Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Silicon Motion Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Silicon Motion's lQ24 results confirmed the company's end-demand strength as implied by previous Samsung and SK Hynix management commentary re: solid state memory.</li>
<li>Management has increased 2024E guidance, citing rising ASPs and strong demand due to its memory controller products' usage in edge AI applications such as AI PCs and AI smartphones.</li>
<li>The street upgraded target prices across the board after the results; however we note the stock remains below its past acquistion offer price by Maxlinear and we see further upside.</li>
</ul>


Silicon Motion's lQ24 results confirmed the company's end-demand strength as implied by previous Samsung and SK Hynix management commentary re: solid state memory.
Management has increased 2024E guidance, citing rising ASPs and strong demand due to its memory controller products' usage in edge AI applications such as AI PCs and AI smartphones.
The street upgraded target prices across the board after the results; however we note the stock remains below its past acquistion offer price by Maxlinear and we see further upside.


Silicon Motion: Leader in Powerful Niche for Edge AI Memory; Plus Key Wins for Data Center Solution

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>SK Reports Massive Margin Rebound; Nanya Tech's Financial Performance Appears Relatively Weak in Perspective</li>
<li>AI Applications Now Translating Into Rising Solid-State Memory (SSD) Demand</li>
<li>SK Povided Positive Color for Taiwan PC Names; New TSMC Collaboration Highlights TSMC Strength vs. Samsung</li>
</ul>


SK Reports Massive Margin Rebound; Nanya Tech's Financial Performance Appears Relatively Weak in Perspective
AI Applications Now Translating Into Rising Solid-State Memory (SSD) Demand
SK Povided Positive Color for Taiwan PC Names; New TSMC Collaboration Highlights TSMC Strength vs. Samsung


Memory Monitor: What SK Hynix Sees For PC and Server Markets Ahead; TSMC's Strength Vs. Samsung

<ul>
<li>TSMC and ASML reported 1Q24 results last week; both stocks have fallen post results, impacted by global concerns despite a strong outlook for these two leaders into 2025E.</li>
<li>TSMC guided for strong growth not just in 2024E, but if one digs into management's comments, they actually provided strong visibility into their 2028E internal revenue expectations.</li>
<li>For ASML, its EUV product business is the key indicator to watch. We believe TSMC shares will continue to re-rate even through a period of global economic softness.</li>
</ul>


TSMC and ASML reported 1Q24 results last week; both stocks have fallen post results, impacted by global concerns despite a strong outlook for these two leaders into 2025E.
TSMC guided for strong growth not just in 2024E, but if one digs into management's comments, they actually provided strong visibility into their 2028E internal revenue expectations.
For ASML, its EUV product business is the key indicator to watch. We believe TSMC shares will continue to re-rate even through a period of global economic softness.


TSMC Just Provided Substantial Visibility into Their Long-Term Growth Estimate; ASML Adds Color

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nvidia GTC Conference This Week Likely to Create Newsflow for Many Tech Names</li>
<li>Samsung Could Hike NAND Flash Prices by 20%; Silicon Motion for Exposure</li>
<li>TSMC Reportedly Placing Orders for Additional Advanced Packaging Capacity, Likely In Response to Demand Strength</li>
</ul>


Nvidia GTC Conference This Week Likely to Create Newsflow for Many Tech Names
Samsung Could Hike NAND Flash Prices by 20%; Silicon Motion for Exposure
TSMC Reportedly Placing Orders for Additional Advanced Packaging Capacity, Likely In Response to Demand Strength


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Conference; Samsung to Hike NAND Prices; TSMC Adding Capex Due to Demand

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Forecasting PC &amp; Smartphone unit shipments to increase 5% YoY on the back on "AI Enablement"</li>
<li>Server unit shipments declined ~20% in 2023 but overall revenues remained flat, a consequence of higher ASPs associated with AI-accelerated servers</li>
<li>Server shipments will return to growth in 2024, likely +10% YoY. Server ASPs will increase yet again YoY as AI-server mix grows. </li>
</ul>


Forecasting PC &amp; Smartphone unit shipments to increase 5% YoY on the back on "AI Enablement"
Server unit shipments declined ~20% in 2023 but overall revenues remained flat, a consequence of higher ASPs associated with AI-accelerated servers
Server shipments will return to growth in 2024, likely +10% YoY. Server ASPs will increase yet again YoY as AI-server mix grows. 


Semiconductor 2023 Key Indicators In Review, 2024 Forecasts

South Korea

Hanmi Semiconductor Co., Ltd. manufactures and develops semiconductor equipment. The Company's products include auto molding system, sawing & placement system, campress trim/form/singulation system, and pick & place system.

EO Technics Co., Ltd. is a laser-based equipment supplier. The Company develops laser technology and applications used for marking, drilling, trimming and cutting.

LEENO Industrial Inc. develops and manufactures various testers.  The Company's products include integrated circuit (IC) test sockets, test probe pins used in semiconductor industry.

DB Hitek Co., Ltd. manufactures system semiconductor and provides foundry services. The Company's products inculde fabricated wafer and integrated circuits for mobile handsets and flat panel LCDs.

Techwing Inc., manufactures parts for semiconductor testing equipment. The Company's product includes test handlers, Change of Kit (C.O.K) and test interface boards.  The company's main product, test handlers, is core  semiconductor testing equipment.

Jusung Engineering Co., Ltd. manufactures semiconductor, flat panel display, and solar cell production equipment.  The Company produces space divided CVD-ALD thin film machines for semiconductor manufacture; equipment for producing liquid crystal display panels; and equipment for manufacturing crystalline silicon and thin film silicon tandem solar cells.

