Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Singapore  </h2><p>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/240/912/original/image_9006419321636552670499.png?1636552673" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="240912"></figure><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ec-world-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22842" rel="noopener">EC World Reit (ECWREIT SP)</a> 3Q21 DPU +19.7% YoY; Driven largely by partial DI release and lower retention ratio</h3><ul><li>3Q21 revenue and NPI grew by 10.9% and 9.4% YoY to S$31.6m and S$28.6m, respectively, mainly due to positive straight-line adjustment and strengthening of RMB by 5.2% YoY. 9M21 revenue and NPI grew faster at 16.6% and 15.2% YoY to S$93.5m (78.2% of BB est.) and S$84.2m, respectively, given the absence of one-off rental rebates. On a QoQ basis, revenue and NPI also increased by 1.2% and 2.4% YoY, respectively</li></ul>

Singapore  SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)EC World Reit (ECWREIT SP) 3Q21 DPU +19.7% YoY; Driven largely by partial DI release and lower retention ratio3Q21 revenue and NPI grew by 10.9% and 9.4% YoY to S$31.6m and S$28.6m, respectively, mainly due to positive straight-line adjustment and strengthening of RMB by 5.2% YoY. 9M21 revenue and NPI grew faster at 16.6% and 15.2% YoY to S$93.5m (78.2% of BB est.) and S$84.2m, respectively, given the absence of one-off rental rebates. On a QoQ basis, revenue and NPI also increased by 1.2% and 2.4% YoY, respectively

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitaland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55" rel="noopener">Capitaland (CAPL SP)</a> 3Q21 Business Updates – A good start with key metrics growing robustly</h3><ul><li>9M21 revenue came in at S$1.6bn with Fee income Related Business (FRB) making up 40% of total revenue and Real-estate investment business making up the remaining 60%. 9M21 FRB rose by 19% YoY to S$656m, with fund management rising by 35% YoY to S$292m, followed by property management rising by 2.6% YoY to S$236m and lodging management rising by 23% to S$128m, respectively     </li></ul>

SingaporeCapitaland (CAPL SP) 3Q21 Business Updates – A good start with key metrics growing robustly9M21 revenue came in at S$1.6bn with Fee income Related Business (FRB) making up 40% of total revenue and Real-estate investment business making up the remaining 60%. 9M21 FRB rose by 19% YoY to S$656m, with fund management rising by 35% YoY to S$292m, followed by property management rising by 2.6% YoY to S$236m and lodging management rising by 23% to S$128m, respectively     

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)</h3><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/238/456/original/image_76502934321635528996334.png?1635528999" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="238456"></figure><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/starhill-global-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10791" rel="noopener">Starhill Global REIT (SGREIT SP)</a> 1Q22 Business Updates; Little help from VTL leading up to festive season</h3><ul><li>1Q22 revenue and NPI rose by +4.0% and +15.1% YoY, respectively, to S$44.8m (22.8% of BB est.) and S$34.3m (25.3% of BB est.), respectively, mainly due to lower rental assistance and lower operating expenses, which was partially offset by lower contributions from Wisma Atria (Revenue: -8.9%, NPI: -8% YoY). No DI nor DPU was disclosed</li></ul><div style="display: none;"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/238/455/original/blobid0.png?1635528963" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="238455"></figure></div>

SingaporeSREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)Starhill Global REIT (SGREIT SP) 1Q22 Business Updates; Little help from VTL leading up to festive season1Q22 revenue and NPI rose by +4.0% and +15.1% YoY, respectively, to S$44.8m (22.8% of BB est.) and S$34.3m (25.3% of BB est.), respectively, mainly due to lower rental assistance and lower operating expenses, which was partially offset by lower contributions from Wisma Atria (Revenue: -8.9%, NPI: -8% YoY). No DI nor DPU was disclosed

