Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India, Yellowstone Equity

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India

Creating Wealth through Alpha and Compounding

Yellowstone Equity

Providing unbiased and independent research on Indian equities to global institutions and individual investors


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Regulatory Disclosure: 
Note that Ankit Agrawal (Proprietor of Yellowstone Equity) is a SEBI registered Research Analyst (Registration No.: INH000007216). Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing.

Research Analyst Contact Details:
Address: A-412, Shilp Aaron, Sindhu Bhavan Road, Ahmedabad, Gujarat - 380059
Email: services@yellowstoneequity.com
Mobile: +91-7575817289

Compliance/Grievance Officer:
Name: Ankit Agrawal
Email: services@yellowstoneequity.com
Mobile: +91-7575817289
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Equity Bottom-Up

HDFC Bank Ltd. offers a wide range of services to the global corporate sector. The Bank provides corporate banking and custodial services and is active in the treasury and capital markets. HDFC also markets project advisory services and capital market products such as Global Deposit Receipts, Euro currency loans, and Euro currency bonds.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank</a> reported a decent Q2FY25 despite industry headwinds. Average deposits grew 15.5% YoY and 3.1% QoQ. Terms deposits led the growth with 5% QoQ rise.</li>
<li>AUM growth was modest at 10.2% YoY in line with HDFC Bank's stated strategy to grow AUM lower than deposits to bring down the credit-deposit ratio to a reasonable level.</li>
<li>Asset quality remains stable with GNPA at ~1.35%. ROA and ROE continues to be around 1.9% and 15%, respectively. LCR is now healthy at 128% vs 110% 9M ago.</li>
</ul>



HDFC Bank reported a decent Q2FY25 despite industry headwinds. Average deposits grew 15.5% YoY and 3.1% QoQ. Terms deposits led the growth with 5% QoQ rise.
AUM growth was modest at 10.2% YoY in line with HDFC Bank's stated strategy to grow AUM lower than deposits to bring down the credit-deposit ratio to a reasonable level.
Asset quality remains stable with GNPA at ~1.35%. ROA and ROE continues to be around 1.9% and 15%, respectively. LCR is now healthy at 128% vs 110% 9M ago.


RPSG Ventures Limited operates as a venture capital investment company. The Company focuses on information technology, business process outsourcing, real estate, and entertainment sectors. CESC Ventures serves customers in India.

<ul>
<li>RPSGV reported a decent Q1FY25 with FMCG business sustaining an annualized revenue run-rate of INR 500cr+. The Sports business also reported healthy Q1FY25 revenue (INR 500cr+) led by IPL contribution.</li>
<li>To add to growth aggression, RPSGV announced a new CEO for the FMCG business in August. Mr. Sudhir Langer, an accomplished FMCG professional, took the baton from Mr. Rajeev Khandelwal.</li>
<li>At the current valuation, RPSGV is available at a holding company discount of 75%+. As the scalability potential of the FMCG and Sports businesses become evident, significant re-rating could happen.</li>
</ul>


RPSGV reported a decent Q1FY25 with FMCG business sustaining an annualized revenue run-rate of INR 500cr+. The Sports business also reported healthy Q1FY25 revenue (INR 500cr+) led by IPL contribution.
To add to growth aggression, RPSGV announced a new CEO for the FMCG business in August. Mr. Sudhir Langer, an accomplished FMCG professional, took the baton from Mr. Rajeev Khandelwal.
At the current valuation, RPSGV is available at a holding company discount of 75%+. As the scalability potential of the FMCG and Sports businesses become evident, significant re-rating could happen.


RPSG Ventures (RPSGV): Digital-First and D2C Focus Looks Promising For FMCG Scale Up

Nesco Ltd. is a diversified company involved in manufacturing and engineering products for railways and forging,  realty development, and runs an exhibition center.

