Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Reasonable port valuation supports M&amp;A activities<figure class="editor-figure"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/005/443/original/ports5.JPG?1454570524" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="5443"></figure>Note: Market-weighted EV/EBITDA ticked higher from FY14 level of 14.8x to 15.0x Source: Bloomberg, DMER<figure class="editor-figure"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/005/444/original/ports6.JPG?1454570793" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="5444"></figure> Source: Company, DMER• As the global trade growth moderates, we expect significant volatility to persist in the year ahead. Port companies with sturdy balance sheet will be favoured over growth companies. Debt servicing ratio is expected to trend lower on higher interest and faltering earnings. Therefore, we look for terminal operators with…

Reasonable port valuation supports M&amp;A activitiesNote: Market-weighted EV/EBITDA ticked higher from FY14 level of 14.8x to 15.0x Source: Bloomberg, DMER Source: Company, DMER• As the global trade growth moderates, we expect significant volatility to persist in the year ahead. Port companies with sturdy balance sheet will be favoured over growth companies. Debt servicing ratio is expected to trend lower on higher interest and faltering earnings. Therefore, we look for terminal operators with…

Global Port Operators - Reasonable Valuation Supports M&A Activities

Intensifying concerns about China as it registered its slowest growth since 1990 set the tone for a roller-coaster ride in 2016. The largest emerging country expanded 6.9%y/y in 2015, prompting the IMF to slash its global growth forecast for the third time in less than a year. Drewry Port Index fell 14% in the first three weeks of trading. The divergence between MSCI World and Drewry Port Index is the greatest since January 2015, pointing to a value buy for the port index compared with a year ago.

Intensifying concerns about China as it registered its slowest growth since 1990 set the tone for a roller-coaster ride in 2016. The largest emerging country expanded 6.9%y/y in 2015, prompting the IMF to slash its global growth forecast for the third time in less than a year. Drewry Port Index fell 14% in the first three weeks of trading. The divergence between MSCI World and Drewry Port Index is the greatest since January 2015, pointing to a value buy for the port index compared with a year ago.

Port Operators 2016 - Sieve Out Value Companies Amid Slowing Trade Growth

Ominous start to the year for container shipping with Drewry forecasting container shipping profitability to deteriorate in 2016. Ocean freight rates for cargo moving under contracts on the major East-West trade routes witnessing another reduction in the last quarter of 2015, according to Drewry’s Benchmarking Club, a closed user group of multinational retailers and manufacturers who closely monitor their contract freight rates. The Drewry Benchmarking Club Contract Rate Index, based on Trans…

Ominous start to the year for container shipping with Drewry forecasting container shipping profitability to deteriorate in 2016. Ocean freight rates for cargo moving under contracts on the major East-West trade routes witnessing another reduction in the last quarter of 2015, according to Drewry’s Benchmarking Club, a closed user group of multinational retailers and manufacturers who closely monitor their contract freight rates. The Drewry Benchmarking Club Contract Rate Index, based on Trans…

2016 - Washout Year for Container Shipping

Founder

Kemp Dolliver, CFA

Cherrystone Hill Research

Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA: US) has named Executive Vice Chairman and interim CEO Stefano Pessina as CEO, a move that has been expected. Mr. Pessina had built up Alliance Boots into a leading European and Asian health &amp; beauty retail chain. We expect the company to resume its acquisition program, but the US market looks like the top priority at the moment. WBA will increase its presence in Asia: the only question is timing.

Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA: US) has named Executive Vice Chairman and interim CEO Stefano Pessina as CEO, a move that has been expected. Mr. Pessina had built up Alliance Boots into a leading European and Asian health &amp; beauty retail chain. We expect the company to resume its acquisition program, but the US market looks like the top priority at the moment. WBA will increase its presence in Asia: the only question is timing.

Walgreens Boots Alliance Names Permanent CEO: Global Expansion to Continue

Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

The "new" Economic Silk Belt initiative is not new, and includes more dimensions than initially believed to have. It is a positive for China and global infrastructure plays. But other issues include continued massive movement outward of people via construction workforces as well as potential and eventual growth of military influence.

The "new" Economic Silk Belt initiative is not new, and includes more dimensions than initially believed to have. It is a positive for China and global infrastructure plays. But other issues include continued massive movement outward of people via construction workforces as well as potential and eventual growth of military influence.

China's New International Political Economy

China

Jiangsu Lianyungang Port Co., Ltd. mainly operates port and other related services including loading and unloading, storage, port equipment rentals and maintenance services.

Guangxi Wuzhou Communications Co., Ltd. constructs and manages transportation infrastructure facilities including highways, bridges, ports, and other related facilities. The Company manages the Pingwang Road, the Nanwu Road, the Jinyi Road, and the Jinglan Bridge in Guangxi.

Guangxi Wuzhou Communications (600368 CH)

Heilongjiang Transportation Development Co Ltd. invests, develops, builds and operates toll roads.It mainly engages in the operation of Hada Expressway and service facilities along Hada Expressway.

