TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Intel warned that conditions outlined in 1Q22 have worsened, key to see what AMD says tomorrow.</li>
<li>Netflix - Roku rumor doesn't make much sense, we think its more likely Roku cut off insider selling because it is looking to acquire Starz.</li>
<li>Netflix churn is rising among longtime customers - going to ad-supported Peacock and Paramount. We think another guide down is coming in 2Q22.</li>
</ul>


Intel warned that conditions outlined in 1Q22 have worsened, key to see what AMD says tomorrow.
Netflix - Roku rumor doesn't make much sense, we think its more likely Roku cut off insider selling because it is looking to acquire Starz.
Netflix churn is rising among longtime customers - going to ad-supported Peacock and Paramount. We think another guide down is coming in 2Q22.


Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>Intel has progressed in the first quarter of 2022, particularly in its AI and data center group where it began to ship primary SKUs of Sapphire Rapids for selecting customers as planned.</li><li>For the laptop, the company launched its Arc A Series GPUs, thus, taking its first steps toward giving the graphics industry an innovative addition.</li><li>However, the consumer demand remains strong in areas of networking, graphics, AI, cloud, and enterprise.</li></ul>

Intel has progressed in the first quarter of 2022, particularly in its AI and data center group where it began to ship primary SKUs of Sapphire Rapids for selecting customers as planned.For the laptop, the company launched its Arc A Series GPUs, thus, taking its first steps toward giving the graphics industry an innovative addition.However, the consumer demand remains strong in areas of networking, graphics, AI, cloud, and enterprise.

Intel Corporation: Financial & Price Forecasts

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>One of the curious share price movements this year has been the outperformance of Samsung Electronics versus other global tech peers including Apple, TSMC, Intel, and Xiaomi.</li>
<li>Three reasons why Samsung is outperforming global peers such as Apple and TSMC may due to a potential war in Taiwan, COVID lockdown in Shanghai, and new pro-business Korean President.</li>
<li>Caution is warranted on playing long/short on Samsung, Apple, and TSMC in the coming months as their tides appear to be driven too much by the whims of global politics. </li>
</ul>


One of the curious share price movements this year has been the outperformance of Samsung Electronics versus other global tech peers including Apple, TSMC, Intel, and Xiaomi.
Three reasons why Samsung is outperforming global peers such as Apple and TSMC may due to a potential war in Taiwan, COVID lockdown in Shanghai, and new pro-business Korean President.
Caution is warranted on playing long/short on Samsung, Apple, and TSMC in the coming months as their tides appear to be driven too much by the whims of global politics. 


3 Major Reasons Why Samsung and KOSPI Are Outperforming Other Global Peers & Country Equity Indices

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Both DRAM and NAND flash have trended down in 4Q21 and 1Q22, but both markets are still more than 20% higher than last year</li>
<li>Samsung and Micron both made modest Q/Q share gains in both DRAM and NAND flash while all others experienced modest market share losses</li>
<li>Micron's new focus on profit share is paying off, providing the company a better payback than its competition.</li>
</ul>


Both DRAM and NAND flash have trended down in 4Q21 and 1Q22, but both markets are still more than 20% higher than last year
Samsung and Micron both made modest Q/Q share gains in both DRAM and NAND flash while all others experienced modest market share losses
Micron's new focus on profit share is paying off, providing the company a better payback than its competition.


Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC decided to notify clients that it will raise wafer price about 6% from the beginning of 2023.</li>
<li>It's believed the Fabless company's margin could be raised too much, which is considered to be abnormal.</li>
<li>There are too many factors influencing the market right now, like the inflation, geopolitical confrontation,  Russia-Ukraine war, supply-chain risks, and etc.</li>
</ul>


TSMC decided to notify clients that it will raise wafer price about 6% from the beginning of 2023.
It's believed the Fabless company's margin could be raised too much, which is considered to be abnormal.
There are too many factors influencing the market right now, like the inflation, geopolitical confrontation,  Russia-Ukraine war, supply-chain risks, and etc.


TSMC (TSM.US; 2330.TT): Further Wafer Price Raise About 6% from the Beginning of 2023

United States

Intel Corporation designs, manufactures, and sells computer components and related products.  The Company's major products include microprocessors, chipsets, embedded processors and microcontrollers, flash memory products, graphics products, network and communications products, systems management software, conferencing products, and digital imaging products.

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Intel Corp (INTC US)

TMT Quick Hits: INTC/AMD, NFLX/ROKU

Intel's overly bullish 2H guidance from last quarter is already getting talked down. Netflix-Roku rumor is unlikely...and only thing that could...

Aaron Gabin

Intel Corporation: Financial & Price Forecasts

Intel has progressed in the first quarter of 2022, particularly in its AI and data center group where it began to ship primary SKUs of Sapphire...

Baptista Research

3 Major Reasons Why Samsung and KOSPI Are Outperforming Other Global Peers & Country Equity Indices

Three reasons why Samsung is outperforming global peers such as Apple and TSMC may due to a potential war in Taiwan, COVID lockdown in Shanghai,...

Douglas Kim

Q1 Memory Results Down, But Encouraging

The semiconductor memory business - DRAM and NAND flash - is doing very well, with revenues over 20% above the year-ago quarter, and good...

Jim Handy

TSMC (TSM.US; 2330.TT): Further Wafer Price Raise About 6% from the Beginning of 2023

TSMC will raise wafer price about 6% for all product lines since the beginning of 2023. It's believed the Fabless company's margin could be...

Patrick Liao

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