Tech Hardware and Semiconductor

Weekly Top Ten Tech Hardware and Semiconductor – Apr 20, 2025

This weekly newsletter pulls together summaries of the top ten most-read Insights across Tech Hardware and Semiconductor on Smartkarma.

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1. TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): No Clients Have Reacted to the Tariff Changes Since Trump Reacted so Quickly

By Patrick Liao

  • Revenue expected to be USD$28.4-29.2 bn (+13% QoQ/38% YoY), with gross margin projected to be 57-59% and operating profit margin at 47-49%.
  • Tariffs still have uncertainties, so our current capability to share is expected to maintain 24-26% YoY.  
  • Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR (TSM US) plans to build 6 Fabs in Arizona, with 2nm being the main focus there, hence 30% will be allocated there.

2. Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC 1Q25 Results & The 2nm Frontline; Mediatek Vs. TSMC Valuation; PC 1Q25 Data

By Vincent Fernando, CFA, Zero One

  • TSMC’s Next Leap: 1Q25 Earnings Ahead and the 2nm Frontline
  • Is the Valuation Divergence Justified? Mediatek Vs TSMC Valuation Compared
  • PC 1Q25: 5% YoY Growth but Shipments Inflated Ahead of US Tariffs. Dream of a Refresh Cycle Continue 

3. TSMC. Full Steam Ahead Despite Tariff Threats & China Bans. For Now.

By William Keating, Ingenuity

  • TSMC offered a surprisingly robust outlook for the current quarter with revenues expected to rise 13% QoQ to $28.8 billion at the midpoint, their highest ever quarterly revenue.
  • No change to the previous full year 2025 guidance of mid-20% growth in US$ terms
  • It’s likely too early to see the full impact of tariffs and further China restrictions in TSMC’s outlook, but the second half will likely be a different story

4. Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium at High-End; ChipMOS & CHT Multi-Year High Short Interest

By Vincent Fernando, CFA, Zero One

  • TSMC: +21.5% Premium; Consider Shorting the Spread at This Level
  • ChipMOS: +3.2% Premium; Good Level to Consider Shorting the Spread: Local Shares’ Short Interest at Multi-Year Highs
  • CHT: +1.3% Premium; Good Level to Consider Shorting the Spread; ADR Short Interest at Multi-Year Highs

5. TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Key Questions for TSMC 1Q25 Earnings Conference

By Patrick Liao


6. Intel Offloads Altera Majority Stake At Steep Discount

By William Keating, Ingenuity

  • Intel yesterday announced that it was selling a 51% stake of its Altera business to Silver Lake for $4.46 billion
  • The deal values Altera at $8.75 billion, roughly half what Intel paid to acquire the company over a decade ago
  • Altera’s CEO, Intel veteran Sandra Rivera, will be replaced with a new CEO, Raghib Hussain, formerly president of Products and Technologies at Marvell