This weekly newsletter pulls together summaries of the top ten most-read Insights across Equity Capital Markets on Smartkarma.
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1. COLOWIDE (7616) – UGLY Register On Expensive Co Needs a Capital Construct Upgrade, Won’t Get It Here
- Colowide Co Ltd (7616 JP) is an industrial fastish-food operator in Japan. They sell several dozen kinds of cuisine under several dozen brands, owned and franchised in Japan and overseas.
- The company “philosophy” is “Everything we do is for our customers and employees.” The stock is up 30% in 10yrs. It pays no dividend, but it pays a big yutairimawari.
- This means Real World Float is 100% owned by retail who want restaurant coupons. This offering will be bought by index, short covers, and another 20-30k coupon holders.
2. Colowide Placement – Needs a Very Large Correction
- Colowide Co Ltd (7616 JP) aims to raise around US$230m in order to fund its prospective M&A transactions over the next few years
- While the company has undertaken a number of M&A transactions in the past, it hasn’t clearly stated its intended targets for this round.
- In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.
3. Peptron Rights Issue: The 25% Discount Is an Attractive Outright Position Opportunity
- Peptron’s lack of single-stock futures means no risk-free arbitrage but also less speculative selling, making the 25% discount an attractive outright position opportunity.
- The low capital increase rate may stabilize the stock price, and more forfeited shares could lower the cost of securing subscription rights during the trading window.
- Consider buying rights during the trading period or targeting forfeited shares. Conservatively estimate the final offering price range to set a profitable cost for securing rights.
4. Lumir IPO Preview
- Lumir is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in September. The IPO which is expected to raise between 49.5 billion won to 61.5 billion won.
- Lumir specializes in the development of observation satellite technology including image data processing devices and onboard computers for a number of government satellite series.
- Lumir had sales of 12.1 billion won (up 90.5% YoY) in 2023. Its sales surged by 477% YoY to reach 8.2 billion won in 1H24.
5. Bajaj Housing Finance Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison – Bigger and Faster
- Bajaj Housing Finance (BHF IN) is looking to raise around US$830m in its upcoming India IPO.
- BHF is a non-deposit taking housing finance company engaged in mortgage lending since FY18. Its mortgage products include home loans, loans against property, lease rental discounting and developer financing.
- We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note we will undertake a peer comparison.
6. Hyosung Siblings’ Cross-Transfers Are Done: The 10%+ Hyosung Corp Stake Block Deal Remains
- The Hyosung siblings swapped ₩60B in shares over August 13-14, raising the elder brother’s Hyosung Corp stake to 40.9% and lowering HS Hyosung below 3%.
- The younger brother must sell additionally at least 11.2% of his 14.2% Hyosung Corp stake. The elder brother may buy, but his cash position and 40% stake limit his need.
- This block deal will be the first to apply the new pre-disclosure rule. So, we should use it to test how the rule affects price movements for better entry timing.
7. Ecom Express Pre-IPO Tearsheet
- Ecom Express Limited (1062300D IN) is looking to raise about US$310m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by Axis, IIFL Securities, Kotak and UBS.
- Ecom Express operates a pan-India express logistics network covering first-mile pick-up, mid-mile transportation and last-mile delivery as well as reverse logistics (returns) and fulfilment services (warehousing).
- According to Redseer, the company had the widest pan-India coverage and in Tier 2+ regions compared to its peers, covering over 27,000 PIN codes, as of March 31, 2024.
8. Hero Fincorp Pre-IPO – The Positives – Riding on the Parent’s Brand
- Hero FinCorp (HF) is looking to raise around US$438m in its upcoming India IPO.
- HF is a non-deposit taking NBFC. It offers a suite of financial products catering primarily to the retail segment and the MSME customer segment in India.
- In this note, we talk about the positive aspets of the deal.
9. Zomato Placement – Momentum Is Very Strong, past Ant Related Deals Have Been Mixed
- AntFin is looking to raise around US$400m by selling around 2% of Zomato (ZOMATO IN).
- Ant Group had earlier sold some of its stake in Nov 2023 and Mar 2024, with the deals producing a mixed bag result.
- In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.
10. 99 Speedmart Holdings IPO – Digestible Valuation
- 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings (99SPD MK) is looking to raise US$530m in its Malaysia IPO. The IPO will be a mix of primary and secondary shares.
- 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings (99 Speedmart) operates the “99 Speedmart” chain of mini-market outlets, retailing daily necessities across Malaysia.
- In our previous notes, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison and discuss our thoughts on valuation.
