Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This insight comes as one-half of a pair. The problem: I cannot label one insight as a pair trade, and there are different dynamics at play.</li>
<li>This insight discusses the dynamics of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a> as the SMM takeover of Keppel O&amp;M nears. The deal goes effective 28 February but KEP trades ex- on 23 February.</li>
<li>While not as egregiously mis-priced as SCI vs SMM in autumn 2021, NEW KEPPEL appears under-priced here. </li>
</ul>


This insight comes as one-half of a pair. The problem: I cannot label one insight as a pair trade, and there are different dynamics at play.
This insight discusses the dynamics of Keppel Corp (KEP SP) as the SMM takeover of Keppel O&amp;M nears. The deal goes effective 28 February but KEP trades ex- on 23 February.
While not as egregiously mis-priced as SCI vs SMM in autumn 2021, NEW KEPPEL appears under-priced here. 


Keppel Goes Ex- SMM Spinoff This Week - NEWKEP Is Still A Buy

<ul>
<li>This insight comes as one-half of a pair. The problem: I cannot label one insight as a pair trade, and there are different dynamics at play.</li>
<li>This insight discusses the dynamics of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-marine-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP)</a> as the takeover of Keppel O&amp;M nears. The deal goes effective 28 February after last week's SMM shareholder approval.</li>
<li>That will mean overhang. Lots of active overhang. There WILL be some index upweights, but index treatment remains nebulous, and one has to expect a lot more net index outflow.</li>
</ul>


This insight comes as one-half of a pair. The problem: I cannot label one insight as a pair trade, and there are different dynamics at play.
This insight discusses the dynamics of Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP) as the takeover of Keppel O&amp;M nears. The deal goes effective 28 February after last week's SMM shareholder approval.
That will mean overhang. Lots of active overhang. There WILL be some index upweights, but index treatment remains nebulous, and one has to expect a lot more net index outflow.


Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP):  Keppel O&M Takeover Completion Next Week = OOF!

<ul>
<li>After 18mos of hints, and two rights recapitalisations at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-marine-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP)</a>, SMM and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a> announced a deal to merge their O&amp;M businesses at end-April.</li>
<li>Keppel shareholders would receive ~18 shares of SMM per share of Keppel owned, Keppel spins out the equity of its legacy rig assets and leaves the O&amp;M biz clean.</li>
<li>The structure announced lets us examine "forward KEP", and anticipate interest and valuations post-spin, which is "supposed to" happen in Q4. We're in Q4 now, and Keppel is interesting here.</li>
</ul>


After 18mos of hints, and two rights recapitalisations at Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP), SMM and Keppel Corp (KEP SP) announced a deal to merge their O&amp;M businesses at end-April.
Keppel shareholders would receive ~18 shares of SMM per share of Keppel owned, Keppel spins out the equity of its legacy rig assets and leaves the O&amp;M biz clean.
The structure announced lets us examine "forward KEP", and anticipate interest and valuations post-spin, which is "supposed to" happen in Q4. We're in Q4 now, and Keppel is interesting here.


CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Six stocks remain, and eight stocks added to the portfolio</li>
<li>Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 184% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 24%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: Six stocks remain, and eight stocks added to the portfolio
Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 184% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 24%


<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine new join the fray</li>
<li>Since inception, the portfolio has gained 172% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 18%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine new join the fray
Since inception, the portfolio has gained 172% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 18%


Singapore

Keppel Corporation Limited's core businesses are offshore and marine, infrastructure, property investment and development, telecommunications and transportation, energy, and engineering.

Jardine Matheson Holdings Limited is a multinational enterprise with a portfolio of businesses focused on the Asia-Pacific region. The Group's activities include financial services, supermarkets, consumer marketing, engineering and construction, automobile trading, insurance broking, property investment, and hotels.

Gallant Venture Ltd is an investment holding company. The Company owns and operates industrial parks, supplies telecommunications services, electricity and water and wastewater management services, operates resorts and hotels, and develops real estate.

Bonvests Holdings Limited is an investment holding company whose subsidiaries develop real estate and operate waste collection and disposal, and contract cleaning.  The Company also develops and operates hotels locally and overseas, as well as operates food and beverage restaurants.  Bonvests Holdings trades securities and rents properties.

Seatrium Ltd offers engineering solutions for the offshore, marine, and energy industries. The Company provides rigs and floaters, repairs and upgrades, offshore platforms, and specialized shipbuilding. Seatrium serves customers worldwide.

Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (Holdings) Limited builds a wide range of ships. The Company produces a wide range of commercial vessels, mini bulk carriers, multi-purpose cargo vessels, containerships, chemical tankers, offshore supply vessels, rescue and salvage vessels, and lifting vessels.

