China Macroeconomics & Academia

Christopher Balding

Macroeconomics

The last two quarters failed to produce sustained positive growth in the regulated highly leveraged Chinese economy with continued RMB depreciation. Still some sectors such as real estate and the manufacturing showed some promising positive results, implying that the Chinese economy will not face a hard landing.  The ongoing rapid expansion of credit driving activity though remains worrying especially given the stressed finances of Chinese industrials. Since last year PBOC started to diminish…

The last two quarters failed to produce sustained positive growth in the regulated highly leveraged Chinese economy with continued RMB depreciation. Still some sectors such as real estate and the manufacturing showed some promising positive results, implying that the Chinese economy will not face a hard landing.  The ongoing rapid expansion of credit driving activity though remains worrying especially given the stressed finances of Chinese industrials. Since last year PBOC started to diminish…

Chinese Industrial Revenue Up 1% YTD from 2015

July Pre PMI ReportAfter a hot start this year the Chinese economy has plateaued and appeared to enter a slow downward trend with no sign of returning to strong growth. The start of the third quarter can be termed as disappointing as the key industries have also stated to show the effects of broader slowdown.  Key industries linked to real estate that showed a bullish trend in previous months seem to be reverting to uncertainty or non-existent growth. The steel industry of China, which also…

July Pre PMI ReportAfter a hot start this year the Chinese economy has plateaued and appeared to enter a slow downward trend with no sign of returning to strong growth. The start of the third quarter can be termed as disappointing as the key industries have also stated to show the effects of broader slowdown.  Key industries linked to real estate that showed a bullish trend in previous months seem to be reverting to uncertainty or non-existent growth. The steel industry of China, which also…

Early Chinese July Data Shows Economic Activity Slowdown

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Due to its enormous importance to the Chinese economy and the drivers of the 2008 global financial crisis, many analysts focus on the real estate sector as a potential harbinger of the overall economy.  Like many other sectors of the Chinese economy real estate is heavily government regulated by the state acting as a major source of revenue for local governments which thrive from land sales to builders. Real estate supports local government finances and large number of upstream industries like…

Due to its enormous importance to the Chinese economy and the drivers of the 2008 global financial crisis, many analysts focus on the real estate sector as a potential harbinger of the overall economy.  Like many other sectors of the Chinese economy real estate is heavily government regulated by the state acting as a major source of revenue for local governments which thrive from land sales to builders. Real estate supports local government finances and large number of upstream industries like…

Chinese Real Estate Pricing in 21% Price Increase

Outlook on China’s PMI  The month of June furthered the case that the Chinese economy has plateaued and potentially started declining again. With last month’s PMI at 50.1, there was reason to believe we would see real economy expansion but this failed to materialize. Throughout June, most industries showed a downward trend in production output generating a PMI of 50.0, .1 lower than the last month. The slowdown in output and manager expectation does not provide a positive outlook on a leverage…

Outlook on China’s PMI  The month of June furthered the case that the Chinese economy has plateaued and potentially started declining again. With last month’s PMI at 50.1, there was reason to believe we would see real economy expansion but this failed to materialize. Throughout June, most industries showed a downward trend in production output generating a PMI of 50.0, .1 lower than the last month. The slowdown in output and manager expectation does not provide a positive outlook on a leverage…

Recent data of the excessively leveraged economy in China yielded few positive results. While data from previous months hinted that the Chinese economy might be heading towards growth, the post PMI of 50.1 defied those predictions.Most sectors in June either witnessed stagnant output or a decline except for steel which has witnessed output growth of 14% since January 31. Though in the beginning of June the daily steel output slightly declined, it is anticipated that with the start of the…

Recent data of the excessively leveraged economy in China yielded few positive results. While data from previous months hinted that the Chinese economy might be heading towards growth, the post PMI of 50.1 defied those predictions.Most sectors in June either witnessed stagnant output or a decline except for steel which has witnessed output growth of 14% since January 31. Though in the beginning of June the daily steel output slightly declined, it is anticipated that with the start of the…

China

Rizhao Port Co., Ltd. operates Rizhao ports in Rizhao, Shandong. The company handles, warehouses, and transports containers and bulk and general cargoes.

Qinhuangdao Port Company Limited loads, stores, transports port cargo. The Company's main products include liquid chemicals, iron ore and coal, oil and other cargo, containers and other products.

Dongguan Development Holdings Co., Ltd invests, develops, and operates toll collection for the Dongguan expressway.

Dongguan Development (Holdings) Co., (000828 CH)

Henan Zhongyuan Expressway Company Limited finances, operates, and maintains expressways and bridges in China. The Company collects tolls for the Zheng Luo Expressway and the Zhengzhou Yellow River Bridge.