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<div><em><strong>Non- SGX Report: These equity research reports are not written by the SGX.</strong>&nbsp;SGX supports the distribution of the research reports by external contributors. Please refer to the Disclaimer in the attached report.</em></div>
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<p>Company Update</p>
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<h3>Ho Bee Land Limited</h3>
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<p><strong>COMPANY DESCRIPTION</strong><br><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">Ho Bee Land Limited is a real estate development and investment company. The portfolio of Ho Bee Land Limited and its subsidiaries (collectively defined herein as HBL) covers residential, commercial and high-tech industrial projects which span the geographical markets of Australia, China, Germany, Singapore and the United Kingdom (UK).</span></p>
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<p><strong>SUMMARY</strong><br>For the half-year ended 30 June 2021 (1H2021), HBL recorded strong sales of development properties as lots of its Parklanes 2 residential project in Queensland were handed over to buyers during the period. Rental income also rose by 6.1% y-o-y to S$113.9 million due to positive rental reversions for HBL’s investment properties in London and Singapore. Accordingly, revenue amounted to S$157.3 million, up by 46.5% year-on-year (y-o-y). Owing in part to stronger share of profits from jointly-controlled entities of S$50.0 million, as a result of the handover of about 700 units at Phase 2 of HBL’s Tangshan residential project, HBL’s profit after income tax rose by 26.3% y-o-y to S$114.6 million. Of which, S$105.5 million was attributable to shareholders, and this translates to an earnings per share of 15.89 cents for the period, compared to 13.62 cents a year ago. No dividends were declared for the period as in 1H2020, given HBL’s policy to distribute dividends at the end of the financial year.</p>
<p><strong>RECOMMENDATION</strong><br>Since our initiation report issued on 18 March 2021, when HBL’s share price closed at S$2.46, we note that the share price has broadly rallied. From then till present, the share price has increased by close to 14%. Recently, the share price has traded between S$2.80 and S$2.86. We identify HBL’s strong recurring income base, stable dividends and good earnings growth potential as the main factors which could support upside in the share price. On valuation terms, HBL is relatively attractive in terms of dividend yield. Further, it is currently trading at a P/NAV of 0.51x which is lower than the peers’ average of 0.58x. Meanwhile, we continue to believe there is possibility for HBL to be privatised, amid share acquisition transactions by its controlling shareholder over the last two years. Factoring in a 23.6% takeover premium, we estimate a privatization offer price of S$3.49 per share for HBL to be taken private. Overall, we believe there is good upside in HBL’s share price. In the medium term, the share price could reach S$3.49. All things considered, we will maintain a buy recommendation on HBL. Our final target price is S$3.49 which is a 23.8% upside from the current share price of S$2.82.</p>
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Non- SGX Report: These equity research reports are not written by the SGX.&nbsp;SGX supports the distribution of the research reports by external contributors. Please refer to the Disclaimer in the attached report.


Company Update

Ho Bee Land Limited

COMPANY DESCRIPTION Ho Bee Land Limited is a real estate development and investment company. The portfolio of Ho Bee Land Limited and its subsidiaries (collectively defined herein as HBL) covers residential, commercial and high-tech industrial projects which span the geographical markets of Australia, China, Germany, Singapore and the United Kingdom (UK).

SUMMARY For the half-year ended 30 June 2021 (1H2021), HBL recorded strong sales of development properties as lots of its Parklanes 2 residential project in Queensland were handed over to buyers during the period. Rental income also rose by 6.1% y-o-y to S$113.9 million due to positive rental reversions for HBL’s investment properties in London and Singapore. Accordingly, revenue amounted to S$157.3 million, up by 46.5% year-on-year (y-o-y). Owing in part to stronger share of profits from jointly-controlled entities of S$50.0 million, as a result of the handover of about 700 units at Phase 2 of HBL’s Tangshan residential project, HBL’s profit after income tax rose by 26.3% y-o-y to S$114.6 million. Of which, S$105.5 million was attributable to shareholders, and this translates to an earnings per share of 15.89 cents for the period, compared to 13.62 cents a year ago. No dividends were declared for the period as in 1H2020, given HBL’s policy to distribute dividends at the end of the financial year.
RECOMMENDATION Since our initiation report issued on 18 March 2021, when HBL’s share price closed at S$2.46, we note that the share price has broadly rallied. From then till present, the share price has increased by close to 14%. Recently, the share price has traded between S$2.80 and S$2.86. We identify HBL’s strong recurring income base, stable dividends and good earnings growth potential as the main factors which could support upside in the share price. On valuation terms, HBL is relatively attractive in terms of dividend yield. Further, it is currently trading at a P/NAV of 0.51x which is lower than the peers’ average of 0.58x. Meanwhile, we continue to believe there is possibility for HBL to be privatised, amid share acquisition transactions by its controlling shareholder over the last two years. Factoring in a 23.6% takeover premium, we estimate a privatization offer price of S$3.49 per share for HBL to be taken private. Overall, we believe there is good upside in HBL’s share price. In the medium term, the share price could reach S$3.49. All things considered, we will maintain a buy recommendation on HBL. Our final target price is S$3.49 which is a 23.8% upside from the current share price of S$2.82.