ST Engineering is a global technology, defence and engineering group with offices across Asia, Europe, the Middle East and the U.S., serving customers in more than 100 countries. The Group uses technology and innovation to solve real-world problems and improve lives through its diverse portfolio of businesses across the aerospace, smart city, defence and public security segments. Headquartered in Singapore, ST Engineering reported revenue of $7.9b in FY2019 and it ranks among the largest companies listed on the Singapore Exchange. It is a component stock of the FTSE Straits Times Index, MSCI Singapore, iEdge SG ESG Transparency Index and iEdge SG ESG Leaders Index.

BRC Asia Limited designs, manufactures, and markets steel mesh under the BRC brand name.  The Company's products include non-standard and customized mesh, a wide range of prefabricated products including beam and column cages, complete prefabricated beam and column reinforcement, staggered mesh, twin wire mesh, and pile cap cages.

Frencken Group Limited designs, develops, and produces complex and advanced modules and systems, based on precision mechanics, hardware and software.

Chip Eng Seng Corporation Limited specializes in building construction activities in the private and public sector.  The Company also owns, develops, and invests in properties.

Seibu Holdings Inc. offers diversified operation. The Company through its subsidiary companies operates transportation, construction, hotel, leisure facilities, and real estate business. Seibu Holdings provides group enterprises strategy planning, operation management, asset management and supply, and business promotions.

Far Eastern New Century Corporation manufactures, processes and markets textile products.  The Company's products include polyester materials, natural and synthetic yarns,fabrics, towels, bed sheets, and woven and knitted garments. Throughits subsidiary companies, Far Eastern sells cellular phones and accessories.

DCC PLC is a sales, marketing, distribution and business support services Group. The Group operates in the following sectors; energy, IT & entertainment products, healthcare, environmental services and food & beverage. DCC's strategy is to grow a sustainable, diversified business.

Smiths Group plc is a global technology company.  The company delivers products and services for the threat & contraband detection, medical devices, energy and communications market worldwide.

The Bidvest Group Limited is the holding company for a group of companies operating in a range of sectors. Subsidiaries manufacture and distribute food and allied products to the catering industry, as well as packaging, stapling, fastening and adhesive tapes, office products, cosmetics, toiletries and skin care products. Bidvest also provides laundering services.

Turkiye Sise ve Cam Fabrikalari AS (Sisecam)  manufactures glass.  The Company produces flat glass, bottles, household glassware, glass wire, chromium chemicals, glass fibre, and glass reinforced plastics.  Sisecam also offers packaging materials and machinery, composites and marketing, chemicals, trade, insurance and brokerage services.

Mytilineos Holdings S.A. is an industrial group and an independent energy producer. The Company's activities include aluminum and base metals production, energy and infrastructure projects construction, production of thermal power and supply and trade of natural gas.

Enka Insaat ve Sanayi AS provides construction and construction related services worldwide. The Company builds infrastructure, commercial projects and factories. The manufacturing subsidiaries produce construction materials, steel pipes, windows and hand tools. The Group also imports and distributes industrial machinery in Turkey.

Icahn Enterprises L.P., a master limited partnership, is a diversified holding company engaged in nine primary business segments: Automotive, Investment, Energy, Gaming, Railcar, Food Packaging, Metals, Real Estate and Home Fashion.

Beijing Enterprises Holdings Ltd. is a diversified company.  The Company brews beer; distributes natural gas through pipelines; invests in, designs, constructs and operates water supply and wastewater treatment plants; operates toll roads; disposes of hazardous waste; and offers electronic payment systems.

Sembcorp Industries Ltd provides utilities and integrated services for industrial sites such as power, gas, steam, water, wastewater treatment and other on-site services. The Company's businesses also include marine & offshore engineering and urban development comprising industrial parks and business, commercial and residential spaces.

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Sembcorp Industries (SCI SP)

Keppel Goes Ex- SMM Spinoff This Week - NEWKEP Is Still A Buy

Keppel Corp today = NEW KEP and 19.1 shares of SMM. NEWKEP is probably underpriced. SMM is a sell because of significant overhang (there may be a...

Travis Lundy

Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP): Keppel O&M Takeover Completion Next Week = OOF!

Sembcorp Marine shareholders have agreed to acquire Keppel O&M. The transaction closes next week (28 Feb). KEP shareholders get SMM shares in their...

Travis Lundy

Keppel O&M Spin-Off Approaching Quickly

The Keppel O&M - Sembcorp Marine deal announced 28 April was expected to be completed in Q4. That means a Circular should come any time. Earnings...

Travis Lundy

The Stocks to Own in ASEAN – Vol. 40

We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Six stocks remain, and eight stocks...

A. Stotz Investment Research

The Stocks to Own in ASEAN – Vol. 39

We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, and nine new join...

A. Stotz Investment Research

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