Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/far-east-hospitality-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19061" rel="noopener">Far East Hospitality Trust (FEHT SP)</a> 1Q22 Business Updates – Firing from all cylinders, recovery trade continues</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oxley-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1097" rel="noopener">Oxley Holdings (OHL SP)</a> to sell S$84m worth of Vietnamese assets</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aims-amp-capital-industrial" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:933" rel="noopener">AIMS APAC REIT (AAREIT SP)</a> extends target date of acquisition of 315 Alexandra Road</li></ul>

Far East Hospitality Trust (FEHT SP) 1Q22 Business Updates – Firing from all cylinders, recovery trade continuesOxley Holdings (OHL SP) to sell S$84m worth of Vietnamese assetsAIMS APAC REIT (AAREIT SP) extends target date of acquisition of 315 Alexandra Road

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (28Apr22) - FEHT Firing from All Cylinders

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

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For the 5 trading sessions that spanned Apr 1 to 7, the Straits Times Index (STI) declined 0.1 per cent, with the FTSE China A50 Index gaining 1.0 per cent, the Hang Seng Index declining 0.4 per cent and the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI adding 1.0 per cent.

Overall, institutions were net sellers over the 5 sessions with S$124 million of net outflow. DBS Group Holdings, UOB, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, OCBC, and Singapore Press Holdings led the net institutional outflows for the 5 sessions through to Apr 7.

Meanwhile, City Developments, Mapletree North Commercial Asia Trust, Singapore Exchange, Singapore Telecommunications and Sembcorp Industries received the highest net institutional inflows for the 5 sessions. This brings total net institutional inflows in the 2022 year to Apr 7 to S$1.0 billion. Share buybacks

There were 16 primary-listed stocks conducting share buybacks over the 5 sessions with a total consideration of S$13.2 million, up from S$11.9 million for the preceding week. OCBC, Hong Fok Corporation and Raffles Medical Group led the buyback consideration tally. The trio were also the 3 stocks which lodged the highest buyback consideration over the preceding 5 sessions.

OCBC paid an average price of S$12.34 per share, Hong Fok paid an average price of 88.1 cents per share, while Raffles Medical Group paid an average price of S$1.16 per share. As of Apr 7, Hong Fok had bought back 0.71 per cent of its shares (excluding treasury shares) on the current share buyback mandate.  Director and substantial shareholder transactions

The 5 trading sessions saw close to 90 changes to director interests and substantial shareholdings filed for more than 30 primary-listed stocks. This included 7 company director acquisitions with no disposals filed, while substantial shareholders filed 5 acquisitions and 4 disposals.

SinoCloud Group

On Apr 4, SinoCloud Group substantial shareholder Terence Joe Lam Cho Ying sold in aggregate 3,437,557,250 shares of the Catalist-listed company to Zhang Dai. Of the 3,437,557,250 shares, 2,209,952,100 shares were held directly by Lam and 1,227,605,150 shares were held by Alternus Capital, a company wholly-owned by Lam.

Dai increased his total interest in SinoCloud Group from 1.6 per cent to 23.3 per cent, while Lam reduced his total interest in the company from 27.0 per cent to 5.3 per cent.

SinoCloud announced on Apr 6, that the group had obtained continuing support from Lam and Alternus Capital, to enable the group to operate as a going concern and to meet its obligations as and when they fall due.

In view of this share disposal, the management of the company has also reached out to Zhang to engage in further discussions with him, in particular, whether he intends to furnish the financial support to the group. The company will provide updates to shareholders in due course, including but not limited to, the board's assessment of the going concern of the company.

Olam Group

On Apr 6, Olam Group non-executive and independent director Nihal Kaviratne acquired 152,800 shares of the company at S$1.77 per share and consideration of S$270,456. He maintains a 0.01 per cent direct interest in Olam Group. This followed his acquisition of 133,100 shares at S$1.79 per share on Mar 28.

Kaviratne was previously the chairman and CEO for the Unilever group across Asia, Europe and Latin America. His career with the Unilever Group spanned 40 years which also covered senior level management positions in sales, marketing, brand and strategic planning and development. Kaviratne is also a director of GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals and StarHub.