Fujian Expressway Development Co., Ltd. constructs, maintains, manages, and provides toll collection services for the Quanxia Expressway and the Fuquan Expressway in Fujian Province, China.

Fujian Expressway Development Co, Ltd. (600033 CH)

Guangxi Wuzhou Communications Co., Ltd. constructs and manages transportation infrastructure facilities including highways, bridges, ports, and other related facilities. The Company manages the Pingwang Road, the Nanwu Road, the Jinyi Road, and the Jinglan Bridge in Guangxi.

Guangxi Wuzhou Communications (600368 CH)

Jiangxi Ganyue Expressway Co., Ltd. maintains, operates, and manages toll expressways, bridges, and other transportation facilities.  The Company manages the Changjiu Expressway, the Changzhang Expressway, the Changfu Expressway, and the Yinsanjiao Overpass.

Jiangxi Ganyue Expressway Co., (600269 CH)

Hubei Chutian Expressway Co., Ltd. maintains, operates, and develops toll expressways in Hubei province in China.

Beijing Capital International Airport Company Limited operates both aeronautical and non-aeronautical business in the Beijing airport.  The Company provides aircraft movement and passenger service facilities, safety and security services, fire-fighting services, and ground handling services.  In addition, Beijing Capital operates duty free and other retail shops and leases properties.

Beijing Capital International Airport (BCIA) (694 HK)

Beijing Capital International Airport (BCIA)

Sichuan Haite High-tech Co., Ltd. maintains and repairs aircraft equipment including wireless equipment, instruments, electrical equipment, and power equipment.  The Company also develops and sells aircraft inspection equipment and technology.

The Sumitomo Warehouse Co., Ltd. operates warehousing and freight transportation businesses.  The Company provides integrated transportation services including marine, land, and air freight, and stores cargos in warehouses throughout Japan. Sumitomo Warehouse also operates a real estate leasing business.

Hutchison Port Holdings Trust is a port investor, developer and operator. The Company is also involved in transportation related services and logistics operations, including container storage and repair, container tracking, general and bulk cargo tranfer, warehousing, marine shuttle services and other related services.

Gujarat Pipavav Port Ltd. operates a marine shipping port.  The port loads and unloads container, bulk, and liquid cargo.

Gemadept Corporation is a shipping company.  The Company's business activities include port operations, 
container liner service, shipping and forwarding agency logistics, project cargo transport, real 
estate, and financial investment.

Westshore Terminals Investment Corp. operates a coal storage and loading terminal in British Columbia, Canada.

Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd., through its subsidiaries, invests in, develops, operates, and manages toll highways, expressways, and bridges in China.

Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure (1052 HK)

Ecorodovias Infraestrutura e Logistica SA is a road concession group in Brazil. The Groups concessionaires connect the main Brazilian ports to national production and consumption centers.

COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co., Ltd. provides shipping related services. The Company offers shipping, logistics, shipbuilding and ship repair services, ship trading agency services, marine insurance brokerage services, marine equipment and spare parts, coating products, and marine fuel and other related shipping products. COSCO International serves clients around the world.

Bintulu Port Holdings Berhad operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides port services. Bintulu Port Holdings serves customers in Malaysia.

Asian Terminals, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates and manages port terminals in the Philippines. The company operates and manages the Manila South Harbor, the Inland Clearance Depot, the Port of Batangas, and the Port of General Santos, as well as off-dock container yards. It provides stevedoring, arrastre, warehousing, storage, carnage, container freight station, domestic cargo handling, passenger terminal, and other port related services for international shipping lines; and trucking, just-in-time delivery, brokerage, and maintenance and repair services. The company was formerly known as Marina Port Services, Inc. Asian Terminals, Inc. was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Manila, the Philippines.

Sichuan Expressway Company Limited develops, invests in, and operates infrastructure projects including toll roads, bridges, tunnels, and ancillary facilities.

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Sichuan Expressway Co H (107 HK)

Chinese Industrial Revenue Up 1% YTD from 2015

The last two quarters failed to produce sustained positive growth in the regulated highly leveraged Chinese economy with continued RMB...

Christopher Balding

Early Chinese July Data Shows Economic Activity Slowdown

July Pre PMI ReportAfter a hot start this year the Chinese economy has plateaued and appeared to enter a slow downward trend with no sign of...

Christopher Balding

Chinese Real Estate Pricing in 21% Price Increase

Due to its enormous importance to the Chinese economy and the drivers of the 2008 global financial crisis, many analysts focus on the real estate...

Christopher Balding

China Economic Recap for June

Outlook on China’s PMI The month of June furthered the case that the Chinese economy has plateaued and potentially started declining again. With...

Christopher Balding

Early Look June Economic Activity

Recent data of the excessively leveraged economy in China yielded few positive results. While data from previous months hinted that the Chinese...

Christopher Balding

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