Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>2025 could be thorny for Asian equities. The main themes - "Trump turmoil", a slower Fed and a "stronger for longer" Dollar and continued AI boom - have mixed implications.</li>
<li>China's policy articulation to support consumption departing from earlier supply-side measures, would be an important investment driver. India, though expensive, has a few "unloved" sectors that investors should focus on.</li>
<li>Based on our five investment themes, we identify five high quality liquid top picks in Asia - two listed in Hong Kong and one each in Taiwan, India and Korea. </li>
</ul>


2025 could be thorny for Asian equities. The main themes - "Trump turmoil", a slower Fed and a "stronger for longer" Dollar and continued AI boom - have mixed implications.
China's policy articulation to support consumption departing from earlier supply-side measures, would be an important investment driver. India, though expensive, has a few "unloved" sectors that investors should focus on.
Based on our five investment themes, we identify five high quality liquid top picks in Asia - two listed in Hong Kong and one each in Taiwan, India and Korea. 


Asian Equities: 2025 High Conviction – Five Themes, Five Top Picks

Founder, CEO, GSBR Research

Garvit Bhandari

Founder, CEO

Leading Provider of Equity and Investment Research

GSBR Research

We are an independent equity research provider focused on covering global markets. The aim of the research is to provide an unbiased view of the fundamentals of the company.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSM is upbeat on the AI demand and remains confident that the cycle has just begun with long a runway for growth ahead.</li>
<li>TSM's primary competitors, Intel and Samsung Electronics, are currently facing challenges within their foundry operations, placing TSM in a favorable position to expand its market share</li>
<li>The Company anticipates a strong closing for FY:24 and has guided for nearly 35% YOY revenue growth in Q4 2024. We believe the momentum will continue in 2024E-2026E.</li>
</ul>


TSM is upbeat on the AI demand and remains confident that the cycle has just begun with long a runway for growth ahead.
TSM's primary competitors, Intel and Samsung Electronics, are currently facing challenges within their foundry operations, placing TSM in a favorable position to expand its market share
The Company anticipates a strong closing for FY:24 and has guided for nearly 35% YOY revenue growth in Q4 2024. We believe the momentum will continue in 2024E-2026E.


2025 High Conviction - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (NYSE: TSM, TPE: 2330)

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

<ul>
<li>We anticipate Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) can achieve a 25% growth in 2025.  </li>
<li>It is unsurprising for TSMC to dominate in AI, including the assembly and testing segments.  </li>
<li>Chinese companies are also involved in AI, but there hasn't been a recent spread as a result of U.S. sanctions.  </li>
</ul>


We anticipate Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) can achieve a 25% growth in 2025.  
It is unsurprising for TSMC to dominate in AI, including the assembly and testing segments.  
Chinese companies are also involved in AI, but there hasn't been a recent spread as a result of U.S. sanctions.  


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2025 Could Achieve 25% Yearly Growth.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>Apple's 2nm Power Move with TSMC -- Beating Samsung Yet Again</li>
<li>Why TSMC's 2nm Will be Huge -- Extending Tech Lead vs. Samsung &amp; Major AI/Power Consumption Benefits for Customers</li>
<li>The Memory Decoupling Trade is Working -- Nanya Tech Underperforms SK Hynix</li>
</ul>


Apple's 2nm Power Move with TSMC -- Beating Samsung Yet Again
Why TSMC's 2nm Will be Huge -- Extending Tech Lead vs. Samsung &amp; Major AI/Power Consumption Benefits for Customers
The Memory Decoupling Trade is Working -- Nanya Tech Underperforms SK Hynix


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple’s TSMC 2nm Power Move Beats Samsung; Himax Ascends with TSMC/Nvidia Halos

<ul>
<li>TSMC: 22.7% Premium; Good Level to Short the Spread Given Historical Trading Range</li>
<li>UMC: +0.2% Premium; Middle of Historical Trading Range; Short Interest Rises to New High</li>
<li>CHT: +0.5% Premium; Major Spike in Short Interest for the Local Taiwan Shares</li>
</ul>


TSMC: 22.7% Premium; Good Level to Short the Spread Given Historical Trading Range
UMC: +0.2% Premium; Middle of Historical Trading Range; Short Interest Rises to New High
CHT: +0.5% Premium; Major Spike in Short Interest for the Local Taiwan Shares


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread at Short Level; UMC and CHT Short Interest Spikes

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)

Asian Equities: 2025 High Conviction – Five Themes, Five Top Picks

2025 may be tricky for Asian equity with "Trump turmoil", slower Fed, strong Dollar. AI boom would help. Ditto China's consumption focus & India's...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

2025 High Conviction - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (NYSE: TSM, TPE: 2330)

TSM is well positioned to ride the AI tailwind as competitors face challenges. Strong revenue growth expected for Q4 2024 and beyond.

GSBR Research

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2025 Could Achieve 25% Yearly Growth.

TSMC expected to achieve 25% growth by 2025, dominating in AI despite Chinese competition hindered by U.S. sanction actions.

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple’s TSMC 2nm Power Move Beats Samsung; Himax Ascends with TSMC/Nvidia Halos

Apple secures competitive edge with TSMC's 2nm tech. Why advanced packaging is the key competitive capability for tomorrow's chips; Himax is...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread at Short Level; UMC and CHT Short Interest Spikes

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

Asian Equities: 2025 High Conviction – Five Themes, Five Top Picks

​2025 may be tricky for Asian equity with "Trump turmoil", slower Fed, strong Dollar. AI boom would help. Ditto China's consumption focus & India's...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

2025 High Conviction - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (NYSE: TSM, TPE: 2330)

​TSM is well positioned to ride the AI tailwind as competitors face challenges. Strong revenue growth expected for Q4 2024 and beyond.

GSBR Research

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2025 Could Achieve 25% Yearly Growth.

​TSMC expected to achieve 25% growth by 2025, dominating in AI despite Chinese competition hindered by U.S. sanction actions.

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple’s TSMC 2nm Power Move Beats Samsung; Himax Ascends with TSMC/Nvidia Halos

​Apple secures competitive edge with TSMC's 2nm tech. Why advanced packaging is the key competitive capability for tomorrow's chips; Himax is...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread at Short Level; UMC and CHT Short Interest Spikes

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

2025 may be tricky for Asian equity with "Trump turmoil", slower Fed, strong Dollar. AI boom would help. Ditto China's consumption focus & India's...

TSM is well positioned to ride the AI tailwind as competitors face challenges. Strong revenue growth expected for Q4 2024 and beyond.

TSMC expected to achieve 25% growth by 2025, dominating in AI despite Chinese competition hindered by U.S. sanction actions.

Apple secures competitive edge with TSMC's 2nm tech. Why advanced packaging is the key competitive capability for tomorrow's chips; Himax is...