<ul>
<li>Nesco reported a mixed Q1FY25. The IT Park business reported strong growth led by improved occupancy. IT Park revenue grew 20%+ YoY and 7.4% QoQ.</li>
<li>The BEC business saw decline in its revenue due to seasonality. Q1 tends to be the weakest quarter for BEC. This also impacted the Nesco Foods business to an extent.</li>
<li>BEC revenue declined -19% YoY. Nesco Foods revenue declined -14% YoY. Overall, Nesco's PBT increased 7% YoY, however PAT declined -8% YoY due to deferred tax impact. </li>
</ul>


Nesco reported a mixed Q1FY25. The IT Park business reported strong growth led by improved occupancy. IT Park revenue grew 20%+ YoY and 7.4% QoQ.
The BEC business saw decline in its revenue due to seasonality. Q1 tends to be the weakest quarter for BEC. This also impacted the Nesco Foods business to an extent.
BEC revenue declined -19% YoY. Nesco Foods revenue declined -14% YoY. Overall, Nesco's PBT increased 7% YoY, however PAT declined -8% YoY due to deferred tax impact. 


Nesco: Mixed Q1FY25, However On Track for Robust Growth

KPIT Technologies Limited operates as a technology company. The Company specializes in embedded software, artificial intelligence, and digital solutions. KPIT Technologies serves automobile industry worldwide.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kpit-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35189:1" rel="noopener">KPIT Technologies ("KPIT")</a> reported constant currency (CC) revenue growth of 24.8% YoY in Q1FY25. Q1FY25 PAT grew 42.2% YoY, excluding one-time gains. Middleware and Architecture Consulting segment led the growth.</li>
<li>EBITDA margin continues to expand led by operating leverage. Q1FY25 EBITDA margin grew to 21.1% vs 20.7% QoQ, despite two months of ESOP costs and quarterly promotions.</li>
<li>New engagements' TCV (Total Contract Value) at $202mm in Q1FY25 significantly exceeded the $150mm+ typical run-rate. KPIT's Qorix venture received all the regulatory approvals and was restructured as 50:50 JV.</li>
</ul>



KPIT Technologies ("KPIT") reported constant currency (CC) revenue growth of 24.8% YoY in Q1FY25. Q1FY25 PAT grew 42.2% YoY, excluding one-time gains. Middleware and Architecture Consulting segment led the growth.
EBITDA margin continues to expand led by operating leverage. Q1FY25 EBITDA margin grew to 21.1% vs 20.7% QoQ, despite two months of ESOP costs and quarterly promotions.
New engagements' TCV (Total Contract Value) at $202mm in Q1FY25 significantly exceeded the $150mm+ typical run-rate. KPIT's Qorix venture received all the regulatory approvals and was restructured as 50:50 JV.


Nuvama Wealth Management / Equity Bottom-Up

Nuvama Wealth Management Limited provides financial services. The Company offers wealth management, portfolio management, and advisory services to individuals, institutions, trusts, private funds, charitable organizations, and investment companies. Nuvama Wealth Management serves customers India.

<ul>
<li>Nuvama's Q1FY25 results were yet again stellar with 60% YoY growth in revenues. The excess growth came from the Capital Markets segment where the activity has been upbeat. </li>
<li>The Wealth Management and Asset Management segments, which are core to the business, continued to post secular growth in the range of 18-25% YoY.</li>
<li>For the first-time ever, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nuvama-wealth-management-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40316:1" rel="noopener">Nuvama Wealth Management ("Nuvama")</a> also declared dividend. Given the capital light nature of the business, it indicates prudent capital allocation.</li>
</ul>


Nuvama's Q1FY25 results were yet again stellar with 60% YoY growth in revenues. The excess growth came from the Capital Markets segment where the activity has been upbeat. 
The Wealth Management and Asset Management segments, which are core to the business, continued to post secular growth in the range of 18-25% YoY.
For the first-time ever, Nuvama Wealth Management ("Nuvama") also declared dividend. Given the capital light nature of the business, it indicates prudent capital allocation.


Nuvama: Continues to Post Robust Performance