Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Overnight, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berkshire-hathaway-inc-cl-b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8635:1" rel="noopener">Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl B (BRK/B US)</a> announced that it held 60.06m shares (US$4.43bn) of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a> as of 30 September.</li>
<li>That caused the ADR to spike after-hours and the local shares have rallied 8% today to close the gap with the ADR.</li>
<li>The ADR premium is trading near the lows and with Berkshire buying up a substantial chunk, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR</a> should trade at a bigger premium to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (2330)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Overnight, Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl B (BRK/B US) announced that it held 60.06m shares (US$4.43bn) of Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) as of 30 September.
That caused the ADR to spike after-hours and the local shares have rallied 8% today to close the gap with the ADR.
The ADR premium is trading near the lows and with Berkshire buying up a substantial chunk, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR should trade at a bigger premium to Taiwan Semiconductor (2330).


TSMC (TSM/2330 TT): Berkshire Buying Could Push ADR Premium Higher

Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

<ul>
<li>Singapore recently announced the pricing of its inaugural sovereign green bond issue marking Singapore's momentous entrée into the growing global sovereign green bond market.</li>
<li>Big deal, and big impact. Singapore's S$2.4 billion 50-year green bond ranks among the largest inaugural sovereign issuances and the proceeds are funding impactful "green projects."</li>
<li>Proceeds will fund two Clean Transportation projects (electric rail mass transit) and contribute to an 80% reduction in land transportation-related greenhouse gas emissions by 2050.</li>
</ul>


Singapore recently announced the pricing of its inaugural sovereign green bond issue marking Singapore's momentous entrée into the growing global sovereign green bond market.
Big deal, and big impact. Singapore's S$2.4 billion 50-year green bond ranks among the largest inaugural sovereign issuances and the proceeds are funding impactful "green projects."
Proceeds will fund two Clean Transportation projects (electric rail mass transit) and contribute to an 80% reduction in land transportation-related greenhouse gas emissions by 2050.


Singapore's Inaugural Green Bond: Big Deal, Big Impact

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Allocations in Singapore Financials continue their turnaround. From a low of 0.67% in early 2021, average weights have soared to 1.81%, closing in on the highs of 2%+ in 2018</li>
<li>Clear active rotation, with the percentage of managers exposed to the sector increasing from 45.2% in 2021 to 63.4% today.</li>
<li>Strong ownership growth seen in DBS and UOB, with +10.75% and +6.45% of managers opening positions over the last 6-months.  SGX also saw ownership rise.</li>
</ul>


Allocations in Singapore Financials continue their turnaround. From a low of 0.67% in early 2021, average weights have soared to 1.81%, closing in on the highs of 2%+ in 2018
Clear active rotation, with the percentage of managers exposed to the sector increasing from 45.2% in 2021 to 63.4% today.
Strong ownership growth seen in DBS and UOB, with +10.75% and +6.45% of managers opening positions over the last 6-months.  SGX also saw ownership rise.


<ul>
<li>Last week, SGX and the New York Stock Exchange announced a collaboration focusing on dual listings and new products (primarily ETFs)... and all with an overarching ESG imperative.</li>
<li>Typically, these kinds of announcements are met with a healthy dash of skepticism by investors but the SGX/NYSE agreement is a clear exception, deserving atypical early-stage optimism.</li>
<li>Complementary skill sets (Right Partners), once-in-lifetime market opportunities (Right Place), and leveraging existing cabilities to meet current ESG investing demand (Right Products).</li>
</ul>


Last week, SGX and the New York Stock Exchange announced a collaboration focusing on dual listings and new products (primarily ETFs)... and all with an overarching ESG imperative.
Typically, these kinds of announcements are met with a healthy dash of skepticism by investors but the SGX/NYSE agreement is a clear exception, deserving atypical early-stage optimism.
Complementary skill sets (Right Partners), once-in-lifetime market opportunities (Right Place), and leveraging existing cabilities to meet current ESG investing demand (Right Products).


SGX/NYSE Collaboration Agreement: Right Partners, Right Place, Right Products

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Exchanges continue to seek revenue streams outside of the traditional trading fees in post-trading, as well as capitalising on “big data” in financial transactions and data services</li>
<li>We identify three relative value opportunities in exchanges; MexBolsa, B3 and Deutsche Borse feature positively multiple times in our value screens and they are all diversifying revenue streams</li>
<li>Coinbase remains the exchange to avoid, in our view, despite its share price collapse; aside from negative news-flow, its revenue streams are heavily exposed to low volumes of crypto transactions</li>
</ul>


Exchanges continue to seek revenue streams outside of the traditional trading fees in post-trading, as well as capitalising on “big data” in financial transactions and data services
We identify three relative value opportunities in exchanges; MexBolsa, B3 and Deutsche Borse feature positively multiple times in our value screens and they are all diversifying revenue streams
Coinbase remains the exchange to avoid, in our view, despite its share price collapse; aside from negative news-flow, its revenue streams are heavily exposed to low volumes of crypto transactions


Global Exchanges – The Quest for Recurring Revenues

Singapore

Singapore Exchange Limited owns and operates Singapore's Securities and derivatives exchange and their related clearing houses.  The Company also provides ancillary securities processing and information technology services to participants in the financial sector.

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SGX (SGX SP)

TSMC (TSM/2330 TT): Berkshire Buying Could Push ADR Premium Higher

Berkshire buying 60m TSM US will reduce supply. A rising SOX could increase demand for TSM US at the same time. The ADR premium to the local shares...

Brian Freitas

Singapore's Inaugural Green Bond: Big Deal, Big Impact

Singapore’s inaugural green bond is a big deal, in size and impact. It is one of the world’s largest debut issues and funds Clean Transportation...

Kyle Rudden

Singapore Financials: Surging Higher

Asia Ex-Japan funds ramp up Singapore Financial allocations . A key beneficiary in this year’s sector rotations, new positions have been added...

Steven Holden

SGX/NYSE Collaboration Agreement: Right Partners, Right Place, Right Products

SGX and NYSE recently announced a collaboration agreement that warrants early optimism. Right partners (complementary skills), right place (market...

Kyle Rudden

Global Exchanges – The Quest for Recurring Revenues

We identify MexBolsa, B3 and Deutsche Borse as exchanges that feature positively multiple times in our value screens and that are diversifying away...

Victor Galliano

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