From March 15, Olam Group has replaced Olam International as the listed company. Olam Group directly holds Olam Food Ingredients, Olam Agri and Olam Global Holdco which owns Olam Ventures, and Olam Technology and Business Services as separate subsidiaries.

As maintained by the chairman non-executive and independent director, Lim Ah Doo, this structure allows the group to explore the sequential sale, spin-off or IPO of Olam Food Ingredients, Olam Agri and potentially the other businesses of the group.

Hong Fok Corporation

On Apr 1, Hong Fok Corporation executive director and joint-CEO Cheong Sim Eng acquired 80,000 shares of the listed company for a consideration of S$70,400 at an average price of 88.0 cents per share. He maintains a 20.08 per cent total interest in Hong Fok, gradually increasing his total interest in the property developer from 19.06 per cent as at the end of 2018.

His preceding acquisitions were on March 1, with 42,000 shares acquired at 74.0 cents per share and November 20, 2020, with 64,500 shares acquired at an average price of 70.7 cents per share.

Cheong is principally involved in the group's overall operations and management with greater emphasis in Singapore. He has over 37 years of experience in the property development business.

Hong Fok is an investment holding company whose subsidiaries are primarily engaged in property investment, property development and construction, property management, investment trading and investment holding and management. Despite the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic, the group returned to profitability in FY21 (ended Dec 31).

With tourism arrivals and tourism receipts remaining weak in 2021, revenue from the group's hotel investment property, YOTEL Singapore Orchard Road made only a small contribution to the group's revenue.

However, the group reported an uptick in sales revenue from its residential units in Concourse Skyline. This saw Hong Fok report an attributable net profit of S$38.9 million in FY21 compared to a loss of S$8.7 million in FY20.

Amos Group

Between Mar 30 and 31, Amos Group AMOS Group : 49B 0% executive chairman Kyle Shaw acquired 237,400 shares of the company at an average price of 19.9 cents per share. With a consideration of S$47,156, this increased his deemed interest in the company from 80.77 per cent to 80.90 per cent. This followed his acquisition of 465,000 shares of at an average price of 17.2 cents per share between Mar 28 and 29.

Shaw is the founder and managing partner of ShawKwei &amp; Partners, an international private equity fund manager investing in mid-market industrial and service businesses across Asia, the US, and Europe.

Huationg Global

On Mar 30, Huationg Global executive director and CEO, Patrick Ng Kian Ann acquired 200,000 shares of the Catalist-listed company at an average price of 9.7 cents per share. With a consideration of S$19,400, this increased his total interest in the company from 69.33 per cent to 69.44 per cent.

Ng has 20 years of experience in the civil engineering construction industry and is responsible for the overall management, strategic planning and oversees the business expansion of the group.

Huationg Global is principally engaged in the provision of civil engineering services for infrastructure projects and ancillary inland logistics support services.

On Mar 1, Huationg Global reported the group's FY21 (ended 31 Dec) revenue increased by approximately S$54.4 million or 47.0 per cent to S$170.4 million from S$116.0 million in FY20, mainly due to a higher level of business activities in its business segments after some easing measures from the Circuit Breaker.

The group is also involved in the sale of construction materials such as sand and granite aggregates, recycled concrete aggregate and liquefied soil stabiliser.

Hafary Holdings

On Mar 31, Hafary Holdings non-independent non-executive director Eric Low See Ching acquired 98,400 shares of the company at 19.0 cents per share. With a consideration of S$18,696, this further increased his direct interest in the company from 25.36 per cent to 25.38 per cent.

Mr Low was appointed as the non-independent non-executive director of Hafary Holdings in January 2014. Prior to this appointment, he served in the board as executive director and in the company as CEO. He joined the main subsidiary of the company, Hafary Pte Ltd, in 2000, and rose through the ranks from sales executive to CEO in 2005.

Low is also presently the executive director and deputy CEO of Oxley Holdings and an alternate director of Aspen (Group) Holdings.

Hafary Holdings is a leading building material supplier that has been defining living spaces with premium products. With over 5,000 products sourced from around the world, the group maintains it carries the largest collection of surfacing materials in Singapore.

One of the questions received in connection with the company's Annual Report 2021 pertained to whether the group had been affected by supply chain disruptions, particularly from shipping.

