Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Last Thursday, the BOJ <a href="https://www.boj.or.jp/en/announcements/release_2016/k160729a.pdf" target="_blank">announced</a> the results of its Monetary Policy Committee meeting for July. It was a "late" announcement, coming at 12:45, and led to some changes, but less than the market had expected (no helicopter money and no new bond buys). Stocks fell, then rose sharply with banks rallying across the board, but have since fallen (the media has ascribed the fall at the start of August to "disappointment" in Japan stimulus plans and the BOJ - a 'cause' I think spurious - there are other…

Last Thursday, the BOJ announced the results of its Monetary Policy Committee meeting for July. It was a "late" announcement, coming at 12:45, and led to some changes, but less than the market had expected (no helicopter money and no new bond buys). Stocks fell, then rose sharply with banks rallying across the board, but have since fallen (the media has ascribed the fall at the start of August to "disappointment" in Japan stimulus plans and the BOJ - a 'cause' I think spurious - there are other…

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Our March risk on rally cycle remains intact but maturing with a concentration in our copper/energy theme. Emerging markets are our perform bet with Europe the underperform (Germany is the weakest within Europe and the market to short on March strength).Euro moving into 1.13-1.15 macro sell range. AUD/JPY risk on/off turn at 88 barrier. AUD touted to 0.76-78 on bullish on bullish copper. CAD short slice at 1.3250 and will add in the 1.31 range.Asian FX seeking out chart lows for a USD bottom. USD/KRW is the ST USD short. Still like INR to break trendline support. THB and MYR near viable chart supports.EEM on track to push to 34.50 target where we are shorting. Brazil 52k and Turkey 81k are levels to short and to align with EEM top.Asia longs: India, H shares and copper/energy theme.Asia shorts: Thailand average at 1,360. Malaysia 1,700 short. Next in line is to short Sing banks (DBS near 16). Shanghai flat pattern implies weak structure if it sticks this week.S&amp;P push in line with transports 8,000, DJI 17,650 and NDX 4,450 high targets. Sector volumes are weak on this rise warning of weaker sectors leading a cycle turn. We review counter risk measure rally/turn targets as bond yields spike.Eurostoxx 50 3,150/200 is key resistance to cap the March rally for months to come. Germany is the market to short.Cycle dates – March 23rd is when our DM cycles start to turn more bearish with weaker EM’s expected to follow as EM copper linked plays peaking in early April. June is our macro cycle low target.

Our March risk on rally cycle remains intact but maturing with a concentration in our copper/energy theme. Emerging markets are our perform bet with Europe the underperform (Germany is the weakest within Europe and the market to short on March strength).Euro moving into 1.13-1.15 macro sell range. AUD/JPY risk on/off turn at 88 barrier. AUD touted to 0.76-78 on bullish on bullish copper. CAD short slice at 1.3250 and will add in the 1.31 range.Asian FX seeking out chart lows for a USD bottom. USD/KRW is the ST USD short. Still like INR to break trendline support. THB and MYR near viable chart supports.EEM on track to push to 34.50 target where we are shorting. Brazil 52k and Turkey 81k are levels to short and to align with EEM top.Asia longs: India, H shares and copper/energy theme.Asia shorts: Thailand average at 1,360. Malaysia 1,700 short. Next in line is to short Sing banks (DBS near 16). Shanghai flat pattern implies weak structure if it sticks this week.S&amp;P push in line with transports 8,000, DJI 17,650 and NDX 4,450 high targets. Sector volumes are weak on this rise warning of weaker sectors leading a cycle turn. We review counter risk measure rally/turn targets as bond yields spike.Eurostoxx 50 3,150/200 is key resistance to cap the March rally for months to come. Germany is the market to short.Cycle dates – March 23rd is when our DM cycles start to turn more bearish with weaker EM’s expected to follow as EM copper linked plays peaking in early April. June is our macro cycle low target.

Japan

SUMITOMO CHEMICAL COMPANY, LIMITED manufactures chemical products.  The Company specializes in basic chemicals, petrochemicals, fine chemicals such as photo-resists, pharmaceutical intermediates, and agrochemicals.  Sumitomo Chemical operates manufacturing plants and sales offices worldwide.

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Sumitomo Chemical (4005 JP)

JAPAN FLOW I: The BOJ's New ETF Buying

Last Thursday, the BOJ announced the results of its Monetary Policy Committee meeting for July. It was a "late" announcement, coming at 12:45, and...

Travis Lundy

Risk on Maturing in March

Our March risk on rally cycle remains intact but maturing with a concentration in our copper/energy theme. Emerging markets are our perform bet...

Thomas Schroeder

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