This weekly newsletter pulls together summaries of the top ten most-read Insights across Equity Capital Markets on Smartkarma.
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1. Sanrio (8136 JP): The Current Playbook
- Since the announcement of the US$840 million secondary offering, Sanrio (8136 JP)’s shares have been down 3.9% from the undisturbed price of JPY5,160 per share (26 November).
- It is instructive to look at recent large Japanese placements to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Sanrio’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.
- The offering will likely be priced on 10 December. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.
2. Paradigm Biopharmaceuticals (PAR AU): Fund Raising Amidst Pipeline Progress Raises Conviction
- Paradigm Biopharmaceuticals (PAR AU) has requested a trading halt to the ASX pending an announcement in relation to a capital raising. Normal trading will resume on Monday, December 9, 2024.
- Assuming quarterly cash burn rate of A$7M, Paradigm’s cash balance should provide a runway through mid-Q3FY25. The company is in a dire need to raise fund.
- With lead drug being in late-stage trial and having huge market potential, Paradigm seems to be an attractive biotech investment opportunity. Recently, optimism is growing surrounding Paradigm’s lead drug candidate.
3. Vishal Mega Mart IPO – Showcasing the Wrong Peers, Somewhat Limited Upside
- Vishal Mega Mart is planning to raise around US$950m through its upcoming IPO in India.
- Vishal Mega Mart Limited (VMM), is a one-stop retail destination. As per the company it targets middle and lower-middle income consumers across India
- We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.
4. Mao Geping Cosmetics IPO Trading – Highest Demand for This Year
- Mao Geping Cosmetics raised around US$345m in its Hong Kong IPO.
- Mao Geping Cosmetics (MGC) operates in the premium beauty segment. Operating via its two brands, MAOGEPING and Love Keeps, MGC offers a wide range of color cosmetics and skincare products.
- We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.
5. IGI (India) IPO – Unique Exposure but Questionable Acquisition, and 4x Returns for PE in 18 Months
- International Gemmological Institute (India) Limited (IGII) is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming India IPO.
- IGI India is part of the International Gemmological Institute (IGI) group. As of 22nd August 2024, IGI India handled operations of the IGI business in India and Türkiye.
- In this note, we will look at the company’s past performance and talk about the IPO valuations.
6. LG CNS IPO Valuation Analysis
- According to our valuation analysis, it suggests a base case implied market cap of 7.9 trillion won for LG CNS, representing target price of 81,095 won per share.
- Therefore, our base case valuation target price of 81,095 won is 31% higher than the high end of the IPO price range.
- We estimate LG CNS to generate sales of 5.99 trillion won (up 6.8% YoY) and net profit of 356.1 billion won (up 7.1% YoY) in 2024.
7. ECM Weekly (9th Dec 2024) – Goodman, Auckland Airport, Kioxia, MNC, DIY, Vishal Mega, Mao Geping
- Aequitas Research’s weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
- On the IPO front, the deal flow doesn’t seem to be slowing down much into the year end. The coming two weeks will see some of the past IPOs listing.
- On the placements front, Goodman Group (GMG AU)‘s block trade was hogging all of the limelight this week.
8. LG Electronics India IPO Preview
- LG Electronics India is getting ready to complete an IPO in India in the next several months. The IPO offering size is expected to be about US$1.8 billion.
- LG Electronics (066570 KS) plans to sell 101.8 million shares, accounting for about 15% of the post-offer paid up equity capital shares of LG Electronics India.
- If LGEI is valued at US$13 billion, then an 85% of this stake would be worth US$11.1 billion, which would be worth more than LG Electronics’s own market cap.
9. 2025 (“Year of the Snake”) Major IPOs Pipeline in Korea
- This is our 10th “Annual Edition of the Major Korean IPOs Pipeline Preview” at Smartkarma.
- This insight will feature 50 of the biggest potential IPOs in Korea in 2025.
- These 50 IPOs in Korea are likely to represent more than 80% of all capital raised through IPOs in Korea next year.
10. LG Electronics India Pre-IPO Tearsheet
- LG Electronics (066570 KS) is looking to raise US$1.5bn+ via part-selling its stake in LG Electronics India IPO. The deal will be run by MS, JPM, Axis, BofA and Citi.
- LG Electronics India (LGEI) was the market leader in India in major home appliances and consumer electronics (excluding mobile phones) in terms of volume in 1Q25, as per Redseer Report.
- LGEI has been the number one player in this industry for 13 consecutive years (CY11-CY23) as per the value market share in the offline channel in India, as per Redseer.