The group replied that as it sources its raw materials from various countries, some of its operations have been affected by such global supply change disruptions, and the group continues to monitor the situation and will make the appropriate announcements in the event that such disruptions are material. Inside Insights is a weekly column on The Business Times,<a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/hong-fok-continues-buybacks-as-joint-ceo-raises-stake-0"> read </a>the original version.
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    Share buyback


For the 5 trading sessions that spanned Apr 1 to 7, the Straits Times Index (STI) declined 0.1 per cent, with the FTSE China A50 Index gaining 1.0 per cent, the Hang Seng Index declining 0.4 per cent and the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI adding 1.0 per cent.

Overall, institutions were net sellers over the 5 sessions with S$124 million of net outflow. DBS Group Holdings, UOB, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, OCBC, and Singapore Press Holdings led the net institutional outflows for the 5 sessions through to Apr 7.

Meanwhile, City Developments, Mapletree North Commercial Asia Trust, Singapore Exchange, Singapore Telecommunications and Sembcorp Industries received the highest net institutional inflows for the 5 sessions. This brings total net institutional inflows in the 2022 year to Apr 7 to S$1.0 billion.  Share buybacks

There were 16 primary-listed stocks conducting share buybacks over the 5 sessions with a total consideration of S$13.2 million, up from S$11.9 million for the preceding week. OCBC, Hong Fok Corporation and Raffles Medical Group led the buyback consideration tally. The trio were also the 3 stocks which lodged the highest buyback consideration over the preceding 5 sessions.

OCBC paid an average price of S$12.34 per share, Hong Fok paid an average price of 88.1 cents per share, while Raffles Medical Group paid an average price of S$1.16 per share. As of Apr 7, Hong Fok had bought back 0.71 per cent of its shares (excluding treasury shares) on the current share buyback mandate.   Director and substantial shareholder transactions

The 5 trading sessions saw close to 90 changes to director interests and substantial shareholdings filed for more than 30 primary-listed stocks. This included 7 company director acquisitions with no disposals filed, while substantial shareholders filed 5 acquisitions and 4 disposals.

SinoCloud Group

On Apr 4, SinoCloud Group substantial shareholder Terence Joe Lam Cho Ying sold in aggregate 3,437,557,250 shares of the Catalist-listed company to Zhang Dai. Of the 3,437,557,250 shares, 2,209,952,100 shares were held directly by Lam and 1,227,605,150 shares were held by Alternus Capital, a company wholly-owned by Lam.

Dai increased his total interest in SinoCloud Group from 1.6 per cent to 23.3 per cent, while Lam reduced his total interest in the company from 27.0 per cent to 5.3 per cent.

SinoCloud announced on Apr 6, that the group had obtained continuing support from Lam and Alternus Capital, to enable the group to operate as a going concern and to meet its obligations as and when they fall due.

In view of this share disposal, the management of the company has also reached out to Zhang to engage in further discussions with him, in particular, whether he intends to furnish the financial support to the group. The company will provide updates to shareholders in due course, including but not limited to, the board's assessment of the going concern of the company.

Olam Group

On Apr 6, Olam Group non-executive and independent director Nihal Kaviratne acquired 152,800 shares of the company at S$1.77 per share and consideration of S$270,456. He maintains a 0.01 per cent direct interest in Olam Group. This followed his acquisition of 133,100 shares at S$1.79 per share on Mar 28.

Kaviratne was previously the chairman and CEO for the Unilever group across Asia, Europe and Latin America. His career with the Unilever Group spanned 40 years which also covered senior level management positions in sales, marketing, brand and strategic planning and development. Kaviratne is also a director of GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals and StarHub.

From March 15, Olam Group has replaced Olam International as the listed company. Olam Group directly holds Olam Food Ingredients, Olam Agri and Olam Global Holdco which owns Olam Ventures, and Olam Technology and Business Services as separate subsidiaries.

As maintained by the chairman non-executive and independent director, Lim Ah Doo, this structure allows the group to explore the sequential sale, spin-off or IPO of Olam Food Ingredients, Olam Agri and potentially the other businesses of the group.