Psk Holdings Inc specializes in manufacturing semiconductor fabrication and liquid crystal display (LCD) manufacturing equipment.  The Company's products include dual chamber ashers and microwave ashers used in photo resist stripping and etching and multi-etchers used in LCD processes.

Tokai Carbon Korea Co., Ltd. produces purified graphite products used in semiconductor equipment, and silicon single crystal puller parts.  The Company also produces carbon products used in rubber parts for machineries.

Seojin System Co., Ltd. manufactures components for communication equipments, such as Remote Radio Head(RRH) and Digital Unit(DU).  The Company also produces semiconductor components and metal cases for hand-held devices.

Wonik IPS Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells semiconductor processing equipments.  The Company's main businesses include Semiconductor, Display and Solar industries.

Tokyo Electron Limited manufactures and sells industrial electronics products, such as semiconductor manufacturing machines, computer system, and electronic components.  The Company products are sold in US, Taiwan, and others as well as in Japan.

Applied Materials, Inc. develops, manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment and related spare parts for the worldwide semiconductor industry.  The Company's customers include semiconductor wafer and integrated circuit manufacturers, flat panel liquid crystal displays, solar photovoltaic cells and modules and other electronic devices manufacturers.

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. offers assembly and testing services. The Company provides outsourced assembly, semiconductor testing, semiconductor packaging, and other related services. ASE Technology Holding operates in Taiwan.

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

KLA-Tencor Corporation manufactures yield management and process monitoring systems for the semiconductor industry.  The Company's systems are used to analyze product and process quality at critical steps in the manufacture of circuits and provide feedback so that fabrication problems can be identified. KLA-Tencor operates sales, service, and application centers worldwide.

Lam Research Corporation manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor processing equipment used in the making of integrated circuits.  The Company's products are used to deposit special films on a silicon wafer and etch away portions of various films to create a circuit design.  Lam sells its products around the world.

Monolithic Power Systems Inc specializes in high-performance, integrated power solutions. The Company provides small, highly energy efficient, easy-to-use power solutions for systems found in industrial applications, telecom infrastructures, cloud computing, automotive, and consumer applications.

ON Semiconductor Corporation supplies analog, standard logic, and discrete semiconductors for data and power management. The Company's products include integrated circuits, and analog ICs. ON also offers discrete semiconductors in a variety of surface mount and standard packages.

Lasertec Corporation develops, designs, manufactures and markets photomask inspection systems to make semiconductor devices, confocal scanning laser microscopes and liquid crystal display (LCD) inspection systems.

Skyworks Solutions, Inc., a wireless semiconductor company, designs and manufactures radio frequency and complete semiconductor system solutions for mobile communications applications.  The Company provides front-end modules, radio frequency subsystems, and system solutions to wireless handset and infrastructure customers worldwide.

SK Hynix Inc. provides products and services for the electronic components industry. The Company manufactures semiconductors, such as dynamic random access memory (DRAM), NAND flash memory, and static random access memory (SRAM) chips.

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SK Hynix (000660 KS)

Silicon Motion: Leader in Powerful Niche for Edge AI Memory; Plus Key Wins for Data Center Solution

SIMO increased 2024E guidance citing rising ASPs and demand for memory controller products in edge AI applications. Remains well below past...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Memory Monitor: What SK Hynix Sees For PC and Server Markets Ahead; TSMC's Strength Vs. Samsung

Major take-aways from SK Hynix's latest industry visibility. The memory industry is likely to achieve a new all-time revenue level in 2025E.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC Just Provided Substantial Visibility into Their Long-Term Growth Estimate; ASML Adds Color

If you dig into the details, TSMC provided substantial insight into the company's internal estimates for long-term revenue. For ASML, we discuss...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Conference; Samsung to Hike NAND Prices; TSMC Adding Capex Due to Demand

Many Taiwanese companies participating at Nvidia's GTC conference this week. Local reports say Samsung to hike NAND flash prices by 20%. Also,...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Semiconductor 2023 Key Indicators In Review, 2024 Forecasts

PC & Smartphone unit shipments will increase 5% YoY on the back on "AI Enablement". Server shipments fell ~20% in 2023 but overall revenues...

William Keating

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Silicon Motion: Leader in Powerful Niche for Edge AI Memory; Plus Key Wins for Data Center Solution

SIMO increased 2024E guidance citing rising ASPs and demand for memory controller products in edge AI applications. Remains well below past...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Memory Monitor: What SK Hynix Sees For PC and Server Markets Ahead; TSMC's Strength Vs. Samsung

Major take-aways from SK Hynix's latest industry visibility. The memory industry is likely to achieve a new all-time revenue level in 2025E.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC Just Provided Substantial Visibility into Their Long-Term Growth Estimate; ASML Adds Color

If you dig into the details, TSMC provided substantial insight into the company's internal estimates for long-term revenue. For ASML, we discuss...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Conference; Samsung to Hike NAND Prices; TSMC Adding Capex Due to Demand

​Many Taiwanese companies participating at Nvidia's GTC conference this week. Local reports say Samsung to hike NAND flash prices by 20%. Also,...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Semiconductor 2023 Key Indicators In Review, 2024 Forecasts

PC & Smartphone unit shipments will increase 5% YoY on the back on "AI Enablement". Server shipments fell ~20% in 2023 but overall revenues...

William Keating

Many Taiwanese companies participating at Nvidia's GTC conference this week. Local reports say Samsung to hike NAND flash prices by 20%. Also,...