Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Power Integrations reported a robust set of financial results for the first quarter, demonstrating resilience and strategic foresight in the face of fluctuating market conditions.</li><li>The company's revenue for the quarter amounted to $92 million, with a non-GAAP gross margin of 53% and non-GAAP earnings standing at $0.18 per share.</li><li>These figures reflect a stable financial status, attuned to Power Integrations' strategic market maneuvers and operational efficiency.</li></ul>

Power Integrations reported a robust set of financial results for the first quarter, demonstrating resilience and strategic foresight in the face of fluctuating market conditions.The company's revenue for the quarter amounted to $92 million, with a non-GAAP gross margin of 53% and non-GAAP earnings standing at $0.18 per share.These figures reflect a stable financial status, attuned to Power Integrations' strategic market maneuvers and operational efficiency.

Power Integrations Inc.: Can The Acquisition of Odyssey Semiconductor Technologies Be A Game Changer? - Major Drivers

External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club

External reports (aggregated public sources)

<ul><li>Power Integrations (POWI) is facing persistently low earnings quality over the past five quarters due to a channel inventory adjustment, which they claim is almost complete</li><li>Revenues have dropped by 37% since 2021, casting doubt on whether the adjustment fully explains the decline</li><li>Financial performance in 2024 could lead to a shift in the investment narrative towards normalized revenues below recent peaks and increased competition from Chinese semiconductor vendors, potentially affecting earnings and forward multiples</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Power Integrations (POWI) is facing persistently low earnings quality over the past five quarters due to a channel inventory adjustment, which they claim is almost completeRevenues have dropped by 37% since 2021, casting doubt on whether the adjustment fully explains the declineFinancial performance in 2024 could lead to a shift in the investment narrative towards normalized revenues below recent peaks and increased competition from Chinese semiconductor vendors, potentially affecting earnings and forward multiplesThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Power Integrations Inc (POWI) - Wednesday, Mar 20, 2024

<ul><li>This is our first report on analog and mixed-signal integrated circuits manufacturer, Power Integrations.</li><li>The company' Q3 2021 Financial Results depict a mixed picture with modest sequential growth but a contraction in sales year-over-year.</li><li>For Q4, Power Integrations expects a sequential decrease to $90 million at the midpoint of the range, largely reflecting broad-based weakness echoed by industry peers amid challenging macroeconomic conditions.</li></ul>

This is our first report on analog and mixed-signal integrated circuits manufacturer, Power Integrations.The company' Q3 2021 Financial Results depict a mixed picture with modest sequential growth but a contraction in sales year-over-year.For Q4, Power Integrations expects a sequential decrease to $90 million at the midpoint of the range, largely reflecting broad-based weakness echoed by industry peers amid challenging macroeconomic conditions.

Power Integrations: Initiation of Coverage – Design Wins Defying Odds! How Power Integrations Is Capturing the Tech Market Amidst Challenges! - Major Drivers

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Like other automotive/industrial semi vendors, Diodes guides 4Q23 sales of 20% q/q and 35% y/y decline (miss by 21%) and weaker gross margin/operating margin of 35%/7% (miss by 5ppts).</li>
<li>The company sees 4Q23 sales decline of 20% mainly from 19% of automotive and 26% of industrial customers due to customer inventory cut coupled with year-end distributor inventory management. </li>
<li>We expect this adjustment for automotive/industrial IDMs to last for at least 6 months and suggest our clients to avoid these names unless valuation becoming attractive.  </li>
</ul>


Like other automotive/industrial semi vendors, Diodes guides 4Q23 sales of 20% q/q and 35% y/y decline (miss by 21%) and weaker gross margin/operating margin of 35%/7% (miss by 5ppts).
The company sees 4Q23 sales decline of 20% mainly from 19% of automotive and 26% of industrial customers due to customer inventory cut coupled with year-end distributor inventory management. 
We expect this adjustment for automotive/industrial IDMs to last for at least 6 months and suggest our clients to avoid these names unless valuation becoming attractive.  


With No Surprise, Diodes Guides Automotive/Industrial Semi Demand to Fall over 20% Q/Q

<ul>
<li>Microchip used to be the bellwether for semiconductor demand After many semis guided weaknesses in automotive, industrial, and digital consumer much earlier, Microchip's 19% miss in 1Q24 gives no surprise.</li>
<li>
Why the worst among all? We attributed Microchip to over 85% of its products on automotive, industrial, and digital consumer. Other semis have higher exposure on PC and comm.</li>
<li>
Priced in? We estimate over 20% y/y decline in 2024 sales vs. Bloomberg's -8% y/y. 2024E EPS of US$2.94 is likely below US$1. Price is only 10% below historical peak.</li>
</ul>


Microchip used to be the bellwether for semiconductor demand After many semis guided weaknesses in automotive, industrial, and digital consumer much earlier, Microchip's 19% miss in 1Q24 gives no surprise.

Why the worst among all? We attributed Microchip to over 85% of its products on automotive, industrial, and digital consumer. Other semis have higher exposure on PC and comm.

Priced in? We estimate over 20% y/y decline in 2024 sales vs. Bloomberg's -8% y/y. 2024E EPS of US$2.94 is likely below US$1. Price is only 10% below historical peak.


From the Bellwether to a Lagging Indicator- Why Does Microchip Guide the Worst Among All?

United States

Axcelis Technologies, Inc. manufactures components for the semiconductor industry. The Company designs, manufactures and services ion implantation, dry strip, thermal processing and curing equipment used in the fabrication of semiconductor chips. Axcelis Technologies sells their products to semiconductor chip manufacturers worldwide.

Diodes Incorporated manufactures and supplies discrete, logic, and analog semiconductor devices to consumers in the electronics, computing, industrial, communications, and automotive markets. The Company's products include diodes, transistors, MOSFETs, single gate logic, LED drivers, and USB switches.

Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. manufactures power conversion, solar inverters and control systems used in plasma-based thin film production equipment. The Company's systems are integrated in semiconductor, data storage, flat panel display, and other industrial manufacturing equipment that use gaseous  plasmas to depositor etch thin film layers on materials such as silicon and glass.

Synaptics Incorporated develops custom-designed user interface solutions.  The Company's solutions enable people to interact with a variety of mobile computing and communications devices.  Synaptics offers a touch-sensitive pad that senses the position of a person's finger on its surface to provide screen navigation, cursor movement, and a platform of interactive input.

Silicon Laboratories Inc. designs and develops analog-intensive, mixed-signal integrated circuits (ICs) for the wireless, wireline, and optical communications industries. Mixed-signal ICs are electronic components that process both digital signals and real-world analog signals, such as sound and radio waves.

FormFactor Inc, designs, develops, and manufactures advanced semiconductor wafer probe cards.  The Company's products are based on MicroSpring interconnect technology, which includes resilient spring-like contacts that are manufactured using micro-machining and scalable semiconductor-like wafer fabrication processes.

Impinj, Inc. provides radio-frequency identification solutions for identifying, locating, and authenticating items. The Company offers radio chips, gateways, readers and antennas, and software. Impinj serves customers worldwide.

Ambarella, Inc. manufactures high definition video compression and image processing semiconductors. The Company products are used in digital still cameras, camcorders, and video-enabled mobile phones.

Parade Technologies Ltd is a fabless semiconductor company that specialzies in high-speed video interfacing and processing products used in personal computer and consumer electronics applications, such as digital TVs, DVDs, monitors and display panels, and set-top boxes.

Rambus Inc. designs, develops, licenses, and markets high-speed chip-to-chip interface technology to enhance the performance and cost-effectiveness of consumer electronics, computer systems, and other electronic systems.  The Company licenses semiconductor companies to manufacture and sell memory and logic ICs incorporating Rambus interface technology.

Flat Glass Group Co., Ltd is a PV glass manufacturer. The Company also markets float glass, household glass and architectural glass.

Sino-American Silicon Products Inc. supplies silicon-based products, including silicon lapped wafer, silicon diffusion wafer, silicon ingot, silicon diffused diode chip, and automobile rectifier.  The Company sells its products worldwide.

GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Ltd is a Chinese power company that produces solar grade polysilicon and operates cogeneration plants and in China.

Gcl Poly Energy Holdings Limited (3800 HK)

King Yuan Electronics Co., Ltd. provides integrated circuit (IC) testing services to semiconductor manufacturers.  The Company tests the logic, memory, and burn-in functions of ICs.  King Yuan also specializes in IC reeling, packaging, and wafer grinding.

Tianjin Zhonghuan Semiconductor Co., Ltd. manufactures discrete semiconductor devices. The Company's main products are High Voltage Diode, Silicon Rectifier Diode, Silicon Bridge Rectifier, MWO High Voltage Silicon Diode and special High Voltage Silicon Diode .

Tianjin Zhonghuan Semiconductor (002129 CH)

Hua Hong Semiconductor Limited manufactures semiconductors on 200mm wafers for specialty applications. The Company's products are used in the consumer electronic, communication, computing and industrial, and automotive industries.

TongFu Microelectronics Co., Ltd. manufactures integrated chips. The Company provides assembling and testing service for memory, microprocessor, micro-controller, hybrid circuit, analog circuit, and other related services throughout China.

Winbond Electronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and sells integrated circuits (IC) and related products.  The Company sells its products in Taiwan, the United States, and Hong Kong.

Hangzhou Silan Microelectronics Co., Ltd develops, researches, tests, and sells integrated circuits.

Hangzhou Silan Microelectronics Co., Ltd (600460 CH)

RORZE CORPORATION manufactures printed circuit board conveyers and wafer handlers for semiconductor manufacturing.  The Company also produces sorters and vacuum chamber robots, as well as controllers and stepping motor drivers used in various automation systems.  Rorze provides parts replacement and repair services for its products.

Power Integrations, Inc. designs, develops, and markets analog integrated circuits for use in alternating current (AC) to direct current (DC) power conversion.  The Company sells its products to original equipment manufacturers in the cellular telephone, consumer electronics, personal computer, and industrial electronics industries.

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Power Integrations (POWI US)

Power Integrations Inc.: Can The Acquisition of Odyssey Semiconductor Technologies Be A Game Changer? - Major Drivers

Power Integrations reported a robust set of financial results for the first quarter, demonstrating resilience and strategic foresight in the face...

Baptista Research

Power Integrations Inc (POWI) - Wednesday, Mar 20, 2024

Power Integrations (POWI) is facing persistently low earnings quality over the past five quarters due to a channel inventory adjustment, which they...

Value Investors Club

Power Integrations: Initiation of Coverage – Design Wins Defying Odds! How Power Integrations Is Capturing the Tech Market Amidst Challenges! - Major Drivers

This is our first report on analog and mixed-signal integrated circuits manufacturer, Power Integrations. The company' Q3 2021 Financial Results...

Baptista Research

With No Surprise, Diodes Guides Automotive/Industrial Semi Demand to Fall over 20% Q/Q

With No Surprise, Diodes Guides Automotive/Industrial Semi Demand to Fall over 20% Q/Q, margin contraction, and rising months of inventory. We see...

Andrew Lu

From the Bellwether to a Lagging Indicator- Why Does Microchip Guide the Worst Among All?

From the Bellwether to a Lagging Indicator- Why Does Microchip Guide the Worst Among All? For next six months, we like both Intel and Qualcomm more...

Andrew Lu

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