Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order, Mint Finance

Amrutha Raj

Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Wheat trading sideways on weather concerns, but bearish sentiment driven by ample supplies is likely to prevail.</li>
<li>Corn prices rally significantly driven by unfavorable weather conditions and strong export demand. Analysts expect bearish turnaround.</li>
<li>Soybeans recover on US presidential election uncertainty; but speculation is overshadowed by persistent concerns over Chinese demand.</li>
</ul>


Wheat trading sideways on weather concerns, but bearish sentiment driven by ample supplies is likely to prevail.
Corn prices rally significantly driven by unfavorable weather conditions and strong export demand. Analysts expect bearish turnaround.
Soybeans recover on US presidential election uncertainty; but speculation is overshadowed by persistent concerns over Chinese demand.


[CB 29/2024]: Wheat Pressured,Corn Rallies,Soybean Remains Volatile on Political & China Uncertainty

Suhas Reddy

Equity Bottom-Up

BP plc is an oil and petrochemicals company.  The Company explores for and produces oil and natural gas, refines, markets, and supplies petroleum products, generates solar energy, and manufactures and markets chemicals.  BP's chemicals include terephthalic acid, acetic acid, acrylonitrile, ethylene and polyethylene.

<ul>
<li>BP expects lower realised refining margins and weak oil trading to hurt earnings, with a refining margin contraction to reduce earnings by USD 500-700 million.</li>
<li>The company anticipates impairments ranging from USD 1-2 billion in Q2, including charges related to the ongoing review of its Gelsenkirchen refinery in Germany.</li>
<li>BP projects its upstream production to remain broadly flat sequentially, with stable oil output and a slight decrease in gas and low-carbon energy production.</li>
</ul>


BP expects lower realised refining margins and weak oil trading to hurt earnings, with a refining margin contraction to reduce earnings by USD 500-700 million.
The company anticipates impairments ranging from USD 1-2 billion in Q2, including charges related to the ongoing review of its Gelsenkirchen refinery in Germany.
BP projects its upstream production to remain broadly flat sequentially, with stable oil output and a slight decrease in gas and low-carbon energy production.


[Earnings Preview] BP's Woes Continue: Weak Refining Margins to Squeeze Earnings

Commodities

Crude oil is a naturally occurring, unrefined petroleum product composed of hydrocarbon deposits and other organic materials. Crude oil can be refined to produce usable products such as gasoline, diesel and various forms of petrochemicals. It is a nonrenewable resource, also known as a fossil fuel, which means that it can't be replaced naturally at the rate we consume it and is therefore a limited resource.

<ul>
<li>US crude inventories fell for the fourth straight week, with a 3.7 mb drawdown. Gasoline stocks dropped by 5.6 mb, the largest decline since March.</li>
<li>As of 19/Jul, US natural gas inventories were up 8.4% YoY and 16.4% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>TotalEnergies’ Q2 revenue fell 5.2% YoY, missing estimates by 7.3%. EPS dropped 7.5% YoY and missed estimates by 7.2%.</li>
</ul>


US crude inventories fell for the fourth straight week, with a 3.7 mb drawdown. Gasoline stocks dropped by 5.6 mb, the largest decline since March.
As of 19/Jul, US natural gas inventories were up 8.4% YoY and 16.4% above the 5-year seasonal average.
TotalEnergies’ Q2 revenue fell 5.2% YoY, missing estimates by 7.3%. EPS dropped 7.5% YoY and missed estimates by 7.2%.


[ETP 30/2024] Oil Reels Under Macroeconomic Headwinds; Nat-Gas Sheds Gains to Oversupply Concerns

Top 10 Mega Caps | Artificial Intelligence, Mint Finance

Uttkarsh Kohli

Top 10 Mega Caps | Artificial Intelligence

Alphabet, Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides web-based search, advertisements, maps, software applications, mobile operating systems, consumer content, enterprise solutions, commerce, and hardware products.

<ul>
<li>Alphabet’s revenue jumped 14% YoY to $84.74B, exceeding the $84.19B forecast, fueled by strong digital ad sales and cloud services demand.</li>
<li>Net income rose 28.6% to $23.6B, surpassing the $22.9B estimate, reflecting effective cost management and revenue growth despite margin concerns.</li>
<li>YouTube’s ad revenue fell short of expectations, growing slower than Q1 due to increased competition and tougher year-on-year comparisons, impacting overall share performance.</li>
</ul>


Alphabet’s revenue jumped 14% YoY to $84.74B, exceeding the $84.19B forecast, fueled by strong digital ad sales and cloud services demand.
Net income rose 28.6% to $23.6B, surpassing the $22.9B estimate, reflecting effective cost management and revenue growth despite margin concerns.
YouTube’s ad revenue fell short of expectations, growing slower than Q1 due to increased competition and tougher year-on-year comparisons, impacting overall share performance.


Alphabet Surges Past Q2 Expectations, Boosted by Digital Ads and Cloud Growth

Chevron Corporation is an integrated energy company with operations in countries located around the world.  The Company produces and transports crude oil and natural gas.  Chevron also refines, markets, and distributes fuels as well as is involved in chemical operations, mining operations, power generation and energy services.

<ul>
<li>Chevron’s Q2 revenue is set to dip 0.6% YoY, with EPS projected to drop 4.5% YoY on the back of lower refinery margins and natural gas prices.</li>
<li>Higher Brent crude prices and strong production may help Chevron partially offset Q2's challenges.</li>
<li>Unplanned downtime at two Australian LNG plants during Q2 raises concerns about a drop in production.</li>
</ul>


Chevron’s Q2 revenue is set to dip 0.6% YoY, with EPS projected to drop 4.5% YoY on the back of lower refinery margins and natural gas prices.
Higher Brent crude prices and strong production may help Chevron partially offset Q2's challenges.
Unplanned downtime at two Australian LNG plants during Q2 raises concerns about a drop in production.


[Earnings Preview] Weak Refining Margins and Gas Prices Dampen Chevron’s Q2 Earnings Outlook