(Non-SGX Report) Company Update: Ho Bee Land Limited

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitaland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55" rel="noopener">Capitaland (CAPL SP)</a> 1H21 PATMI +846% YoY; Solid divestments and investments YTD, fund management and residential the bright spot</h3><ul><li>1H21 revenue increased by 34.7% YoY to S$2,730m, mainly driven by development projects as more units were handed over in China and higher progressive revenue recognition from One Pearl Bank in Singapore, partially offset by lower handover of units in Vietnam. The increase was also attributed to lower rental rebates granted to tenants in Singapore and China, higher transactional fee from the listed REITs and unlisted funds, as well as contribution from the newly acquired business park properties in China and an office building in Singapore, 79 Robinson Road, which commenced operation 2H20</li><li>1H21 PATMI increased by 845.5% YoY and came in at S$922.2m, while operating PATMI increased by 66% YoY to S$433.6m. CAPL booked portfolio/FV gains of S$489m and no FV losses/impairments in 1H21. As at 30Jun21, net D/E ratio was at 0.64x and total cash and available undrawn facilities amounted to ~S$14.8bn. CAPL made total S$3.6bn investments (&gt;S$3bn in new economy) and S$11.2bn gross divestments (effective value of S$3.3bn) YTD (vs annual recycling target of S$3bn)</li><li>Residential – In SG, CAPL sold 197 units with sales value of S$330m (close to 6x of 1H20). ~92% of launched units have been sold. CanningHill Piers is targeted to be launched in 2H21. In China, CAPL sold 2,625 units in 1H21 (+48.4% YoY), which translated to sales value of RMB8,007m (+43% YoY). In terms of handovers from 3Q21 onwards, CAPL is expected to recognise ~RMB14.1bn from a total of ~6,700 units sold. In Vietnam, CAPL Achieved 80% of 1H21 handover plan of 177 units. Handover pipeline comprising 554 units with a value of S$193m expected to be handed over from 3Q21 onwards. ~87% of launched units have been sold as of 1H21. Two projects are targeted to be launched in 2H21</li><li>Retail and Commercial – CN registered increase in shoppers’ traffic and tenant’s sales YoY in 2Q21, but SG’s recovery is interrupted by new restrictions  in 2Q21. SG’s shoppers’ traffic and tenant’s sales recorded low improvement in 2Q21. Retail occupancy in CN, SG, MY stood at 91.9%, 97.1% and 86% in 2Q21 (vs 90.7%, 97.2% and 87.6% in 1Q21 and 89%, 97.8% and 88.2% in 4Q20), respectively. Office occupancy in SG, Japan, South Korea and Germany stood at 90.4%, 93.9%, 96.8% and 95.5%, respectively</li><li>Lodging – &gt;3,000 units turned operational YTD 2021, bringing total operational units to 71,901 for 7M21 and &gt;8,300 new units secured via management contracts YTD 2021. There was an increase in overall 2Q21 RevPAU by 53% YoY and 19% QoQ from S$43 to S$66, led by Europe (+44% QoQ), China (+22%), Gulf Region (+19%), Singapore (+9%), SEA (+6%) and North Asia (+4%). CAPL is on track to meet 2023 target of 160K units under management with currently c.129K units under management</li><li>1H21 fund management fee income came in at S$188.7m, a 29% YoY increase and 18% HoH. 1H21 fund AUM rose 6.9% YoY to S$83bn, on track to meet 2024 AUM target of S$100bn. CAPL set up 3 new private funds totalling US$800m in Korea, India, Hong Kong and China</li><li>CAPL is currently trading at 19.7x FY21E P/E and 0.92x P/B.</li></ul>