Hong Fok Corporation

On Apr 1, Hong Fok Corporation executive director and joint-CEO Cheong Sim Eng acquired 80,000 shares of the listed company for a consideration of S$70,400 at an average price of 88.0 cents per share. He maintains a 20.08 per cent total interest in Hong Fok, gradually increasing his total interest in the property developer from 19.06 per cent as at the end of 2018.

His preceding acquisitions were on March 1, with 42,000 shares acquired at 74.0 cents per share and November 20, 2020, with 64,500 shares acquired at an average price of 70.7 cents per share.

Cheong is principally involved in the group's overall operations and management with greater emphasis in Singapore. He has over 37 years of experience in the property development business.

Hong Fok is an investment holding company whose subsidiaries are primarily engaged in property investment, property development and construction, property management, investment trading and investment holding and management. Despite the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic, the group returned to profitability in FY21 (ended Dec 31).

With tourism arrivals and tourism receipts remaining weak in 2021, revenue from the group's hotel investment property, YOTEL Singapore Orchard Road made only a small contribution to the group's revenue.

However, the group reported an uptick in sales revenue from its residential units in Concourse Skyline. This saw Hong Fok report an attributable net profit of S$38.9 million in FY21 compared to a loss of S$8.7 million in FY20.

Amos Group

Between Mar 30 and 31, Amos Group AMOS Group : 49B 0% executive chairman Kyle Shaw acquired 237,400 shares of the company at an average price of 19.9 cents per share. With a consideration of S$47,156, this increased his deemed interest in the company from 80.77 per cent to 80.90 per cent. This followed his acquisition of 465,000 shares of at an average price of 17.2 cents per share between Mar 28 and 29.

Shaw is the founder and managing partner of ShawKwei &amp; Partners, an international private equity fund manager investing in mid-market industrial and service businesses across Asia, the US, and Europe.

Huationg Global

On Mar 30, Huationg Global executive director and CEO, Patrick Ng Kian Ann acquired 200,000 shares of the Catalist-listed company at an average price of 9.7 cents per share. With a consideration of S$19,400, this increased his total interest in the company from 69.33 per cent to 69.44 per cent.

Ng has 20 years of experience in the civil engineering construction industry and is responsible for the overall management, strategic planning and oversees the business expansion of the group.

Huationg Global is principally engaged in the provision of civil engineering services for infrastructure projects and ancillary inland logistics support services.

On Mar 1, Huationg Global reported the group's FY21 (ended 31 Dec) revenue increased by approximately S$54.4 million or 47.0 per cent to S$170.4 million from S$116.0 million in FY20, mainly due to a higher level of business activities in its business segments after some easing measures from the Circuit Breaker.

The group is also involved in the sale of construction materials such as sand and granite aggregates, recycled concrete aggregate and liquefied soil stabiliser.

Hafary Holdings

On Mar 31, Hafary Holdings non-independent non-executive director Eric Low See Ching acquired 98,400 shares of the company at 19.0 cents per share. With a consideration of S$18,696, this further increased his direct interest in the company from 25.36 per cent to 25.38 per cent.

Mr Low was appointed as the non-independent non-executive director of Hafary Holdings in January 2014. Prior to this appointment, he served in the board as executive director and in the company as CEO. He joined the main subsidiary of the company, Hafary Pte Ltd, in 2000, and rose through the ranks from sales executive to CEO in 2005.

Low is also presently the executive director and deputy CEO of Oxley Holdings and an alternate director of Aspen (Group) Holdings.

Hafary Holdings is a leading building material supplier that has been defining living spaces with premium products. With over 5,000 products sourced from around the world, the group maintains it carries the largest collection of surfacing materials in Singapore.

One of the questions received in connection with the company's Annual Report 2021 pertained to whether the group had been affected by supply chain disruptions, particularly from shipping.

The group replied that as it sources its raw materials from various countries, some of its operations have been affected by such global supply change disruptions, and the group continues to monitor the situation and will make the appropriate announcements in the event that such disruptions are material.  Inside Insights is a weekly column on The Business Times, read the original version.



