Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmont-mining-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14503:1" rel="noopener">Newmont Mining (NEM US)</a> has made an indicative, non-binding and conditional proposal to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newcrest-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:691:1" rel="noopener">Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)</a>. The exchange ratio is 0.38 Newmont shares for each Newcrest share.</li>
<li>At <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmont-mining-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14503:1" rel="noopener">Newmont Mining (NEM US)</a>'s last close, this values <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newcrest-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:691:1" rel="noopener">Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)</a> at A$27.4/share and at an equity value of A$17.3bn, a 22% premium to the last close.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmont-mining-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14503:1" rel="noopener">Newmont Mining (NEM US)</a> intends to list CDIs on the ASX following the acquisition and that will have implications for changes in the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices.</li>
</ul>



Newmont Mining (NEM US) has made an indicative, non-binding and conditional proposal to acquire Newcrest Mining (NCM AU). The exchange ratio is 0.38 Newmont shares for each Newcrest share.
At Newmont Mining (NEM US)'s last close, this values Newcrest Mining (NCM AU) at A$27.4/share and at an equity value of A$17.3bn, a 22% premium to the last close.

Newmont Mining (NEM US) intends to list CDIs on the ASX following the acquisition and that will have implications for changes in the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices.


Newmont's Indicative Offer for Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)

<ul>
<li>We currently see 1 change for the ASX20, 2 for the ASX100, 4 changes for the ASX 200 and 9 adds/ 6 deletes for the ASX300 Index in March.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to trade over 3 days of ADV on 13 stocks, over 5 days of ADV on 9 stocks and over 10x ADV on 4 stocks. </li>
<li>Shorts have been covering positions on stocks where there are expected to be passive inflows and increasing positions on stocks that are expected to have passive outflows.</li>
</ul>


We currently see 1 change for the ASX20, 2 for the ASX100, 4 changes for the ASX 200 and 9 adds/ 6 deletes for the ASX300 Index in March.
Passive trackers will need to trade over 3 days of ADV on 13 stocks, over 5 days of ADV on 9 stocks and over 10x ADV on 4 stocks. 
Shorts have been covering positions on stocks where there are expected to be passive inflows and increasing positions on stocks that are expected to have passive outflows.


S&P/​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: High Impact Changes in March

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for S&amp;P ASX 20, 50, 100, 200, 300 in the run up to the March 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>I expect there to be one, two, and four changes, respectively, for the ASX 20, ASX 100, and ASX 200 indices in the March 2023 Rebalance. </li>
<li>For ASX 300, there could be 14 ADDs and 12 DELs in the March 2023 Rebalance including some high impact names based on days-to-trade.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for S&amp;P ASX 20, 50, 100, 200, 300 in the run up to the March 2023 Rebalance.
I expect there to be one, two, and four changes, respectively, for the ASX 20, ASX 100, and ASX 200 indices in the March 2023 Rebalance. 
For ASX 300, there could be 14 ADDs and 12 DELs in the March 2023 Rebalance including some high impact names based on days-to-trade.


Quiddity Leaderboard-S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Mar 23: Multiple Names with Decent Impact

Temple & Webster Group Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) structure updates will lead to changes to the S&amp;P/ASX All Technology Index at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>To better reflect the GICS changes and reduce constituent turnover, S&amp;P DJI has proposed changes to the index universe for constituent selection.</li>
<li>We expect there will be 4 deletions from the index in March, but that could increase to 10 if the changes are not adopted.</li>
</ul>


Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) structure updates will lead to changes to the S&amp;P/ASX All Technology Index at the March rebalance.
To better reflect the GICS changes and reduce constituent turnover, S&amp;P DJI has proposed changes to the index universe for constituent selection.
We expect there will be 4 deletions from the index in March, but that could increase to 10 if the changes are not adopted.


S&P/ASX All Technology Index: GICS Changes, Market Consultation & Potential Index Changes

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for S&amp;P ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run up to the March 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pendal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15795:1" rel="noopener">Pendal Group (PDL AU)</a>'s deletion is expected in early-January 2023 and this could trigger an intra-review addition to the ASX 200 index. </li>
<li>I expect there to be one, two, and four changes, respectively, for the ASX 20, ASX 100, and ASX 200 indices in the March 2023 Rebalance. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for S&amp;P ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run up to the March 2023 Rebalance.

Pendal Group (PDL AU)'s deletion is expected in early-January 2023 and this could trigger an intra-review addition to the ASX 200 index. 
I expect there to be one, two, and four changes, respectively, for the ASX 20, ASX 100, and ASX 200 indices in the March 2023 Rebalance. 


S&P/​​​​​​​​ASX Quiddity Leaderboard Mar 23: Index Changes Galore

Australia

Technology One Limited is an Australian-based company that is engaged in the development, marketing, sales, implementation, support, and distribution of financial management and enterprise software solutions. The Company has operations in New Zealand, the United Kingdom, the South Pacific, and Malaysia.

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Technology One (TNE AU)

Newmont's Indicative Offer for Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)

Newmont is looking to acquire Newcrest Mining at an exchange ratio of 0.38 NEM shares per NCM share. That is a 22% premium for NCM. NEM intends to...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: High Impact Changes in March

We currently see 1 change for the ASX20, 2 for the ASX100, 4 changes for the ASX 200 and 9 adds/ 6 deletes for the ASX300 Index in March. Lots of...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard-S&P/ASX Mar 23: Multiple Names with Decent Impact

I expect there to be 40 names involved in the March 2023 Rebalance collectively for the ASX 20, 50, 200, and 300 indices. The majority of these...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX All Technology Index: GICS Changes, Market Consultation & Potential Index Changes

Changes to the GICS structure will result in deletions from the S&P/ASX All Tech Index in March. There could be 4 deletions if the index universe...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Quiddity Leaderboard Mar 23: Index Changes Galore

Collectively there could be 20+ ADDs/DELs for the S&P ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 indices between now and the March 2023 Rebalance.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Newmont's Indicative Offer for Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)

Newmont is looking to acquire Newcrest Mining at an exchange ratio of 0.38 NEM shares per NCM share. That is a 22% premium for NCM. NEM intends to...

Brian Freitas

S&P/​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: High Impact Changes in March

We currently see 1 change for the ASX20, 2 for the ASX100, 4 changes for the ASX 200 and 9 adds/ 6 deletes for the ASX300 Index in March. Lots of...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard-S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Mar 23: Multiple Names with Decent Impact

I expect there to be 40 names involved in the March 2023 Rebalance collectively for the ASX 20, 50, 200, and 300 indices. The majority of these...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX All Technology Index: GICS Changes, Market Consultation & Potential Index Changes

Changes to the GICS structure will result in deletions from the S&P/ASX All Tech Index in March. There could be 4 deletions if the index universe...

Brian Freitas

S&P/​​​​​​​​ASX Quiddity Leaderboard Mar 23: Index Changes Galore

Collectively there could be 20+ ADDs/DELs for the S&P ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 indices between now and the March 2023 Rebalance.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: High Impact Changes in March

Quiddity Leaderboard-S&P/ASX Mar 23: Multiple Names with Decent Impact

S&P/ASX Quiddity Leaderboard Mar 23: Index Changes Galore