SingaporeCapitaland (CAPL SP) 1H21 PATMI +846% YoY; Solid divestments and investments YTD, fund management and residential the bright spot1H21 revenue increased by 34.7% YoY to S$2,730m, mainly driven by development projects as more units were handed over in China and higher progressive revenue recognition from One Pearl Bank in Singapore, partially offset by lower handover of units in Vietnam. The increase was also attributed to lower rental rebates granted to tenants in Singapore and China, higher transactional fee from the listed REITs and unlisted funds, as well as contribution from the newly acquired business park properties in China and an office building in Singapore, 79 Robinson Road, which commenced operation 2H201H21 PATMI increased by 845.5% YoY and came in at S$922.2m, while operating PATMI increased by 66% YoY to S$433.6m. CAPL booked portfolio/FV gains of S$489m and no FV losses/impairments in 1H21. As at 30Jun21, net D/E ratio was at 0.64x and total cash and available undrawn facilities amounted to ~S$14.8bn. CAPL made total S$3.6bn investments (&gt;S$3bn in new economy) and S$11.2bn gross divestments (effective value of S$3.3bn) YTD (vs annual recycling target of S$3bn)Residential – In SG, CAPL sold 197 units with sales value of S$330m (close to 6x of 1H20). ~92% of launched units have been sold. CanningHill Piers is targeted to be launched in 2H21. In China, CAPL sold 2,625 units in 1H21 (+48.4% YoY), which translated to sales value of RMB8,007m (+43% YoY). In terms of handovers from 3Q21 onwards, CAPL is expected to recognise ~RMB14.1bn from a total of ~6,700 units sold. In Vietnam, CAPL Achieved 80% of 1H21 handover plan of 177 units. Handover pipeline comprising 554 units with a value of S$193m expected to be handed over from 3Q21 onwards. ~87% of launched units have been sold as of 1H21. Two projects are targeted to be launched in 2H21Retail and Commercial – CN registered increase in shoppers’ traffic and tenant’s sales YoY in 2Q21, but SG’s recovery is interrupted by new restrictions  in 2Q21. SG’s shoppers’ traffic and tenant’s sales recorded low improvement in 2Q21. Retail occupancy in CN, SG, MY stood at 91.9%, 97.1% and 86% in 2Q21 (vs 90.7%, 97.2% and 87.6% in 1Q21 and 89%, 97.8% and 88.2% in 4Q20), respectively. Office occupancy in SG, Japan, South Korea and Germany stood at 90.4%, 93.9%, 96.8% and 95.5%, respectivelyLodging – &gt;3,000 units turned operational YTD 2021, bringing total operational units to 71,901 for 7M21 and &gt;8,300 new units secured via management contracts YTD 2021. There was an increase in overall 2Q21 RevPAU by 53% YoY and 19% QoQ from S$43 to S$66, led by Europe (+44% QoQ), China (+22%), Gulf Region (+19%), Singapore (+9%), SEA (+6%) and North Asia (+4%). CAPL is on track to meet 2023 target of 160K units under management with currently c.129K units under management1H21 fund management fee income came in at S$188.7m, a 29% YoY increase and 18% HoH. 1H21 fund AUM rose 6.9% YoY to S$83bn, on track to meet 2024 AUM target of S$100bn. CAPL set up 3 new private funds totalling US$800m in Korea, India, Hong Kong and ChinaCAPL is currently trading at 19.7x FY21E P/E and 0.92x P/B.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (13Aug21) - CAPL Residential and FM Bright Spots

Singapore

Ho Bee Land Limited develops and invests in real estate properties in Singapore and United Kingdom.  The Company also operates hotels.

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Ho Bee Land Ltd (HOBEE SP)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (10Nov21)

ECWREIT driven by DI release and lower retention; SHG privatization offer; PROP 3Q21 earnings more than doubled; Oct21 condo resale prices rose...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (3Nov21)

CLI 3Q21 results a good start; OUECT declining QoQ reversions; MUST green shoots of recovery; HOBEE buys Melbourne site; ALLHC expands Cavite...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (29Oct21)

SGREIT little help from VTL; CDREIT QoQ improvements across the board; FEHT stabilizing QoQ hotel metrics; FHT signals worst is over; MAGIC weak...

SCCM Asia Research

(Non-SGX Report) Company Update: Ho Bee Land Limited

Non- SGX Report: These equity research reports are not written by the SGX. SGX supports the distribution of the research reports by external...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (13Aug21) - CAPL Residential and FM Bright Spots

CAPL residential and FM bright spots; UOL turnaround story intact; SASSR sustained recovery momentum; CERT strong reversions, VLL muted land...

SCCM Asia Research

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