Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Samsung Electronics and Nanya Technology will report their results this week. Samsung could reportedly increase NAND prices this month, giving a potential hint to the memory outlook they will provide.</li>
<li>Hon Hai will begin mass production of its Model C electric car in 4Q23E in Taiwan. This will provide a proof point for Hon Hai's global EV platform business model.</li>
<li>Top gainers recently have included rebounding AI names -- One can consider using the bounce to find AI shorts to pair against an Nvidia long.</li>
</ul>


Samsung Electronics and Nanya Technology will report their results this week. Samsung could reportedly increase NAND prices this month, giving a potential hint to the memory outlook they will provide.
Hon Hai will begin mass production of its Model C electric car in 4Q23E in Taiwan. This will provide a proof point for Hon Hai's global EV platform business model.
Top gainers recently have included rebounding AI names -- One can consider using the bounce to find AI shorts to pair against an Nvidia long.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Samsung & Nanya Earnings; AI Names Rebound Again

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Our range for TSMC's spread trading appears to be working. Premium has rebounded lately and we would Short if breaks above 9.8%.</li>
<li>Our UMC trading range also appears to be working. We should Short if the premium increases slightly further to break 1%.</li>
<li>One can consider Shorting ASE's ADR premium at the current 10.8% premium level. After latest premium spike, risk appears skewed to the downside in the coming weeks.</li>
</ul>


Our range for TSMC's spread trading appears to be working. Premium has rebounded lately and we would Short if breaks above 9.8%.
Our UMC trading range also appears to be working. We should Short if the premium increases slightly further to break 1%.
One can consider Shorting ASE's ADR premium at the current 10.8% premium level. After latest premium spike, risk appears skewed to the downside in the coming weeks.


Taiwan Dual Listings Monitor: TSMC & UMC Trading Ranges Working; Short ASE Spread at Latest Level

<ul>
<li>TSMC's ADR premium/discount appears to have shown a clear decline in trading range recently, down from the 10% level.</li>
<li>UMC &amp; ASE joined corporate days today in Taipei, which could be supportive of their premiums in the near-term.</li>
<li>We provide spread levels we view as compelling from a risk/reward perspective.</li>
</ul>


TSMC's ADR premium/discount appears to have shown a clear decline in trading range recently, down from the 10% level.
UMC &amp; ASE joined corporate days today in Taipei, which could be supportive of their premiums in the near-term.
We provide spread levels we view as compelling from a risk/reward perspective.


Taiwan Dual Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread In Clear Downtrend; UMC & ASE Corporate Days Could Support

<ul>
<li>ARM IPO -- TSMC says will decide this week whether to participate. ARM is a company potentially without peers and enjoys support from Apple, Nvidia, AMD, and Samsung.</li>
<li>Elan, Yageo, ChipMOS top gainers in Taiwan -- Three of our Longs have done well most recently on high volume and little new public news.</li>
<li>Recent Dell &amp; HP results provide additional clarity on the coming AI PC wave.</li>
</ul>


ARM IPO -- TSMC says will decide this week whether to participate. ARM is a company potentially without peers and enjoys support from Apple, Nvidia, AMD, and Samsung.
Elan, Yageo, ChipMOS top gainers in Taiwan -- Three of our Longs have done well most recently on high volume and little new public news.
Recent Dell &amp; HP results provide additional clarity on the coming AI PC wave.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC to Decide on ARM This Week; Elan, Yageo, ChipMOS Flying; AI PC Wave Signals

<ul>
<li>TSMC: 9.2% premium -- Trending down, can consider shorting the ADR vs. the local.</li>
<li>ASE: 10.5% premium is historically high -- Short the ADR vs. the local.</li>
<li>ChipMOS: -0.4% discount, ADRs have lagged Taiwan shares -- Long ADR vs. local.</li>
</ul>


TSMC: 9.2% premium -- Trending down, can consider shorting the ADR vs. the local.
ASE: 10.5% premium is historically high -- Short the ADR vs. the local.
ChipMOS: -0.4% discount, ADRs have lagged Taiwan shares -- Long ADR vs. local.


Taiwan Dual Listings Monitor: TSMC, ASE Technology, and ChipMOS Opportunities

Taiwan

ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC. offers semiconductor testing and packaging solutions to companies, integrated device manufacturers, and foundries. The Company provides a broad range of back-end testing services for high density memory, mixed-signal and liquid crystal display.

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Chipmos Technologies (8150 TT)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Samsung & Nanya Earnings; AI Names Rebound Again

Top gainers recently have included rebounding AI names -- One can consider using the bounce to find AI shorts to pair against an Nvidia long.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual Listings Monitor: TSMC & UMC Trading Ranges Working; Short ASE Spread at Latest Level

There has been a general bounce in ADR premiums recently. If they go a bit higher then one can consider shorting TSMC and UMC premiums; we provide...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread In Clear Downtrend; UMC & ASE Corporate Days Could Support

UMC & ASE joined corporate days today, which could be supportive of their premiums in the near-term. We provide our view on spread ranges for Long...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC to Decide on ARM This Week; Elan, Yageo, ChipMOS Flying; AI PC Wave Signals

Elan, Yageo, ChipMOS top gainers in Taiwan -- Three of our Longs have done well most recently on high volume and limited public developments.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual Listings Monitor: TSMC, ASE Technology, and ChipMOS Opportunities

We analyze ADR premium/discounts vs. their historical ranges, relative to their latest related share price trends, and short interest.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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