Hong Fok continues buybacks as joint-CEO raises stake

Bukit Sembawang Estates / Equity Bottom-Up

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<ul>
<li>
January ’22 private home sales +3.5% MoM and was highest level of Jan month sales since 2014 (with exception of 2021). This built on the record 2021 sales, which was the highest in 8 years. 
	 </li>
	<li>
While the sector has posted c. 3% YTD and rallied c. 29% off the lows seen in March ’20 (start of COVID-19 pandemic), it is still c . 23% below the last peak seen in 2018. Sector’s P/B are currently -1 S.D. below the historical mean. 
	 </li>
	<li>The most actively traded real estate stocks with Singapore property exposure average YTD total return is relatively flattish, as compared to the STI’s +10%. City Developments (+7.8%), UOL (+3.0%), and Ho Bee Land (+2.2%) posted the highest YTD total returns amongst this group. 7 of the 10 stocks with are currently trading below their 5-year historical average P/B ratios.</li>
</ul>
 

Jan ’22 Private Home Sales +3.5%and Above Historical Jan Month Sales in 2014-2020 
According to data from Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA), Singapore saw sale of 673 new private homes excl. executive condominiums (ECs) (+3.5% MoM, -58.8% YoY) in Jan ’22 and represented the highest level of Jan sales in 2014-2020. Private homes sales in the month was largely in the Rest of Central Region (RCR) and Outside Central Region (OCR). New private home sales in 2021 was at over 13,000 units and represented the highest number since 2013. Prices in 2021 posted a 10.6% YoY gain, which was the highest since 2010. 
To recap, on 15 December, the Government announced a package of measures to cool the private homes and HDB resale markets where additional buyer’s stamp duty (ABSD) rates were raised and total debt servicing ratio (TDSR) threshold and HDB LTV limit for loans were tightened. 
In the recently announced Budget 2022, residential properties marginal property tax rates will be raised in two steps starting with the tax payable in 2023. The rates from 2024 are:

<ul>
<li>
Non-owner-occupied residential properties (inc. investment properties) will see property tax rates increased to 12-36% (vs. current 10-20%).</li>
	<li>Concurrently, property tax rates for owner-occupied homes for portion of annual value in excess of S$30,000 will also be raised to a range of 6-32% (vs. 4-16% currently).</li>
</ul>
 Real Estate Developers &amp; Operators Sector +3% YTD but still 23% Below 2018 Peak 
Looking at the sector performance, the iEdge SG Real Estate Developers &amp; Operators Index has posted c. 3% price gains in the YTD, and c. +29% off the lows in March ’20 (at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic). The index is still c. 23% below the last peak seen in 2018. 
The iEdge SG Real Estate Developers &amp; Operators Index is a free-float, market capitalization-weighted index that measures the performance of listed real estate developers and operators in Singapore.
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<html><body>Sector P/B Trading -1 S.D. Below Mean 
The sector’s P/B ratio is at 0.44x (vs. historical mean of 0.59x) and also -1 S.D. below the historical mean. This is close to the level last seen during the start of the pandemic in March ’20, where there was a broad-based market correction and well below the levels see in 2017.</body></html>

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 <img src='https://api2.sgx.com/sites/default/files/2022-02/Capture_14.PNG' alt='iEdge SG Real Estate Developers' />
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 <div class='content-caption'>iEdge SG Real Estate Developers</div>
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Most Actively-Traded SGX Stocks with Singapore Real Estate Exposure 
The top actively traded SGX listed stocks with Singapore real estate exposure posted a YTD total returns of -0.4%, which compares with the STI’s +10%. City Developments (+7.8%), UOL (+3.0%), and Ho Bee Land (+2.2%) posted the highest YTD total returns amongst this group. City Developments will report its FY21 results before the open on 25 Feb, UOL will report its CY21 results on 28 Feb, and Ho Bee Land will report after the 28 Feb close.  
These names have an average dividend yield of 2.7% with an average 0.6x P/B ratio. Of the 10 names with 5-year trading history, 7 of them currently have P/B ratios that are below 5-year P/B averages.

