Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for a global index and a bunch of local indices ended last week. The announcement of the changes will be made in 1 week to 4 weeks.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/strike-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12473:1" rel="noopener">Strike Energy (STX AU)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costa-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22632:1" rel="noopener">Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> at the close on 8 February.</li>
<li>The inflows to mainland China ETFs continue for another week. There were big inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-india-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:282:1" rel="noopener">iShares India ETF (INDA US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-india-small-cap" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32064:1" rel="noopener">Ishares India Small-Cap (SMIN US)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The review period for a global index and a bunch of local indices ended last week. The announcement of the changes will be made in 1 week to 4 weeks.

Strike Energy (STX AU) will replace Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU) in the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the close on 8 February.
The inflows to mainland China ETFs continue for another week. There were big inflows to iShares India ETF (INDA US) and Ishares India Small-Cap (SMIN US). 


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: N225, ASX, STAR50, NIFTY50, KRX New Deal, UOL SP, Korea Passive

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX +0.7% with all sectors in the green ahead of expected soft CPI print on Wed; Oil strong with weaker USD; MSFT wins as Activision purchase progresses</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futures +0.4% vs Cash; USDJPY 140.3; Markets start coalesing around BOJ policy shift; TSE kicks out 48 companies from Prime listing; Big Earnings Beat from Lawson(2651)</li>
<li>NUGGET. Building a global semi-supply chain is a central tenet of Japan's industrial policy. We think focusing on short term cyclical semi-weakness risks missing out on the home runs</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX +0.7% with all sectors in the green ahead of expected soft CPI print on Wed; Oil strong with weaker USD; MSFT wins as Activision purchase progresses
JAPAN. NKY Futures +0.4% vs Cash; USDJPY 140.3; Markets start coalesing around BOJ policy shift; TSE kicks out 48 companies from Prime listing; Big Earnings Beat from Lawson(2651)
NUGGET. Building a global semi-supply chain is a central tenet of Japan's industrial policy. We think focusing on short term cyclical semi-weakness risks missing out on the home runs


Ohayo Japan|Equities Bid Ahead of CPI Print; NUGGET:China Semi Derisking - The Winner Is…Yes, Japan!

President, Vision Research

Robert C Prather Jr

President

Vision Research

Vision Research was formed in 2004 with the vision of generating the best possible fundamental analysis and investment research for smid cap US equities. In 2008, we broadened our coverage to include mid/large cap US stocks.  After researching a  few ideas outside the US each year for a number of years, we launched a dedicated non-US equity product at the end of 2015.  This was followed by the introduction of a product focused on IPOs in mid-2017.

Fundamental Insight

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Large portion of the business is in secular decline and facing pricing pressure</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ricoh-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15359:1" rel="noopener">Ricoh Company Ltd (7752 JP)</a> appears to be losing share in a shrinking market</li>
<li>Estimates are above overly optimistic guidance making shares look optically inexpensive</li>
</ul>


Large portion of the business is in secular decline and facing pricing pressure

Ricoh Company Ltd (7752 JP) appears to be losing share in a shrinking market
Estimates are above overly optimistic guidance making shares look optically inexpensive


Ricoh (7752 JP) - Long Term Structural Decliner with a Recent Boost in Inorganic Rev & Profits

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX ,-0.6% overnight, manages +0.3% for May; Debt Ceiling Passage on Track; 2 Fed Officials express dovish view; Weak China Factory PMI puts a Damper on Sentiment</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.4% vs Cash; JP Equities Best Globally in May; USDJPY strenghtens after intervention warning; Bullish Daikin MTP growth plan; JP Autos rank worst in BEV transition ranking </li>
<li>NUGGET. Revisiting our thesis on Seiko Epson in light of HP Inc(HPQ) 2Q earnings and IDC April report on PCs</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX ,-0.6% overnight, manages +0.3% for May; Debt Ceiling Passage on Track; 2 Fed Officials express dovish view; Weak China Factory PMI puts a Damper on Sentiment
JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.4% vs Cash; JP Equities Best Globally in May; USDJPY strenghtens after intervention warning; Bullish Daikin MTP growth plan; JP Autos rank worst in BEV transition ranking 
NUGGET. Revisiting our thesis on Seiko Epson in light of HP Inc(HPQ) 2Q earnings and IDC April report on PCs


Ohayo Japan |SPX Sells off on AI Rally Pause to Close May +0.3%;NUGGET: Seiko Epson-Headwinds Abound

<ul>
<li>
<strong> Good Morning Japan: </strong> We strive to provide the very best breaking macro, stock and thematic overnight news that will impact your trading day in Japan.<strong> FOLLOW US to keep abreast!</strong>
</li>
<li>OVERNIGHT.  Trump is back on Twitter ! Sentiment mixed on Fed Pivot -bulls still in charge - market underweight equities; Things not as bad in TECH; Thanksgiving =consumer stock volatility</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY to open flat; Yen stable;  PM Kishida in danger of the sack ? Not yet; Inflation approaching BOJ's 2% tgt - still need wages to rise</li>
</ul>



 Good Morning Japan:  We strive to provide the very best breaking macro, stock and thematic overnight news that will impact your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW US to keep abreast!

OVERNIGHT.  Trump is back on Twitter ! Sentiment mixed on Fed Pivot -bulls still in charge - market underweight equities; Things not as bad in TECH; Thanksgiving =consumer stock volatility
JAPAN. NKY to open flat; Yen stable;  PM Kishida in danger of the sack ? Not yet; Inflation approaching BOJ's 2% tgt - still need wages to rise


Good Morning Japan | Shifting Sentiments but Bullish Price Action

Japan

Seiko Epson Corporation manufactures communications equipment, electronic devices, and precision products.  The Company's products include printers, scanners, Liquid Crystal Projectors, semiconductors, quartz devices, and watches.

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Seiko Epson (6724 JP)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: N225, ASX, STAR50, NIFTY50, KRX New Deal, UOL SP, Korea Passive

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Ohayo Japan|Equities Bid Ahead of CPI Print; NUGGET:China Semi Derisking - The Winner Is…Yes, Japan!

SPX bid ahead of CPI as soft landing narrarive dominates; NKY Futures +0.4% vs Cash; USDJPY 140.3; Markets start coalesing around BOJ policy shift;...

Mark Chadwick

Ricoh (7752 JP) - Long Term Structural Decliner with a Recent Boost in Inorganic Rev & Profits

A large portion of Ricoh's business is losing market share in an industry that is facing secular declines. Estimates that above optimistic...

Robert C Prather Jr

Ohayo Japan |SPX Sells off on AI Rally Pause to Close May +0.3%;NUGGET: Seiko Epson-Headwinds Abound

Debt deal in sight. NKY Futs -0.4% vs Cash; JP Equities Best Globally in May; USDJPY strenghtens after intervention warning; Bullish Daikin MTP...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan | Shifting Sentiments but Bullish Price Action

Good Morning Japan: We strive to provide the very best breaking macro, stock and thematic overnight news that will impact your trading day in...

Mark Chadwick

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)