Heilongjiang Transportation Dvlp (601188 CH)

Chongqing Road & Bridge Co., Ltd. operates and maintains toll roads and bridges.  The Company undertakes engineering and building contract works. Chongqing Road & Bridge Co., Ltd operates the Yangtze River Shibanpo Bridge, the Jialing River Niujiaotuo Bridge, the Jialing River Shimen Bridge, the Nanshan Tour Road, and the Zizhong Section of the Ziwei Road.

Chongqing Road & Bridge Co, Ltd. (600106 CH)

Jilin Expressway Co Ltd. invests, develops, builds and operates toll roads. The company mainly engages in the operation of Changping Expressway and service facilities along Changping Expressway.

Xiamen International Airport Co., Ltd. operates and maintains Gaoqi Airport. The  Company provides terminal transportation service, maintains airport waiting halls, operates airport shopping malls, as well as offers advertising and airport mechanical engineering services.

Xiandai Investment Co., Ltd. operates and maintains toll roads, bridges, tunnels, and ferries.  Through its subsidiary, the Company also provides advertising services.

Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. operates as a logistics company. The Company provides warehouse, loading, unloading, barrel filling, petrochemical products value added, and other services. Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics serves customers in China and Hong Kong.

Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics (002930 CH)

Chongqing Gangjiu Co., Ltd. provides inland water freight and passenger transportation and support services including loading and unloading, storage, and ship repair services.  The Company also operates in commercial trading.

Zhuhai Port Co., Ltd. Zhuhai S.E.Z. is an investment holding company.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company develops real estate, provides port transportation services, manufactures pharmaceuticals, and operates in import and export trading.

COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co., Ltd. provides shipping related services. The Company offers shipping, logistics, shipbuilding and ship repair services, ship trading agency services, marine insurance brokerage services, marine equipment and spare parts, coating products, and marine fuel and other related shipping products. COSCO International serves clients around the world.

Bintulu Port Holdings Berhad operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides port services. Bintulu Port Holdings serves customers in Malaysia.

Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd., through its subsidiaries, invests in, develops, operates, and manages toll highways, expressways, and bridges in China.

Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure (1052 HK)

Asian Terminals, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates and manages port terminals in the Philippines. The company operates and manages the Manila South Harbor, the Inland Clearance Depot, the Port of Batangas, and the Port of General Santos, as well as off-dock container yards. It provides stevedoring, arrastre, warehousing, storage, carnage, container freight station, domestic cargo handling, passenger terminal, and other port related services for international shipping lines; and trucking, just-in-time delivery, brokerage, and maintenance and repair services. The company was formerly known as Marina Port Services, Inc. Asian Terminals, Inc. was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Manila, the Philippines.

Piraeus Port Authority SA manages the Piraeus harbor. The Company provides services such as loading and unloading cargo, warehousing, and transportation of cars. Piraeus Port Authority offers electricity, water, and other services. Piraeus Port Authority responsible for maintaining the port and controlling the movement of ships.

Ocean Wilsons Holdings Ltd. is an investment holding company.  The Group's operations include towage, lighterage contracting, stevedoring, ship building and repairing, tug and launch services, warehousing and agricultural merchanting.  The Group has operations in Bermuda and Brazil.

Tianjin Port Development Holdings Limited operates container terminals in China.  The company provides container handling operations, stacking and warehousing services and non-containerized cargo services.

NISSIN CORPORATION is a transport company.  The Company provides port-harbor, land, air transport services, and warehousing.  Nissin has operation bases overseas including the United States, China, Europe, and Russia.

PT Citra Marga Nusaphala Persada Tbk constructs, operates, and manages toll highways systems.  The Company derives its revenue primarily from toll gate proceeds, project management fees, and related services.

Ecorodovias Infraestrutura e Logistica SA is a road concession group in Brazil. The Groups concessionaires connect the main Brazilian ports to national production and consumption centers.

Shenzhen Investment Holdings Bay Area Development Company Limited provides infrastructure construction services. The Company provides highway construction, bridge construction, and other related services. Shenzhen Investment Holdings Bay Area Development offers services in China.

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Shenzhen Investment Holdings B (737 HK)

Global Port Operators - Reasonable Valuation Supports M&A Activities

Reasonable port valuation supports M&A activitiesNote: Market-weighted EV/EBITDA ticked higher from FY14 level of 14.8x to 15.0xSource:...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Port Operators 2016 - Sieve Out Value Companies Amid Slowing Trade Growth

Intensifying concerns about China as it registered its slowest growth since 1990 set the tone for a roller-coaster ride in 2016. The largest...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

2016 - Washout Year for Container Shipping

Ominous start to the year for container shipping with Drewry forecasting container shipping profitability to deteriorate in 2016. Ocean freight...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Walgreens Boots Alliance Names Permanent CEO: Global Expansion to Continue

Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA: US) has named Executive Vice Chairman and interim CEO Stefano Pessina as CEO, a move that has been expected. Mr....

Kemp Dolliver, CFA

China's New International Political Economy

The "new" Economic Silk Belt initiative is not new, and includes more dimensions than initially believed to have. It is a positive for China and...

Charles De Trenck

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