<table class="table table-striped"><tbody>
<tr>
<td>
			Stock Name 
			</td>
			<td>
			Code
			</td>
			<td>
			Mkt Cap S$M
			</td>
			<td>
			5Y Avg. P/B
			</td>
			<td>
			P/B
			</td>
			<td>
			Div Yield (%)
			</td>
			<td>
			2022 YTD Total Return 

			%
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			City Developments
			</td>
			<td>
			C09
			</td>
			<td>
			6,657
			</td>
			<td>
			0.9
			</td>
			<td>
			0.8
			</td>
			<td>
			1.1
			</td>
			<td>
			7.8
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			UOL Group
			</td>
			<td>
			U14
			</td>
			<td>
			6,164
			</td>
			<td>
			0.7
			</td>
			<td>
			0.6
			</td>
			<td>
			2.1
			</td>
			<td>
			3.0
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			Frasers Property
			</td>
			<td>
			TQ5
			</td>
			<td>
			4,358
			</td>
			<td>
			0.6
			</td>
			<td>
			0.5
			</td>
			<td>
			1.8
			</td>
			<td>
			-0.9
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			Ho Bee Land
			</td>
			<td>
			H13
			</td>
			<td>
			1,892
			</td>
			<td>
			0.5
			</td>
			<td>
			0.5
			</td>
			<td>
			3.5
			</td>
			<td>
			2.2
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			GuocoLand
			</td>
			<td>
			F17
			</td>
			<td>
			1,810
			</td>
			<td>
			0.5
			</td>
			<td>
			0.4
			</td>
			<td>
			4.0
			</td>
			<td>
			1.3
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			Wing Tai Holdings
			</td>
			<td>
			W05
			</td>
			<td>
			1,367
			</td>
			<td>
			0.4
			</td>
			<td>
			0.4
			</td>
			<td>
			1.7
			</td>
			<td>
			0.0
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			Bukit Sembawang
			</td>
			<td>
			B61
			</td>
			<td>
			1,292
			</td>
			<td>
			1.0
			</td>
			<td>
			0.9
			</td>
			<td>
			0.8
			</td>
			<td>
			-0.4
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			OUE
			</td>
			<td>
			LJ3
			</td>
			<td>
			1,150
			</td>
			<td>
			0.4
			</td>
			<td>
			0.3
			</td>
			<td>
			1.5
			</td>
			<td>
			-2.9
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			Oxley Holdings
			</td>
			<td>
			5UX
			</td>
			<td>
			759
			</td>
			<td>
			1.1
			</td>
			<td>
			0.8
			</td>
			<td>
			1.4
			</td>
			<td>
			-4.8
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			PropNex
			</td>
			<td>
			OYY
			</td>
			<td>
			629
			</td>
			<td>
			N.A.
			</td>
			<td>
			6.6
			</td>
			<td>
			5.6
			</td>
			<td>
			0.6
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			Tuan Sing Holdings
			</td>
			<td>
			T24
			</td>
			<td>
			547
			</td>
			<td>
			0.4
			</td>
			<td>
			0.4
			</td>
			<td>
			1.3
			</td>
			<td>
			0.0
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			APAC Realty
			</td>
			<td>
			CLN
			</td>
			<td>
			229
			</td>
			<td>
			N.A.
			</td>
			<td>
			1.4
			</td>
			<td>
			8.1
			</td>
			<td>
			-10.4
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			Average
			</td>
			<td>
			 
			</td>
			<td>
			 
			</td>
			<td>
			 
			</td>
			<td>
			 
			</td>
			<td>
			                          2.7
			</td>
			<td>
			-0.4
			</td>
		</tr>
</tbody></table>
 Source: SGX, Refinitiv, Bloomberg (Data as of 18 February 2022).
</body></html>





January ’22 private home sales +3.5% MoM and was highest level of Jan month sales since 2014 (with exception of 2021). This built on the record 2021 sales, which was the highest in 8 years. 
	 
	
While the sector has posted c. 3% YTD and rallied c. 29% off the lows seen in March ’20 (start of COVID-19 pandemic), it is still c . 23% below the last peak seen in 2018. Sector’s P/B are currently -1 S.D. below the historical mean. 
	 
	The most actively traded real estate stocks with Singapore property exposure average YTD total return is relatively flattish, as compared to the STI’s +10%. City Developments (+7.8%), UOL (+3.0%), and Ho Bee Land (+2.2%) posted the highest YTD total returns amongst this group. 7 of the 10 stocks with are currently trading below their 5-year historical average P/B ratios.

