Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nvidia is not upset with TSMC after all. Samsung is losing another customer to TSMC at 3nm</li>
<li>Legacy Foundry Overcapacity as Chinese firms are over-extending, expect Pricing Pressure (GlobalFoundries, Hua Hong, SMIC, UMC)</li>
<li>Progress in China: new Loongson CPU and GPU. Lithography Photoresist</li>
</ul>


Nvidia is not upset with TSMC after all. Samsung is losing another customer to TSMC at 3nm
Legacy Foundry Overcapacity as Chinese firms are over-extending, expect Pricing Pressure (GlobalFoundries, Hua Hong, SMIC, UMC)
Progress in China: new Loongson CPU and GPU. Lithography Photoresist


Tech News This Week: TSMC, NVIDIA, Samsung, Legacy Semi, China Semi

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Global smartphone shipments expected to increase beyond 2025, with OLED technology gaining popularity in tablets and notebooks while Mini LED becomes less preferred.</li><li>Uncertainty over whether Trump will end TSMC's subsidies for Arizona factory, impacting material suppliers benefiting from TSMC's growth in 3Q24.</li><li>PSMC chairman shifts from cautious approach towards India to optimism with new partnership with Tata, while Horizon Robotics' Hong Kong IPO supported by Alibaba, Baidu, and TSMC for manufacturing.</li></ul>

Global smartphone shipments expected to increase beyond 2025, with OLED technology gaining popularity in tablets and notebooks while Mini LED becomes less preferred.Uncertainty over whether Trump will end TSMC's subsidies for Arizona factory, impacting material suppliers benefiting from TSMC's growth in 3Q24.PSMC chairman shifts from cautious approach towards India to optimism with new partnership with Tata, while Horizon Robotics' Hong Kong IPO supported by Alibaba, Baidu, and TSMC for manufacturing.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (24-Oct-2024): 2025+ global smartphone forecast.

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Foxconn is expanding its SDV development efforts to further the advancement of smart car technology.</li><li>Intel is seeking collaboration with Samsung to better compete with TSMC in the competitive foundry market.</li><li>Nvidia is collaborating with Indian partners to develop a custom chip for the Indian market, while Xiaomi launches China's first 3nm SoC.</li></ul>

Foxconn is expanding its SDV development efforts to further the advancement of smart car technology.Intel is seeking collaboration with Samsung to better compete with TSMC in the competitive foundry market.Nvidia is collaborating with Indian partners to develop a custom chip for the Indian market, while Xiaomi launches China's first 3nm SoC.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (23-Oct-2024): Foxconn focuses on SDV for smart car evolution.

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>If GAA is better viewed as a revolutionary change, it implies that Intel, Samsung and TSMC will transition to GAA with a largely level playing field </li>
<li>If GAA is better viewed as an evolutionary change, TSMC will carry forward its process technology leadership into its GAA transition, leaving it in the #1 position</li>
<li>We think that the GAA transition is evolutionary, not revolutionary and posit that TSMC will continue to maintain its semiconductor process technology leadership through the transition.</li>
</ul>


If GAA is better viewed as a revolutionary change, it implies that Intel, Samsung and TSMC will transition to GAA with a largely level playing field 
If GAA is better viewed as an evolutionary change, TSMC will carry forward its process technology leadership into its GAA transition, leaving it in the #1 position
We think that the GAA transition is evolutionary, not revolutionary and posit that TSMC will continue to maintain its semiconductor process technology leadership through the transition.


Gate All Around Transistors. Evolution Or Revolution & Why It Matters

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

<ul><li>I don’t think it’s been any secret that I’ve been a peak litho bear for quite some time. I think we are finally seeing reality hit the company and the stock. Let’s discuss earnings, and then I’ll talk about peak lithography and TSMC.</li><li>ASML accidentally leaked earnings this week, and the leak wasn’t good. They beat Q3, but the issue was the outlook for next year and orders coming way below expectations. It’s funny because Q4 revenue is expected to accelerate, but no one is paying attention to that.\</li><li>Memory was half of the measly 2.6 billion-order book and is likely driven more by DUV for HBM than logic High NA.</li></ul>

I don’t think it’s been any secret that I’ve been a peak litho bear for quite some time. I think we are finally seeing reality hit the company and the stock. Let’s discuss earnings, and then I’ll talk about peak lithography and TSMC.ASML accidentally leaked earnings this week, and the leak wasn’t good. They beat Q3, but the issue was the outlook for next year and orders coming way below expectations. It’s funny because Q4 revenue is expected to accelerate, but no one is paying attention to that.\Memory was half of the measly 2.6 billion-order book and is likely driven more by DUV for HBM than logic High NA.

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)

Tech News This Week: TSMC, NVIDIA, Samsung, Legacy Semi, China Semi

Nvidia's Blackwell GPU problems were Nvidia's doing, not TSMC. Samsung loses customer to TSMC at 3nm. Legacy Foundry face overcapacity, pricing...

Nicolas Baratte

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (24-Oct-2024): 2025+ global smartphone forecast.

Global smartphone market forecasts beyond 2025, OLED gaining popularity in tablets and notebooks while Mini LED fades; uncertainties around Trump's...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (23-Oct-2024): Foxconn focuses on SDV for smart car evolution.

Foxconn boosts SDV for smart car growth, Intel seeks help from Samsung in foundry market competition, Nvidia partners with India on custom chip,...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Gate All Around Transistors. Evolution Or Revolution & Why It Matters

The transition to GAAFETs is an evolutionary, not revolutionary change. This implies that TSMC will be able to transfer its process technology...

William Keating

Earnings: TSMC, ASML, AEHR, Telecom

I don’t think it’s been any secret that I’ve been a peak litho bear for quite some time. I think we are finally seeing reality hit the company and...

Fabricated Knowledge

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tech News This Week: TSMC, NVIDIA, Samsung, Legacy Semi, China Semi

​Nvidia's Blackwell GPU problems were Nvidia's doing, not TSMC. Samsung loses customer to TSMC at 3nm. Legacy Foundry face overcapacity, pricing...

Nicolas Baratte

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (24-Oct-2024): 2025+ global smartphone forecast.

Global smartphone market forecasts beyond 2025, OLED gaining popularity in tablets and notebooks while Mini LED fades; uncertainties around Trump's...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (23-Oct-2024): Foxconn focuses on SDV for smart car evolution.

Foxconn boosts SDV for smart car growth, Intel seeks help from Samsung in foundry market competition, Nvidia partners with India on custom chip,...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Gate All Around Transistors. Evolution Or Revolution & Why It Matters

The transition to GAAFETs is an evolutionary, not revolutionary change. This implies that TSMC will be able to transfer its process technology...

William Keating

Earnings: TSMC, ASML, AEHR, Telecom

I don’t think it’s been any secret that I’ve been a peak litho bear for quite some time. I think we are finally seeing reality hit the company and...

Fabricated Knowledge

Nvidia's Blackwell GPU problems were Nvidia's doing, not TSMC. Samsung loses customer to TSMC at 3nm. Legacy Foundry face overcapacity, pricing...