Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarises the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.</li>
<li>
Macro data points: Chinese PMI data, South Korean exports data.</li>
<li>
Companies mentioned:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pdd-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27250:1" rel="noopener">PDD Holdings (PDD US)</a>
</li>
</ul>


The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarises the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.

Macro data points: Chinese PMI data, South Korean exports data.

Companies mentioned:Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK), Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT), PDD Holdings (PDD US)



GEMWeekly (1 Nov 2024): China New Home Sales Growth; South Korea Macro; Alibaba, TSMC, PDD

Equity Bottom-Up

JD.com, Inc. is an online direct sales company in China. The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications. JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

<ul>
<li>Despite a share price correction this month, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a> remains firmly amid an earnings upgrade cycle driven by improved profitability expectations.</li>
<li>Following significant share price volatility over the past 2 months, JD.com’s near-term momentum indicators currently display bullish signals.</li>
<li>JD.com still trades at more than one standard deviation below its 5-year historic average forward PE ratio, and near the lowest level it has ever been.</li>
</ul>


Despite a share price correction this month, JD.com (9618 HK) remains firmly amid an earnings upgrade cycle driven by improved profitability expectations.
Following significant share price volatility over the past 2 months, JD.com’s near-term momentum indicators currently display bullish signals.
JD.com still trades at more than one standard deviation below its 5-year historic average forward PE ratio, and near the lowest level it has ever been.


JD.com (9618-HK): Positive Technical Analysis Signals

<ul>
<li>The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarises the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.</li>
<li>
 Macro data points: Chinese inflation, net exports, GDP growth, industrial production, and retail sales data.</li>
<li>
 Companies mentioned:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a>
</li>
</ul>


The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarises the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.

 Macro data points: Chinese inflation, net exports, GDP growth, industrial production, and retail sales data.

 Companies mentioned:Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT), Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK), Baidu (9888 HK)



GEMWeekly (18 Oct 2024): Further Chinese Stimulus; China Macro Data; TSMC, Alibaba, Baidu

<ul>
<li>The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarises the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.</li>
<li>
Macro data points: China NDRC press briefing, South Korean interest rates</li>
<li>
 Companies mentioned:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a>
</li>
</ul>


The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarises the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.

Macro data points: China NDRC press briefing, South Korean interest rates

 Companies mentioned:Tencent (700 HK), Baidu (9888 HK), Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)



GEMWeekly (11 Oct 2024): China NDRC Underwhelms; South Korea Macro; Tencent, Baidu, Samsung