 

Jan ’22 Private Home Sales +3.5%and Above Historical Jan Month Sales in 2014-2020  
According to data from Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA), Singapore saw sale of 673 new private homes excl. executive condominiums (ECs) (+3.5% MoM, -58.8% YoY) in Jan ’22 and represented the highest level of Jan sales in 2014-2020. Private homes sales in the month was largely in the Rest of Central Region (RCR) and Outside Central Region (OCR). New private home sales in 2021 was at over 13,000 units and represented the highest number since 2013. Prices in 2021 posted a 10.6% YoY gain, which was the highest since 2010.  
To recap, on 15 December, the Government announced a package of measures to cool the private homes and HDB resale markets where additional buyer’s stamp duty (ABSD) rates were raised and total debt servicing ratio (TDSR) threshold and HDB LTV limit for loans were tightened.  
In the recently announced Budget 2022, residential properties marginal property tax rates will be raised in two steps starting with the tax payable in 2023. The rates from 2024 are:



Non-owner-occupied residential properties (inc. investment properties) will see property tax rates increased to 12-36% (vs. current 10-20%).
	Concurrently, property tax rates for owner-occupied homes for portion of annual value in excess of S$30,000 will also be raised to a range of 6-32% (vs. 4-16% currently).

  Real Estate Developers &amp; Operators Sector +3% YTD but still 23% Below 2018 Peak  
Looking at the sector performance, the iEdge SG Real Estate Developers &amp; Operators Index has posted c. 3% price gains in the YTD, and c. +29% off the lows in March ’20 (at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic). The index is still c. 23% below the last peak seen in 2018.  
The iEdge SG Real Estate Developers &amp; Operators Index is a free-float, market capitalization-weighted index that measures the performance of listed real estate developers and operators in Singapore.



      
    
    iEdge SG Real Estate Developers

Sector P/B Trading -1 S.D. Below Mean  
The sector’s P/B ratio is at 0.44x (vs. historical mean of 0.59x) and also -1 S.D. below the historical mean. This is close to the level last seen during the start of the pandemic in March ’20, where there was a broad-based market correction and well below the levels see in 2017.


      
    
    iEdge SG Real Estate Developers


Most Actively-Traded SGX Stocks with Singapore Real Estate Exposure  
The top actively traded SGX listed stocks with Singapore real estate exposure posted a YTD total returns of -0.4%, which compares with the STI’s +10%. City Developments (+7.8%), UOL (+3.0%), and Ho Bee Land (+2.2%) posted the highest YTD total returns amongst this group. City Developments will report its FY21 results before the open on 25 Feb, UOL will report its CY21 results on 28 Feb, and Ho Bee Land will report after the 28 Feb close.   
These names have an average dividend yield of 2.7% with an average 0.6x P/B ratio. Of the 10 names with 5-year trading history, 7 of them currently have P/B ratios that are below 5-year P/B averages.




			Stock Name 
			
			
			Code
			
			
			Mkt Cap S$M
			
			
			5Y Avg. P/B
			
			
			P/B
			
			
			Div Yield (%)
			
			
			2022 YTD Total Return 

			%
			
		


			City Developments
			
			
			C09
			
			
			6,657
			
			
			0.9
			
			
			0.8
			
			
			1.1
			
			
			7.8
			
		


			UOL Group
			
			
			U14
			
			
			6,164
			
			
			0.7
			
			
			0.6
			
			
			2.1
			
			
			3.0
			
		


			Frasers Property
			
			
			TQ5
			
			
			4,358
			
			
			0.6
			
			
			0.5
			
			
			1.8
			
			
			-0.9
			
		


			Ho Bee Land
			
			
			H13
			
			
			1,892
			
			
			0.5
			
			
			0.5
			
			
			3.5
			
			
			2.2
			
		


			GuocoLand
			
			
			F17
			
			
			1,810
			
			
			0.5
			
			
			0.4
			
			
			4.0
			
			
			1.3
			
		


			Wing Tai Holdings
			
			
			W05
			
			
			1,367
			
			
			0.4
			
			
			0.4
			
			
			1.7
			
			
			0.0
			
		


			Bukit Sembawang
			
			
			B61
			
			
			1,292
			
			
			1.0
			
			
			0.9
			
			
			0.8
			
			
			-0.4
			
		


			OUE
			
			
			LJ3
			
			
			1,150
			
			
			0.4
			
			
			0.3
			
			
			1.5
			
			
			-2.9
			
		


			Oxley Holdings
			
			
			5UX
			
			
			759
			
			
			1.1
			
			
			0.8
			
			
			1.4
			
			
			-4.8
			
		


			PropNex
			
			
			OYY
			
			
			629
			
			
			N.A.
			
