how the discounts traded last week. Naspers’ discount to Prosus’ market value continues to push new lows, both counters outperformed...

DMA

Naspers & Prosus: Discounts Widen as Market Sells off + WisdomTree Oct Rebalance Price Moves (JSE)

Recap of how the discounts traded last week as well as price moves on the JSE at the WisdomTree rebalance (Wed, 18 Oct).

DMA

Zomato Lock-Up - A US$240m+ Softbank Linked Lockup Release

Softbank had opted to sell only around half of its stake via a block to raise airing US$120m. The deal is very well flagged

Sumeet Singh

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSTECH, TOPIX FFW, SSE50, AS51, ChiNext, Kenedix, Liontown

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

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