External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Given the RBI's recent pause in the policy rate cycle, we believe that the banking system, although largely resilient to the fallout from global banks, is faced with a combination of demand deceleration (lower growth), higher funding costs (lagged deposit re-pricing) and softer incremental spreads</li><li>As banks and NBFCs navigate the growth-margin trade-off, we argue that the combination of lower growth and lower spreads is not priced into valuations, especially of mid-sized, high-growth franchises</li><li>While we hold our below-consensus growth forecasts, we are now equally conservative on incremental spreads across our coverage universe.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Given the RBI's recent pause in the policy rate cycle, we believe that the banking system, although largely resilient to the fallout from global banks, is faced with a combination of demand deceleration (lower growth), higher funding costs (lagged deposit re-pricing) and softer incremental spreadsAs banks and NBFCs navigate the growth-margin trade-off, we argue that the combination of lower growth and lower spreads is not priced into valuations, especially of mid-sized, high-growth franchisesWhile we hold our below-consensus growth forecasts, we are now equally conservative on incremental spreads across our coverage universe.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Leveraged Financials: ‘Pause and Effect’ - interesting trade-offs ahead

<ul><li>India’s home loan (HL) market (INR26trn, 17% of overall credit) is poised to double by FY28E on the back of secular trends around improving affordability, rising urbanisation and penetration beyond Tier-I locations</li><li>Driven by the combination of a sustained funding cost advantage, structural shift in sourcing models, renewed focus on retail HL, and transient rate cycle tailwinds, banks (~67% of HL market) are likely to continue dominating the prime HL segment</li><li>Affordable-focused HFCs (~INR1trn, 4% of HL market) have emerged as high-growth, high-RoA businesses, however, given the superior economics, this segment is witnessing rising competitive intensity</li><li>Going forward, the market micro-structure is likely to reflect newer collaborative models which are still evolving.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India’s home loan (HL) market (INR26trn, 17% of overall credit) is poised to double by FY28E on the back of secular trends around improving affordability, rising urbanisation and penetration beyond Tier-I locationsDriven by the combination of a sustained funding cost advantage, structural shift in sourcing models, renewed focus on retail HL, and transient rate cycle tailwinds, banks (~67% of HL market) are likely to continue dominating the prime HL segmentAffordable-focused HFCs (~INR1trn, 4% of HL market) have emerged as high-growth, high-RoA businesses, however, given the superior economics, this segment is witnessing rising competitive intensityGoing forward, the market micro-structure is likely to reflect newer collaborative models which are still evolving.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Housing Finance: New market structures open up investment universe

<ul><li>Q3FY23 earnings season saw an overall in-line performance, with wide divergences across sectors and companies</li><li>Aggregate revenue/PAT grew by 19%/6% YoY across the HSIE coverage universe (~208 stocks), their three-year CAGR being 15%/15%</li><li>Our coverage universe saw strong YoY growth in auto, lending financials, capital goods, staples and power sectors</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q3FY23 earnings season saw an overall in-line performance, with wide divergences across sectors and companiesAggregate revenue/PAT grew by 19%/6% YoY across the HSIE coverage universe (~208 stocks), their three-year CAGR being 15%/15%Our coverage universe saw strong YoY growth in auto, lending financials, capital goods, staples and power sectorsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India Equity Strategy: Commodity pressure easing, margin expansion on the cards

<ul><li>IndusInd Bank: IndusInd Bank (IIB) reported its highest-ever quarterly earnings, largely on account of steady loan growth (+19% YoY), stable margins, sustained traction in fee income and lower credit costs (1.7% annualised)</li><li>Gross slippages at 2.3% witnessed some deterioration in the CV/CE portfolio and partial fallout from the restructured book, ex of which the back-book appears to be incrementally stabilising</li><li>IIB managed to garner retail deposits in the form of CA and TD from select affluent and NRI pockets, resulting in an overhang on its funding costs</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IndusInd Bank: IndusInd Bank (IIB) reported its highest-ever quarterly earnings, largely on account of steady loan growth (+19% YoY), stable margins, sustained traction in fee income and lower credit costs (1.7% annualised)Gross slippages at 2.3% witnessed some deterioration in the CV/CE portfolio and partial fallout from the restructured book, ex of which the back-book appears to be incrementally stabilisingIIB managed to garner retail deposits in the form of CA and TD from select affluent and NRI pockets, resulting in an overhang on its funding costsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily - IndusInd Bank, ICICI Prudential Life, PSP Projects

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>In the third and last part of our trilogy on Asian AT1s, we turn our focus to AT1s in Asian emerging markets (EMs) including India, Indonesia, Philippines and Thailand.</li><li>Compared with that of Chinese G-SIBs and Asian DMs, the return predictability of AT1s in Asian EMs are lower.</li><li>Hence, our analytical approach in Asian EM AT1s will be more “bottom-up”.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In the third and last part of our trilogy on Asian AT1s, we turn our focus to AT1s in Asian emerging markets (EMs) including India, Indonesia, Philippines and Thailand.Compared with that of Chinese G-SIBs and Asian DMs, the return predictability of AT1s in Asian EMs are lower.Hence, our analytical approach in Asian EM AT1s will be more “bottom-up”.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

IndusInd Bank Limited is a Mumbai-based Indian new generation bank established in 1994. The Bank provides a range of banking and financial services including  wholesale banking, credit monitoring, risk management, tele-banking, investment banking and commercial lending. IndusInd Bank operates branches throughout India as well as an office in Dubai and London.

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Indusind Bank (IIB IN)

Leveraged Financials: ‘Pause and Effect’ - interesting trade-offs ahead

As banks and NBFCs navigate the growth-margin trade-off, we argue that the combination of lower growth and lower spreads is not priced into valuations

HDFC Securities

Housing Finance: New market structures open up investment universe

India’s home loan (HL) market (INR26trn, 17% of overall credit) is poised to double by FY28E on the back of secular trends around improving...

HDFC Securities

India Equity Strategy: Commodity pressure easing, margin expansion on the cards

Aggregate revenue/PAT grew by 19%/6% YoY across the HSIE coverage universe (~208 stocks), their three-year CAGR being 15%/15%

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily - IndusInd Bank, ICICI Prudential Life, PSP Projects

IndusInd Bank (IIB) reported its highest-ever quarterly earnings, largely on account of steady loan growth (+19% YoY), stable margins

HDFC Securities

Asian AT1s Part III – Picks on EM AT1s

In the third and last part of our trilogy on Asian AT1s, we turn our focus to AT1s in Asian emerging markets (EMs) including India, Indonesia,...

CMB International

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