			
			6.6
			
			
			5.6
			
			
			0.6
			
		


			Tuan Sing Holdings
			
			
			T24
			
			
			547
			
			
			0.4
			
			
			0.4
			
			
			1.3
			
			
			0.0
			
		


			APAC Realty
			
			
			CLN
			
			
			229
			
			
			N.A.
			
			
			1.4
			
			
			8.1
			
			
			-10.4
			
		


			Average
			
			
			 
			
			
			 
			
			
			 
			
			
			 
			
			
			                          2.7
			
			
			-0.4
			
		

 Source: SGX, Refinitiv, Bloomberg (Data as of 18 February 2022).



SG Real Estate Sector Valuation Below Historical Mean Amidst Resilient Private Home Sales

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daiwa-house-logistics-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35020" rel="noopener">Daiwa House Logistics Trust (DHLT SP)</a> 4Q21 business updates (26Nov-31Dec21) – Initial results are inline with forecasts</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-real-estate-investment-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15848" rel="noopener">First REIT (FIRT SP)</a> 2H21 DPU fell 29.2% YoY; Gradual improvements post completion of restructuring exercises</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oxley-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1097" rel="noopener">Oxley Holdings (OHL SP)</a> 1H22 PATMI -18% YoY; Gearing under control, projects progressing well</li></ul>

Daiwa House Logistics Trust (DHLT SP) 4Q21 business updates (26Nov-31Dec21) – Initial results are inline with forecastsFirst REIT (FIRT SP) 2H21 DPU fell 29.2% YoY; Gradual improvements post completion of restructuring exercisesOxley Holdings (OHL SP) 1H22 PATMI -18% YoY; Gearing under control, projects progressing well

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (11Feb22) - DHLT Initial Results Inline

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oxley-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1097" rel="noopener">Oxley Holdings (OHL SP)</a> has sold ~95% of its Singapore residential units</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singhaiyi-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19307" rel="noopener">Singhaiyi (SHG SP)</a> plans to delist from SGX - As at 16Dec21, the total number of Offer Shares owned, controlled or agreed to be acquired by Haiyi Treasure Ltd amounted to an aggregate of 4,035m Offer Shares, representing approximately 95.81% of the total number of issued Offer Shares</li><li>Bukit Timah condo Perfect Ten offers 5% discount during cooling measures</li></ul>

Oxley Holdings (OHL SP) has sold ~95% of its Singapore residential unitsSinghaiyi (SHG SP) plans to delist from SGX - As at 16Dec21, the total number of Offer Shares owned, controlled or agreed to be acquired by Haiyi Treasure Ltd amounted to an aggregate of 4,035m Offer Shares, representing approximately 95.81% of the total number of issued Offer SharesBukit Timah condo Perfect Ten offers 5% discount during cooling measures

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (17Dec21) - OHL Sold ~95% of SG Resi Units

Singapore

Oxley Holdings Ltd. develops real estate. The Company develops residential and commercial projects in accessible locations. Oxley also develops light industrial buildings that include swimming pools and other recreational amenities.

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Oxley Holdings (OHL SP)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (28Apr22) - FEHT Firing from All Cylinders

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SCCM Asia Research

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Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

SG Real Estate Sector Valuation Below Historical Mean Amidst Resilient Private Home Sales

January ’22 private home sales +3.5% MoM and was highest level of Jan month sales since 2014 (with exception of 2021). This built on the record...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (11Feb22) - DHLT Initial Results Inline

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ASEAN Builder's Scoop (17Dec21) - OHL Sold ~95% of SG Resi Units

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SCCM Asia Research

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