Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

Novatek Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a> will initially use Novatek's DDIC (Display Driver IC) for the iPhone 16, but it will soon being replaced largely.</li>
<li>In 4Q24, there is a possibility of experiencing a decline, with a potential quarter-over-quarter decrease of approximately 5-10%.</li>
<li>The Chinese panel market continues to be a key battleground, and Novatek must navigate these challenges to remain competitive.</li>
</ul>



Apple (AAPL US) will initially use Novatek's DDIC (Display Driver IC) for the iPhone 16, but it will soon being replaced largely.
In 4Q24, there is a possibility of experiencing a decline, with a potential quarter-over-quarter decrease of approximately 5-10%.
The Chinese panel market continues to be a key battleground, and Novatek must navigate these challenges to remain competitive.


Novatek (3034.TT): To Utilizing on IPhone 16 DDIC Will Soon Be Largely Replaced by Korean Fabless.

United Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The outlook for 4Q24 appears somewhat bearish at the moment, though it has not been fully defined before the end of October.</li>
<li>Taiwanese companies such as MediaTek Inc (2454 TT), Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT) and Realtek Semiconductor (2379 TT) continue to be the main drivers of demand for UMC.</li>
<li>On a positive note, there are warnings against overly relying on chips from Chinese manufacturers due to US sanctions.</li>
</ul>


The outlook for 4Q24 appears somewhat bearish at the moment, though it has not been fully defined before the end of October.
Taiwanese companies such as MediaTek Inc (2454 TT), Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT) and Realtek Semiconductor (2379 TT) continue to be the main drivers of demand for UMC.
On a positive note, there are warnings against overly relying on chips from Chinese manufacturers due to US sanctions.


UMC (2303.TT; UMC US): The Outlook for 4Q24 Is Somewhat Bearish.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The semiconductor market is currently enjoying an AI-driven demand surge</li>
<li>The past two demand-driven surges have turned into collapses as growth returned to the long-term trend</li>
<li>When we compare the past two cycles to the current one, it appears that a collapse could occur relatively soon</li>
</ul>


The semiconductor market is currently enjoying an AI-driven demand surge
The past two demand-driven surges have turned into collapses as growth returned to the long-term trend
When we compare the past two cycles to the current one, it appears that a collapse could occur relatively soon


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 13th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, CCB, ICBC, Kuaishou Technology, Tencent, Meituan, HKEx.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 13th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, CCB, ICBC, Kuaishou Technology, Tencent, Meituan, HKEx.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 13th): $1.5bn Inflows into Baba Post Inclusion

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>ATAT US/TCOM US: Hotel demand grow steadily in 1st week of September, with leisure travel being the main driver(+/+)</li>
<li>AAPL US/1810 HK/981 HK: Pre-registrations for iPhone 16 series in China well below prior models.(-/+/+)</li>
<li>AAPL US/1810 HK/981 HK: Huawei Mate XT receives positive commentary for design (-/-/+)</li>
</ul>


ATAT US/TCOM US: Hotel demand grow steadily in 1st week of September, with leisure travel being the main driver(+/+)
AAPL US/1810 HK/981 HK: Pre-registrations for iPhone 16 series in China well below prior models.(-/+/+)
AAPL US/1810 HK/981 HK: Huawei Mate XT receives positive commentary for design (-/-/+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATAT US/TCOM US/AAPL US/1810 HK/981 HK/XPEV US/1211 HK/9863 HK/NIO US/ LI US

China

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation operates a semiconductor foundry. The Company provides integrated circuit foundry and technology services including the testing, development, design, manufacturing, packaging, and sale of integrated circuits. Semiconductor Manufacturing International offers its products and services around the world.

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)

Novatek (3034.TT): To Utilizing on IPhone 16 DDIC Will Soon Be Largely Replaced by Korean Fabless.

In 4Q24, Novatek faces potential decline in Chinese panel market, with a potential QoQ decrease of approximately 5-10%, and the demand may start...

Patrick Liao

UMC (2303.TT; UMC US): The Outlook for 4Q24 Is Somewhat Bearish.

4Q24 outlook is bearish, MediaTek, Novatek and Realtek continue to be the main drivers of demand for UMC, caution against Chinese chips due to US...

Patrick Liao

Current Semi Surge Still Strong

The semiconductor market is experiencing a surge in demand driven by AI, but history suggests a potential collapse may be on the horizon.

Jim Handy

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 13th): $1.5bn Inflows into Baba Post Inclusion

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, CCB, ICBC, Kuaishou Technology, Tencent,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATAT US/TCOM US/AAPL US/1810 HK/981 HK/XPEV US/1211 HK/9863 HK/NIO US/ LI US

Hotel demand in the US is increasing due to leisure travel, while pre-registrations for the iPhone 16 series in China are lower than previous...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Novatek (3034.TT): To Utilizing on IPhone 16 DDIC Will Soon Be Largely Replaced by Korean Fabless.

​In 4Q24, Novatek faces potential decline in Chinese panel market, with a potential QoQ decrease of approximately 5-10%, and the demand may start...

Patrick Liao

UMC (2303.TT; UMC US): The Outlook for 4Q24 Is Somewhat Bearish.

​4Q24 outlook is bearish, MediaTek, Novatek and Realtek continue to be the main drivers of demand for UMC, caution against Chinese chips due to US...

Patrick Liao

Current Semi Surge Still Strong

​The semiconductor market is experiencing a surge in demand driven by AI, but history suggests a potential collapse may be on the horizon.

Jim Handy

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 13th): $1.5bn Inflows into Baba Post Inclusion

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, CCB, ICBC, Kuaishou Technology, Tencent,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATAT US/TCOM US/AAPL US/1810 HK/981 HK/XPEV US/1211 HK/9863 HK/NIO US/ LI US

​Hotel demand in the US is increasing due to leisure travel, while pre-registrations for the iPhone 16 series in China are lower than previous...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

In 4Q24, Novatek faces potential decline in Chinese panel market, with a potential QoQ decrease of approximately 5-10%, and the demand may start...

4Q24 outlook is bearish, MediaTek, Novatek and Realtek continue to be the main drivers of demand for UMC, caution against Chinese chips due to US...

The semiconductor market is experiencing a surge in demand driven by AI, but history suggests a potential collapse may be on the horizon.

Hotel demand in the US is increasing due to leisure travel, while pre-registrations for the iPhone 16 series in China are lower than previous...